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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?


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Cold - Yes Instability - Yes Prolonged - Yes I just wet myself - Yes!

I quite often agree with your sort of sentiment, as I'm one who opts to look at the most likely solution to fit the signals rather than the preferred one But, equally impartially and with intended

Sorry, I just thought I’d walked into the moans threa.. oh wait. <passes around a big bag of grips> No sooner do we get a cold spell within sight it astonishes me that time and time again some p

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Posted
  • Location: Cottingham
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Cottingham

    Yup all looking good on the 06z so far!

    GFSOPEU06_150_1.png

    PS it still somehow creates a 1045mb area of low pressure just off the coast of Norway :rofl:, it won't stop us going into the freezer though :D

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    Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester

    Amazing run by ecm and it all starts on friday with really cold dew points and snow flurries into eastern districts!!from there on in it just gets snowier!!

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    Posted
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW ICE
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
    4 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

    I honestly believe we are close to the final solution now... so glad Im not going to miss it !

    05F3F185-75C3-4F2C-8471-C6B38B70F568.thumb.png.34dc44970348662a8f44b3c76577a95f.png

     

    Wonder will ecm come in line with what gfs is showing on the 12z.

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    Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(south east england)

    Jet profile decent...

    Holding pattern setting up...

    Stunning synoptics AGAIN gfs.

    Salivating over supports for this run.

    And fully expext to note prolongment.

    gfs-5-168.png

    gfs-0-168.png

    Edited by tight isobar
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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Location: Leeds

    This is more like it from the GFS 6z, bringing more of the UK back into play, we can only hope that this is closer to the final outcome than the worrying trend of the ECM which I would tend to have more confidence in than the GFS.

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire SACRA MEMBER 16/122
    4 minutes ago, Banbury said:

    gfsnh-0-168.png?6

    gfsnh-1-168.png?6

    Stunning from GFS

    Fron Russia with love

    Stunning

    C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk

    Some generous looking waves running through Scotland at 168, were back to the whole of the UK (not that we actually left:))

     

    kinky.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Anything out of the ordinary!
  • Location: Cambridge, UK

    Pleaseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

    At least if it does come off it won't be will it/won't it be rain/sleet/snow IMBY....it'd be the white stuff for everyone*

    *With clouds and ppn overhead :D

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  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Best get a thermal cover for my thermal coffee cup or it will be cold by the time i get to the car from my front door on Monday morning!

    #windchill :cold:

    Modele GFS - Carte prévisions

    Bite me :spiteful: please !! :give_rose:

    Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: Ireland
  • Location: Ireland
    1 minute ago, mb018538 said:

    Pleaseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

    At least if it does come off it won't be will it/won't it be rain/sleet/snow IMBY....it'd be the white stuff for everyone*

    *With clouds and ppn overhead :D

    I dunno...Dew Point looks a bit marginal ;)

    174-101UK.GIF?19-6

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    Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex

    By 192 on this run the Greenland vortex is in absolute tatters, compared to the ECM which has a fairly strong section still in charge, quite a big difference

    IMG_0274.PNG

    IMG_0275.PNG

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    Posted
  • Location: Farnham - Surrey
  • Location: Farnham - Surrey

    Typical - thought southern areas were most at risk from snow but luckily as GFS precip are a load of tosh this far out I won't take much notice - yet

    Edit just seen 222hrs - you're forgiven !

     

    gfs-16-204.png

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    Message added by Paul

    Please only post model discussion in this thread. 

    For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
    https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

    For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
    https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

    Thank you!

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