SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

[Radiating Dendrite]

3 minutes ago, jright35 said:

BBC going with some snow tonight early morning for south east, however they fancy norwich upto Scotland having the most this week! 5-10cm South East 15-20cm further north! So will they be right???

It is the longer sea track that is better for them and the fact it is not as sensitive to wind direction changes. 

[Lampostwatcher]

ukmo says all snow blizzards for Friday 

[leemondo]

5 minutes ago, leemondo said:

Deleted 

 

Edited February 25, 2018 by leemondo

[Redmc13]

1 minute ago, throwoff said:

That new METO video is brilliant! Snow tonight for Kent! Here we go!!!

Not sure I fancy my drive from Sandwich (doubt we will get much) to my office in Gillingham tomorrow .. 

[Jayces]

1 minute ago, smarklew said:

Is it all off then?? I’ve been away all weekend, just got home after leaving husband a list of preparations to make. He’s been out and got logs, candles, wrapped the outside taps up and now I’ve got to tell him it’s not happening??? I was looking forward to sitting down to watch the radar now and being snowed in in the morning??? Please tell me we are still getting some snow! My kids may never speak to me again. ??

As it's showers and streamers the only way you will get an answer to your question is to radar watch i'm afraid. Though you are under an amber warning so chances are good.

[James Oliver]

Temperature beginning to dive now in Dover. Fluctuations between 2.5-3.1 for the last hour. Now at 2.0 and continuing to fall. 

[Big Snow]

8 minutes ago, Wimbledon88 said:

Yes,looking like a bit of a non event for most of the region now,amazing changes in forecast over the last day. Shame really. Maybe it was being too hyped for too long anyway. 

Come on, that's just not true. Much of Kent, Essex and Sussex is in for a battering, SE London should get a fair bit and most other areas will at least see showers.

EDIT -  check out the video posted by Yamkin, above.

Edited February 25, 2018 by Big Snow

[yamkin]

1 minute ago, throwoff said:

That new METO video is brilliant! Snow tonight for Kent! Here we go!!!

Their video is really impressive. I'm going to add it here again 

 

[Speedbird]

2 minutes ago, James Oliver said:

The latest met office forecast has some snow showers arriving into SE corner from around 8pm.

indeed, there's a lot of showers west of Amsterdam which are heading SW and are likely to intensify - landfall around 8pm looks about right for the south east corner

[Radiating Dendrite]

2 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

ukmo says all snow blizzards for Friday 

The 0c line is to our north late Friday - will start as snow and then switch to rain looking at that. It will likely change anyway and uppers for tomorrow - Thurs look a little colder. 

[James Oliver]

Just now, Speedbird said:

indeed, there's a lot of showers west of Amsterdam which are heading SW and are likely to intensify - landfall around 8pm looks about right for the south east corner

I'm really hoping to have a dusting/slight covering by morning before things really get going. 

[Ben Lewis]

BBC take on snow accumulations by 16:00 Wednesday. 

 

 

[craigore]

Location Ramsgate.

Top temp today 1.7c

Now dropped to 0.6c

Due pnt -8c

Feeling really raw in the wind now.

Still gin clear skies

There seems to be a lot of ppn now on the radar across the low countries

All heading in a Easterly direction.

[James Oliver]

1 minute ago, Ben Lewis said:

BBC take on snow accumulations by 16:00 Wednesday. 

 

 

I'm loving the precision of 2-10cm!!!?

Edited February 25, 2018 by James Oliver

[CK1981]

1 minute ago, Radiating Dendrite said:

The 0c line is to our north late Friday - will start as snow and then switch to rain looking at that. It will likely change anyway and uppers for tomorrow - Thurs look a little colder. 

I was thinking the same, the UKMO at 120 has positive 850hpa across the south. I can’t see that producing a lot of snow here.

[Snowy Bob]

2 minutes ago, Speedbird said:

indeed, there's a lot of showers west of Amsterdam which are heading SW and are likely to intensify - landfall around 8pm looks about right for the south east corner

Saw that before I left for the gym. Unexpected surprises and all that. 

Really raw in that wind down by the coast at the moment. 

[stainesbloke]

10 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

What a beautiful day, I quickly got out in the garden to enjoy the sunshine but quickly went in when i froze me knackers off

Oooh, look painful 

 

[kold weather]

1 minute ago, Big Snow said:

Come on, that's just not true. Much of Kent, Essex and Sussex is in for a battering, SE London should get a fair bit and most other areas will at least see showers. 

Yeah, probably the Thames will be the natural divide between higher and lower totals, to the north of the Thames and your probably going to be needing unexpected troughs to get much in the way, to the south and its going to depend on the exact variation.

Also worth saying those that aren't too far from the coast along the east coast will probably do very nicely as well.

[Chris101]

7 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

ukmo says all snow blizzards for Friday 

That 12z is pretty much the outcome that Mogreps has been giving by all accounts.

[stainesbloke]

3 minutes ago, James Oliver said:

I'm loving the precision of 2-10cm!!!?

Indeed! I guess it’s encouraging that it’s 2-10cm and not 0-10cm

[kold weather]

2 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

I was thinking the same, the UKMO at 120 has positive 850hpa across the south. I can’t see that producing a lot of snow here.

Does look like it may JUST be the wrong side of marginal on the UKMO. The GFS also has a snow-rain event with possibly freezing rain away from coasts.

Still there is time for the tiny changes required to make that first front all snow...afterwards does look like a breakdown though.

[Speedbird]

Just now, stainesbloke said:

Indeed! I guess it’s encouraging that it’s 2-10cm and not 0-10cm

i think they're being conservative . . . the convection factor is an unknown quantity and the instability fueled by the warm N Sea could help to promote some quite beefy snow showers.

Here's hoping

[Climate change]

And those on the SE coast look like getting sweet FA. Typical, I’m gonna wake up every morning this week and see a green garden. Sorry to be negative but it’s been like that for the last 6 years.

[CK1981]

Just now, kold weather said:

Does look like it may JUST be the wrong side of marginal on the UKMO. The GFS also has a snow-rain event with possibly freezing rain away from coasts.

Still there is time for the tiny changes required to make that first front all snow...afterwards does look like a breakdown though.

I still believe it will correct south and stand by my original track prediction. If the low passes just south of the Channel Islands and then heads ENE through the Cherbourg Peninsular, we’ll all be happy!

[Coopsy]

Just been out for a lovely walk. Nice and fresh and brilliant sunshine. It’s surreal thinking it’s the calm before the storm. ❄️❄️❄️?