Far north and northeast of England - regional chat

[Dahonis]

5 hours ago, Rollo said:

Next week-cold-- Snow he shrugs his shoulders!

Would you like to roll the dice, it would seem it maybe more accurate than model interpretation at the moment 

[NorthEastSnow]

Is there any chance some of the knowledgeable people in this region can give us any hope? 

All the other threads seem to be southern based.

I hope we can see some of the white stuff next week.  

[doctor32]

2 hours ago, NorthEastSnow said:

Is there any chance some of the knowledgeable people in this region can give us any hope? 

All the other threads seem to be southern based.

I hope we can see some of the white stuff next week.  

I will do an update over the weekend for next week, very topsy turvy the out-put at the moment. 

And to be fair, pinpointing the low pressures for next week will be very hard, making snow predictions impossible a couple of days out with very fine margins between rain/snow etc

[doctor32]

A very mild day today with 11-13.c widely and certainly feels it after recent cold spell... Wont last long as you all know. 

[Summer Sun]

Yellow warning for strong winds issued

Between 08:00 Sun 27th and 21:00 Sun 27th

• Darlington
• Durham
• Gateshead
• Hartlepool
• Middlesbrough
• Newcastle upon Tyne
• North Tyneside
• Northumberland
• Redcar and Cleveland
• South Tyneside
• Stockton-on-Tees
• Sunderland

A spell of very strong northerly winds is expected during Sunday bringing some transport disruption.

What to expect

• Some delays to road, rail, air and ferry transport are likely, including high-sided vehicles on exposed routes and bridges
• Some short term loss of power is possible
• Some coastal routes and sea fronts affected by spray and/or large waves

Further details

Strong north to northwesterly winds are expected to develop during Sunday morning across Northeast England, moving south into Eastern England during the afternoon. Wind gusts of 50-60 mph are likely inland and 60-70 mph along the coast. Large waves are expected along some shorelines.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-27&region=ne&regionType=area&id=b0f3a389-e3b7-4065-8a98-cb3052c3c3d2

[Summer Sun]

Yellow warning for Ice issued

Between 01:00 Sun 27th and 11:00 Sun 27th

• Durham
• Northumberland

Icy stretches possible early on Sunday.

What to expect

• Probably ice on some untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths, making for slower journeys
• Increased likelihood of accidents and/or injuries from falls

Further details

Following clearance of overnight rain and snow, ice may form quite widely, primarily on untreated surfaces. A cover of 1- 2 cm snow may also affect some upland routes, chiefly above 300m elevation.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2019-01-27&region=ne&regionType=area&id=b0f3a389-e3b7-4065-8a98-cb3052c3c3d2

[NorthEastSnow]

I have a feeling next week is going to be very hard to watch as we miss out JUST on the snow. I Know the low isn't positioned exactly yet but normally in these situations its a southerly encounter. 

I guess this is why the cold and banter thread is alive and kicking. 

 

[Matthew.]

Sunday evening/Monday evening/Thursday afternoon look possible snow chances

[gazzac69]

what a c**p winter so far - hope its going to deliver this coming week so I can post some snow reports - which I have not been able to do all winter so far

[Chris.]

Why does the GFS always have a snow dome above us  

[Dahonis]

25 minutes ago, Chris. said:

Why does the GFS always have a snow dome above us  

I would settle for just one day of proper snowfall, time will tell.

I dare not post in the model thread this year, some proper weird people getting the hump over something that may or may not happen!

[doctor32]

One word... THURSDAY

[geordiekev]

Snow making it's way south, chance could hit us around 7am

[geordiekev]

Timing spot on 

Edited January 27, 2019 by geordiekev

[geordiekev]

Could be a bit more to come in next hour or so, shows -5 850s ok in right conditions with these lows.

Edited January 27, 2019 by geordiekev

[Cloud 10]

Yes,a few flakes coming down here at the moment.

 

Certainly an interesting week coming up,and a forecasting nightmare!

[doctor32]

Awaiting to see what falls out the sky lower down here today.

A very much nowcast situation with probably Thursday our best chance as it stands

[geordiekev]

7 minutes ago, Cloud 10 said:

Yes,a few flakes coming down here at the moment.

 

Certainly an interesting week coming up,and a forecasting nightmare!

Yeah light snow here, have to say the accuweather minutecast app was spot on even when the radar looked fruitless here for 7am, when I checked 3hrs earlier. For now

Edited January 27, 2019 by geordiekev

[doctor32]

Just had a sleety shower here, seen a few flakes blowing in the wind.

[Summer Sun]

Tuesday and into Wednesday seems to have the most focus in the mad thread atm the track of the low is proving very tricky could be further north and bring more of the UK into the snow zone or  it could be further south and take the bulk of it into mainland Europe as well as that we could also have some fronts moving in from the northwest

[Summer Sun]

The beeb say Tuesday & Thursday will have heavy snow showers in Darlo though precipitation percentage doesn't get higher than 50% so it could still go either way

Edited January 27, 2019 by Summer Sun

[NorthEastSnow]

Let’s hope the bbc are right as the metro office have issued warning for the south regions which I was expecting. There is time for them to draw them lines further north lol. 

[Summer Sun]

The GFS ens for Newcastle is clearly trending less cold as we head through the opening part of February which is at odds with the met office longer range text forecast

Back end of the coming week has the highest chance of snow going by the snow row

[doctor32]

My thoughts:

But first, today is getting very windy and it certainly feels cold in the wind. As the low in N Sea moves south the winds are veering more NNE which is pushing the band of showers inland more and this will give sleet/snow in places this afternoon.

Keep getting little flurries here in aycliffe at only 90m asl.

 

Tuesday night has greatest risk of snow to the south of our region with a couple of hours of snow from an occluded front associated with low to the south.

Thursday is our best chance of widespread and lying snow, but this may turn to rain if low pushes milder air further north.

 

Inbetween these some wintry showers could pop up with cold nights.

 

 

[Cloud 10]

Looks like a shower streamer setting up across the East of the region,although would have been better through the night,but beggars can't be chosers.