Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model output discussion - here comes the beast!


Paul
Message added by Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

We also have a special post SSW cold spell discussion open here:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/

Thank you!

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Somerset/Devon border, 220masl
  • Weather Preferences: See if you can guess
  • Location: Somerset/Devon border, 220masl

Is there anything that could stop the block scooting off to Canada? As has been said, a few days ago it looked like it might settle around greenland.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frost and snow. A quiet autumn day is also good.
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
5 minutes ago, Bruegelian said:

Is there anything that could stop the block scooting off to Canada? As has been said, a few days ago it looked like it might settle around greenland.

Dont think so. It's headed that way come what may. But cold reload from the NE is clear on this chart from UKMO for longer term.

Modele UKMO - Carte prévisions

To keep it wall to wall cold we need pressure to remain high to the north just long enough to force the trough to the south through further east. A few days ago it looked likely - now less so. However fine lines here - we have all seen blocks do odd things, and speed of transition is key. Let's hope it drags its feet.

Edited by Catacol
  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Click on my name - sorry, it was too long to fit here......
  • Location: Sowerby Bridge, West Yorkshire
20 minutes ago, stokepa31 said:

sorry yes i meant east to west faster not east. DOH :)

Although we are getting easterly winds it’s probably clearer to talk about movement in a westwards direction (or eastwards) but, yes, your analysis is spot on!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow
  • Location: Chichester West Sussex

Afternoon folks

looking forward to cold week ahead and hopefully some snow. After looking at the latest GFS I think we can expect which path the low will take. Was hoping it would take a more northern France path but the models seemed to all be singing off the same hymn sheet. 

With low heights in the med I couldn't work out why the low was heading straight for Blighty. Checking then jet profile I found the answer. Still going to be cold for most but snow will be restricted to northern areas. Still time to change fingers crossed. Hope everyone is well 

IMG_5566.PNG

IMG_5567.PNG

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Coventry
1 minute ago, ukpaul said:

Although we are getting easterly winds it’s probably clearer to talk about movement in a westwards direction (or eastwards) but, yes, your analysis is spot on!

Gotcha :) In my mind i shall call it the SSW champagne cork evolution. Just too much oomph to stop and linger a while. gotta love the power of nature. Really looking forward to the coming week and shall be grateful for whatever comes our way. Just goes to show how many ducks you need to get in a row for achieve the perfect coldie spell of weather. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans
36 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

Eh? Met office 30 day update says cold for most well into March.

Not referencing the 30 dayer. Further cold is likely re further donwelling waves. but as per my post above, losing the deeply cold airmass woudl clearly be a blow for a  potential record breaking march spell  

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL

Interesting watching how the snow depths increase through the week starting from tomorrow. Whether it is accurate is any ones guess

Press Play at bottom left of screen

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=52.8;6.0;5&l=snow&t=20180226/12

Edited by OddSpot
  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North

All those of you (including me obviously:D) hoping for a continuation of the cold will like some or all of these from the GEFS 6z!..can't wait for the snow to start..I've reserved a lamp post!:shok::cold:P20 will do nicely!

Quote

 

2_198_850tmp.png

2_198_850tmp.png

5_198_850tmp.png

7_198_850tmp.png

7_198_2mtmpmax.png

9_222_850tmp.png

9_222_2mtmpmax.png

17_222_2mtmpmax.png

17_222_850tmp.png

17_222_850tmp.png

19_222_850tmp.png

19_222_2mtmpmax.png

20_222_850tmp.png

20_222_2mtmpmax.png

21_222_850tmp.png

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...