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Paul

Far north and northeast of England - regional chat

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The precipitation is starting to die out now with a clearance moving through the borders into England the main concern could be ice by tomorrow morning rather than snow

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Is it forecast to pivot though once it moves so far south?

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2 minutes ago, P-M said:

Is it forecast to pivot though once it moves so far south?

Once it clears through that's it for us skies will slowly clear through the evening and ice will become a major issue.

Tomorrow looks like it'll be a lovely day with lots of sunshine

Thursday still open to debate the current thoughts from the beeb below

6868.thumb.png.0646454a2d84e41e7055e34adfd80057.png

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27 minutes ago, P-M said:

Is it forecast to pivot though once it moves so far south?

God knows this time yesterday most of the models didn't even have the front reaching us yet

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Well that was depressing 😂, let's see if any showers make it to the region

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1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

Once it clears through that's it for us skies will slowly clear through the evening and ice will become a major issue.

Tomorrow looks like it'll be a lovely day with lots of sunshine

Thursday still open to debate the current thoughts from the beeb below

6868.thumb.png.0646454a2d84e41e7055e34adfd80057.png

Got to hand it to you Gavin you LOVE a good snow fail 😂😂😂😂😂😂

Edited by P-M

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Well that was exciting 🤣

Really thought we might of had more falling snow today, didn't expect much settling snow away from high ground mind. So in that respect i'm not too disapointed.

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18 minutes ago, P-M said:

Got to hand it to you Gavin you LOVE a good snow fail 😂😂😂😂😂😂

Still time yet it could track further north

Not had chance to see the early output this afternoon so not sure how it's looking so far

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2 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Still time yet it could track further north

Not had chance to see the early output this afternoon so not sure how it's looking so far

The way it went today I think leaving it to 'now-casting' would be preferable. Models showed Dp's falling away but here theyve actually increased from 0.5℃..!!

2119311573_ScreenShot2019-01-29at16_40_50.thumb.png.c170087a4bb5674e80ac7cd8671e04b6.png

http://www.southshields-weather.co.uk/images/index2.html

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12z ICON keeps most us snow free at the end of the week maybe the pennine regions could get something though

5756.thumb.png.4236603ecfdbf90a688bf615633623b9.pngfri.thumb.png.30c492ad90f5d9f27e38efb2b3b0c2ae.png

GFS slightly more promising with a slight covering for lower parts

46747.thumb.png.8c446c7b7ce2862a598c149fb56b6525.png

Red dot is Darlo just incase you didn't know

Edited by Summer Sun

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Well that was awful didn't even see a flake of snow,  Hi res models as useful a a chocolate fireguard or well there's always Thursday 

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Yes that was very poor and a really disappointment. 

What are peoples take on Saturday morning? that low is set to come back round on an easterly and hit our region. 

Will this be snow?

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10 minutes ago, NorthEastSnow said:

Yes that was very poor and a really disappointment. 

What are peoples take on Saturday morning? that low is set to come back round on an easterly and hit our region. 

Will this be snow?

UKMO 12z doesn't show much precipitation for our region.

A long way off yet but I think expectations need to be kept low for our region to avoid mass disappointment like what often happens in the MAD thread

ezgif.com-gif-maker.thumb.gif.9ded779b1211f278ca24b4c0dcb18976.gif

 

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Doesnt look like the south are getting much more from looking at a couple of webcams around Oxford!

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A very cold and frosty start this morning currently -4.1c 

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Looking like tomorrow and into Friday will be a bust for the region

Updated warning map

bc0a6e95-6525-455f-bbb4-e583e2af56cc.thumb.png.7537bfd4b5d27f5ff1686229655c38a3.png

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1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

Looking like tomorrow and into Friday will be a bust for the region

Updated warning map

bc0a6e95-6525-455f-bbb4-e583e2af56cc.thumb.png.7537bfd4b5d27f5ff1686229655c38a3.png

The biggest 'hazard', over here, will come from Netweather members spending too much time concentrating on roadside dark objects...or, even more hazardous, looking for sleet blobs, on their windscreens!:hi:

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13 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

Looking like tomorrow and into Friday will be a bust for the region

Updated warning map

bc0a6e95-6525-455f-bbb4-e583e2af56cc.thumb.png.7537bfd4b5d27f5ff1686229655c38a3.png

You must be devastated about that Gav 😂

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Maybe I spoke to soon...

Between 18:00 Thu 31st and 12:00 Fri 1st

Ice and snow likely to bring travel disruption over parts of north and east Scotland and England during Thursday night and Friday morning.

What to expect

  • Some roads and railways likely to be affected with longer journey times by road, bus and train services
  • Some injuries from slips and falls on icy surfaces
  • Probably some ice on some untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths

Areas affected

  • Darlington
  • Durham
  • Gateshead
  • Hartlepool
  • Middlesbrough
  • Newcastle upon Tyne
  • North Tyneside
  • Northumberland
  • Redcar and Cleveland
  • South Tyneside
  • Stockton-on-Tees
  • Sunderland

Further details

Showers will develop during Thursday night and continue into Friday morning falling as a mixture of rain, sleet and snow. Snow accumulations of 1-3 cm are possible in places by Friday morning. Ice is likely to form on some untreated surfaces.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-02-01

Edited by Summer Sun

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We must be due to get the showers coming in from the East after that low has passed down south. 

Lets hope we get a few surprises. 

Sunday also looks good for a period of snow with a front coming in from the North West. 

Any of the advanced members able to shed more light on these warnings?

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20 minutes ago, NorthEastSnow said:

We must be due to get the showers coming in from the East after that low has passed down south. 

Lets hope we get a few surprises. 

Sunday also looks good for a period of snow with a front coming in from the North West. 

Any of the advanced members able to shed more light on these warnings?

Beeb have just posted a video showing some showers coming in from the east

 

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1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

Beeb have just posted a video showing some showers coming in from the east

 

I'll bank that for now.  It makes me sick how difficult it is to get a decent frigid spell in this boring country.  Honestly you couldn't make it up, cold to the se, e, ne, n, nw, even 850s of sub zero at one point somewhere in the Atlantic, yet always misses us.  A big SSW that has so far done nothing for the UK (yes I know there's loads of time for the downwelling to have an effect) but it's just so mundane.  It wouldn't be so bad if we had some interesting weather in the meantime but no; cold, damp, miserable and boring.

Anyway I've spat all my dummies out now; fingers crossed for something decent going into Feb.

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A little more positive about Thursday night/Friday morning.

Yes we miss out on the low to the south but that low will help bring a cluster of wintry showers from the north sea, probably forming in lines so some will see more than others and will definitely be a radar watching night for sure lol. With it being night time this will help snow showers settle away from the east coast, a more wintry mix there but snow inland and decent dew points, upper temps etc look favourable this time.

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If showers do develop off the east coast I think folk on the coast might fair better with the chance of settling snow, with Dew points well below freezing ( -3.3℃ at midnight Thu/Fri) and 850hpa are approaching -8℃, the SST here in South Shields are slightly below average at 7.2℃ (average is 7.4℃..!!) so there's a chance but its a case of wait and see.

Edited by NL

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A bit of warmth in that Sun today 😫

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