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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!

Paul

By Paul
in Forecast Model Discussion

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Paul
Message added by Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

We also have a special post SSW cold spell discussion open here:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/

Thank you!

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Weathizard Accomplished

Weathizard

Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
Posted (edited)

Quite a bit further north is the icon

IMG_0361.PNG

IMG_0362.PNG

 

Edit:Oops that's 12z to 0z comparison so it's 6hours out but still

Edited by Weathizard
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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

This looks a very snowy chart to me

08B66FF8-441D-44BF-B0C2-26755D74807C.thumb.png.d31026d8d943618ea8a89f7ebbbab8a1.png

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Man With Beard Maestro

Man With Beard

Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Popular Post
Posted

We're now down to T120 on charts like this:

icon-0-120.png?22-12

Running out of adjectives - don't think I've used PHENOMENAL!! yet

For a complete newbie who's just found us today, this chart basically shows Russian winter air heading straight for us - and a lot of it. Get your blinking thermals sorted now and fast!

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No Balls Like Snow Balls Experienced

No Balls Like Snow Balls

Posted
  • Location: Live Haddenham (Bucks). Work Heathrow Airport
  • Location: Live Haddenham (Bucks). Work Heathrow Airport
Posted (edited)

Pure Bonkers :cold:

Surely I am going to be woken up in a minute to be told I got hit by a bus a few weeks ago and have been dreaming lol. 

 

icon-1-141.png

Edited by No Balls Like Snow Balls
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BlackburnChris Enthusiast

BlackburnChris

Posted
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
  • Location: Darwen (Near Blackburn) 210m ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, Man With Beard said:

We're now down to T120 on charts like this:

icon-0-120.png?22-12

Running out of adjectives - don't think I've used PHENOMENAL!! yet

For a complete newbie who's just found us today, this chart basically shows Russian winter air heading straight for us - and a lot of it. Get your blinking thermals sorted now and fast!

Loving the Kink in the flow .... SNOW

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jamieson87 Contributor

jamieson87

Posted
  • Location: Scottish Borders
  • Location: Scottish Borders
Posted
3 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

We're now down to T120 on charts like this:

icon-0-120.png?22-12

Running out of adjectives - don't think I've used PHENOMENAL!! yet

For a complete newbie who's just found us today, this chart basically shows Russian winter air heading straight for us - and a lot of it. Get your blinking thermals sorted now and fast!

That'll be me then.

I've only really started paying attention to these models today. I'm not really sure what I am looking at, but I can tell from you guys reactions, that it's going to be a cold one!

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Mucka Maestro

Mucka

Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
Posted

Surely a vicious windchill with ICON

icon-1-156.png?22-12iconnh-0-168.png?22-12

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LRD Accomplished

LRD

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Mucka said:

Surely a vicious windchill with ICON

icon-1-156.png?22-12iconnh-0-168.png?22-12

I'm not moaning or trolling but that low pressure off the western coast of France in your 2nd image is getting a bit too close for comfort and could be a threat in terms of prolonging this upcoming spell. Not sure it's disrupting quite enough and it might leave the door open for Iberian heights. I think we'll still be ok and it's a week away

It is something I'll be watching out for in tonight's and the morning's runs. We want that low moving East and not North East

Edited by LRD
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Weathizard Accomplished

Weathizard

Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
Posted
1 minute ago, bluearmy said:

ICON gets the Azores low that bit closer than the previous run with the plus uppers - should be ok as the ridge pushed down though. This is definitely the theme of the day !

Dangerous game, especially for southern parts as it brings in 'mild' sectors... The GEFS have showed this in recent runs also.

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tight isobar Maestro

tight isobar

Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
Posted

Gfs -ukmo @96...

Good stuff..

Gfs look like a possible upgrader' and it sister 6z suite...

Cracking Stuff..AGAIN!!!

gfs-1-96.png

UW96-21.gif

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

From Russia with a shovel (certainly for the East anyway)

UN120-21.thumb.GIF.8f8d5d84539e67ac29978349825a6671.GIF

Snow showers should get right across in that wind though, that's a belter!!!

Edited by Day 10
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Connor Bailey Degnan Community Regular

Connor Bailey Degnan

Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, freezes, bitterly cold and icy. Thunderstorms and heatwaves!
  • Location: Lincolnshire
Posted

Ukmo perfect for England and Wales, not so great for Scotland. 

UW120-21 (6).gif

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