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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?

Paul

Please only post model discussion in this thread. 

For more general chat and banter, or moans and ramps loosely around the models, please head to the banter thread:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/

For general weather chat including about the snow/cold chances around the country, please go to the regional threads:
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/

Thank you!

Message added by Paul

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OH... MY... GOD :bomb::shok:

Do I dare to dream that we are in the realms of something not seen since the likes of the start of 1963 here?! I've never seen a run like it.. Gobsmacked! 

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6 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

GFS maxes for London next week

Sun 0c

Mon -1c

Tues -3c

Weds -3c.  !!!!

Rural areas probs about 1-2 less tues / weds ( Stanstead was -8c on 12 jan 1987 in -20c air ) 

So -5 seems to be the landing zone...

Is that Stansted In Kent Steve? 

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1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

Thus- my alarm calls for planner-reorange, sync.

Truly @this stage the parameter alarms ARE NOISING!!

WTF??? does that mean?

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Guys, look at 216-276hrs and the upper high over Greenland, its actually pulling a reverse polar vortex with the heights wrapping around. I've never seen something like that before...

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So going by this you've got blizzards nationwide over the course of a few days!

Channel low followed by polar low. Not to mention seriously cold temperatures. It can't get better than this, surely? 

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Sorry to keep banging on. It is still going at T312 😎

IMG_1637.PNG

IMG_1638.PNG

Edited by ICE COLD
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Epic doesn't do the Gfs 18z justice!!:cold::shok::D

I'm a bit worried about sidney..nah I'm not really!:whistling:

18_165_mslp850.png

18_165_uk2mtmp.png

18_189_uk2mtmp.png

18_213_uk2mtmp.png

18_204_uk2mtmpmin.png

18_204_mslp850.png

18_276_mslp850.png

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1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

Thus- my alarm calls for planner-reorange, sync.

Truly @this stage the parameter alarms ARE NOISING!!

Weather of this severity in our country could cause a national grid failure. There will be excessive demand for electric heating and massive mechanical stresses in the lines.

I expect the METO will be pening the cold weather alert. We already have a level 1.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

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I’m absolutely gobsmacked 😶 speechless and in total shock. This will without doubt cause absolute gridlock....

BRING IT ON I SAY 🤡

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Looks like the Atlantic will make inroads at +350 or so, But the GFS is known for being over progressive:rofl:

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6 minutes ago, AmershamMike said:

WTF??? does that mean?

😂..

 

Ok mike in short-understandable terms,

Without exaggerate!

There should be some viable-planner structures put in place..due to transport' public service...general concern for health and safety!!!..

😂😉

And that is all-jokes 'aside'..

Brutal is the byword here !!!

Edited by tight isobar
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Does anyone have an estimate of snow depth for different parts of the country on that run? Must be measuring in feet surely pretty much anywhere?

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Gulp 😳😳

Just seen gfs!

 

 

Edited by SNOW_TIGER
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1 minute ago, tight isobar said:

😂..

 

Ok mike in short-understandable terms,

Without exaggerate!

There should be some viable-planner structures put in place..due to transport' public service...general concern for health and safety!!!..

😂😉

Ah!! Gotcha! Thanks for clarification - I was miles off!! 😂

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if gfs 18z comes off 

there will be a new breed of kids who 

wil be l snow addicts 

like all the over 40's on this forum 

who were around in the snowy late 70,s 

and the 80,s 

gfs is just fantastic )😂:yahoo:

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3 minutes ago, Stu_London said:

Looks like the Atlantic will make inroads at +350 or so, But the GFS is known for being over progressive:rofl:

By 372 the cold and snow seems to be heading south again

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The run ends with a snow-rain event in the south and probably a foot of snowfall for the northand south of Scotland and a real risk of cold being re-introduced again!

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10 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

Is that Stansted In Kent Steve? 

Unsure 

heres the 87/91 clipping from TWO - see max temp bit

DFFCEE7C-8E39-48AC-AEA6-106A170DAB54.thumb.jpeg.95ecd0907e36f1e2dfd8dafced5913e4.jpeg

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In for the mother of all let downs

for once, please let it happen... please 

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