Jump to content
Paul

Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?

Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread. 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

Thank you!

Message added by Paul

Recommended Posts

OH... MY... GOD :bomb::shok:

Do I dare to dream that we are in the realms of something not seen since the likes of the start of 1963 here?! I've never seen a run like it.. Gobsmacked! 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

GFS maxes for London next week

Sun 0c

Mon -1c

Tues -3c

Weds -3c.  !!!!

Rural areas probs about 1-2 less tues / weds ( Stanstead was -8c on 12 jan 1987 in -20c air ) 

So -5 seems to be the landing zone...

Is that Stansted In Kent Steve? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

Thus- my alarm calls for planner-reorange, sync.

Truly @this stage the parameter alarms ARE NOISING!!

WTF??? does that mean?

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Guys, look at 216-276hrs and the upper high over Greenland, its actually pulling a reverse polar vortex with the heights wrapping around. I've never seen something like that before...

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So going by this you've got blizzards nationwide over the course of a few days!

Channel low followed by polar low. Not to mention seriously cold temperatures. It can't get better than this, surely? 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sorry to keep banging on. It is still going at T312 😎

IMG_1637.PNG

IMG_1638.PNG

Edited by ICE COLD
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Epic doesn't do the Gfs 18z justice!!:cold::shok::D

I'm a bit worried about sidney..nah I'm not really!:whistling:

18_165_mslp850.png

18_165_uk2mtmp.png

18_189_uk2mtmp.png

18_213_uk2mtmp.png

18_204_uk2mtmpmin.png

18_204_mslp850.png

18_276_mslp850.png

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

Thus- my alarm calls for planner-reorange, sync.

Truly @this stage the parameter alarms ARE NOISING!!

Weather of this severity in our country could cause a national grid failure. There will be excessive demand for electric heating and massive mechanical stresses in the lines.

I expect the METO will be pening the cold weather alert. We already have a level 1.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I’m absolutely gobsmacked 😶 speechless and in total shock. This will without doubt cause absolute gridlock....

BRING IT ON I SAY 🤡

  • Like 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like the Atlantic will make inroads at +350 or so, But the GFS is known for being over progressive:rofl:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, AmershamMike said:

WTF??? does that mean?

😂..

 

Ok mike in short-understandable terms,

Without exaggerate!

There should be some viable-planner structures put in place..due to transport' public service...general concern for health and safety!!!..

😂😉

And that is all-jokes 'aside'..

Brutal is the byword here !!!

Edited by tight isobar
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Does anyone have an estimate of snow depth for different parts of the country on that run? Must be measuring in feet surely pretty much anywhere?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Gulp 😳😳

Just seen gfs!

 

 

Edited by SNOW_TIGER
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

😂..

 

Ok mike in short-understandable terms,

Without exaggerate!

There should be some viable-planner structures put in place..due to transport' public service...general concern for health and safety!!!..

😂😉

Ah!! Gotcha! Thanks for clarification - I was miles off!! 😂

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

if gfs 18z comes off 

there will be a new breed of kids who 

wil be l snow addicts 

like all the over 40's on this forum 

who were around in the snowy late 70,s 

and the 80,s 

gfs is just fantastic )😂:yahoo:

  • Like 8

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

Looks like the Atlantic will make inroads at +350 or so, But the GFS is known for being over progressive:rofl:

By 372 the cold and snow seems to be heading south again

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The run ends with a snow-rain event in the south and probably a foot of snowfall for the northand south of Scotland and a real risk of cold being re-introduced again!

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

Is that Stansted In Kent Steve? 

Unsure 

heres the 87/91 clipping from TWO - see max temp bit

DFFCEE7C-8E39-48AC-AEA6-106A170DAB54.thumb.jpeg.95ecd0907e36f1e2dfd8dafced5913e4.jpeg

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In for the mother of all let downs

for once, please let it happen... please 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Similar Content

    • By Paul
      A fresh model thread as we enter a new phase of weather post-beast. 
      As always please keep it to the models in here. 
      Want to view the model outputs?
      You can get all the major ones here on Netweather:
      GFS
      GEFS Ensembles
      ECMWF
      ECMWF EPS
      NetWx-SR
      NetWx-MR
      Met-Office
      Fax
      GEM
      GFS Hourly
      Snow forecast and precip type
      Model Comparison
      Global Jet Stream
      Stratosphere
    • By Paul
      A busy spell coming up, as the beast from the east arrives.
      As the focus of the model thread is often a bit further ahead, for those wanting to talk more exclusively about the shorter term outputs, we do have a short-range thread up and running. (You're still welcome to discuss the shorter term in here too though).
      This thread is all about discussing the models - but we have loads of other options for other topics:
      As always, please keep it to the models in here, and head over to the banter thread for any moans, ramps and general chat.
      For threads related to the cold spell, met office forecasts, the winter overall and much more on top, please take a look at the general weather forum:
      https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/1-winter-and-general-weather-discussion/
      And finally, if you're wanting to chat about your local weather, the risk of snow in your particular location etc, then the regional threads are for you:
      https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/
      Want to view the model outputs?
      You can get all the major ones here on Netweather:
      GFS
      GEFS Ensembles
      ECMWF
      ECMWF EPS
      NetWx-SR
      NetWx-MR
      Met-Office
      Fax
      GEM
      GFS Hourly
      Snow forecast and precip type
      Model Comparison
      Global Jet Stream
      Stratosphere
    • By Paul
      Ooh yes, it's busy and with good reason - it's a rare beast to see the sort of charts we're seeing right now. It would appear the UK and much of Europe is headed into the freezer, but how cold, and for how long?
      As always, please keep to just discussing the model output in this thread.
      We have a thread open to discuss the cold spell - so if you're wanting to chat more generally about it, or talk about forecasts from the BBC, Met Office, Netweather etc, please head over there:
      https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/89358-ssw-related-cold-spell-will-it-wont-it/
      It's also worth keeping an eye on is the blogs from our team including @Jo Farrow & @Nick Finnis, there's some great info about the SSW, the cold spell etc, and new articles will be posted regularly:
      https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/blogs
      Want to view the model outputs?
      You can get all the major ones here on Netweather:
      GFS
      GEFS Ensembles
      ECMWF
      ECMWF EPS
      NetWx-SR
      NetWx-MR
      Met-Office
      Fax
      GEM
      GFS Hourly
      Snow forecast and precip type
      Model Comparison
      Global Jet Stream
      Stratosphere
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×