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Captain Shortwave

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

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Just briefly touched 6c here 😳

Maybe the BBC new suppliers not so off the mark

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Certainly with a stronger sun and unusually low T850 temp / low DAM it’s slightly unchartered terroirity exactly what convection kicks off . Im a extreme weather person so that low pressure track end of the week really caught the eye. With the updated MET update we may hit the jackpot although experience say those tracks aren’t locked in even at T6 . 

Remember it was a low tracking up from France that was the initial focus for 1/2 Feb 2009 but it the Thames steamer that gave me 10 inches 

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1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Just briefly touched 6c here 😳

Maybe the BBC new suppliers not so off the mark

LOL

cold hasn’t got here yet. 

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Stepped outside initially and thought it wasn't too bad, but after being out in that wind for twenty minutes boy is it chilly! 

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I’m watching bbc news and it said there is an Amber warning out??? 

Edit it was an amber alert sorry 

Edited by EJA

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1 minute ago, EJA said:

I’m watching bbc news and it said there is an Amber warning out???

Amber health warning for the severity of the cold. No Amber weather warnings yet, but some are to be expected in the coming days. 

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2 minutes ago, EJA said:

I’m watching bbc news and it said there is an Amber warning out???

Unable to access the warning site, maybe you’re right on that.

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Beautiful day today here in West london, sun felt quite warm. Up to 7c at one point. Could be the last bit of warmth for a while!

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They we’re talking about the amber alert sorry peeps (hopefully soon though) 

Edited by EJA

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The cat found a spot in the sun this morning and came in feeling toasty.

Shows the power returning for Spring, which is why I'm not bothered if the cold spell ends after a week. 

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To put things into perspective, upper air temperatures are hovering around 0c today and we’re maxing out at 6c thanks to the easterly feed off the continent.

Next week upper air will be down to -15c.....epic!

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15 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Just briefly touched 6c here 😳

Maybe the BBC new suppliers not so off the mark

To be fair the uppers are milder today as there is a brief warm up aloft with the developing high pressure nearby is warming the air up...soon going to change though. Worth noting as well the GFS ended up being closer to the mark than the ECM with the timings, cold air will arrive onthe 25th, the eCM was pretty keen on the morning of the 26th...

Amber warning probably will come out tomorrow once the high resolution models have Monday in their sights!

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I know Sunday onwards is when the colder uppers spread over us Shotski.........................But Maxes were shown as 2-3c today so maybe the 4-5c for tomorrow is not going to be laughable, that was my point. The sun out of the wind is really quite warm

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1 hour ago, Chris101 said:

Morning all, temp 3c dp 3c

Sat 24 looking dreamy this morning,behind the weak front in the North sea. Clear  to see the cold air  already working a treat off the West coast of Estonia and Latvia making some wonderful looking shower trains spreading towards Germany and Netherlands. This is the same effect we want to see off the coast of the Netherlands over the next 48hours.

https://en.sat24.com/en/scan/visual

 

Wow, they are exactly the sort of shower trains, as you say, that I was expecting to show up by now, looking fabulous there on the radar as they hit Southern Denmark. And it would seem to me that they are heading direct trajectory towards out shores in the SE!:yahoo:

Not long to wait now for the action to start, this time tomorrow will be kick off for the start of lamp post watch and the first flurries. Hope everyone has stocked up on their snow supplies, treats and nibbles, chocolate, bounties, and flakes. I got 12 bottles of wine this morning, should keep me going at least until Weds!:drunk-emoji:

frozen14.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

I know Sunday onwards is when the colder uppers spread over us Shotski.........................But Maxes were shown as 2-3c today so maybe the 4-5c for tomorrow is not going to be laughable, that was my point. The sun out of the wind is really quite warm

What is interesting is that the further inland you go your back down to 3-4C range. Looks like the North Sea is moderating things somewhat (as you'd expect). Anyway temps are going to be well over 10C colder at 850hpa within 48hrs.

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BBC on the Friday news at 1.30pm said Friday 4-5c, Saturday 5-6c and Sunday 3-4c for this region and 2-3c for Monday (all maxes).

Here on the Essex Riviera (Burnham) max of 4c yesterday and so far a max of 5.5c today.

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1 hour ago, Paul Sherman said:

ENE

1stdec2010.gif

That was perfection for here, the showers effecting the Thames Estuary and moving well inland but keeping to the south of London mainly. On the other hand some places in NW London were wondering what all the fuss was about.

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34 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

everywhere sold out of sledges ,guess it have to be tin tray !!!!!

I have one - Yours for the right price :wink:

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2 hours ago, cobbett said:

Odd choice of word on the Meto warning

Heavy snow showers are expected on Wednesday. There is the potential for travel delays on roads, with some stranded vehicles and passengers,

and passengers ?  Well I suppose you could have a stranded vehicle without passengers after they've left before being stranded or.maybe it means that the passengers can't walk after being left stranded due to their car being stranded - hmm i must be bored - need to get outside  :cc_confused:

Maybe the would be passengers are waiting for a lift but the vehicle gets stranded so the would be passengers waiting, get stranded too, leaving a stranded vehicle and passengers who didn't actual get a chance to be stranded vehicle passengers.:cc_confused:

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27 minutes ago, EJA said:

I’m watching bbc news and it said there is an Amber warning out??? 

Edit it was an amber alert sorry 

Lev3

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6 minutes ago, snowray said:

That was perfection for here, the showers effecting the Thames Estuary and moving well inland but keeping to the south of London mainly. On the other hand some places in NW London were wondering what all the fuss was about.

Got plenty of snow from that in NE London, perhaps not as much in NW.

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