SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

[Daenerys]

5 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Shines right in my house 

My lamp post is the same as that..lights up the whole house ? watching won’t last for long as they turn it off at 1.00am...what is the betting the snow starts at 1.01am..

[Flaked Queen]

1 minute ago, Sno' problem said:

That's obscene!! How the hell are you meant to sleep with that shining at your window?

Black out blind  

[lottiekent]

17 minutes ago, Sno' problem said:

It is still very much hit and miss for the inland areas of our region, plus the coastal areas might suffer slightly from the warmth of the sea. That is probably why places like Dover, Deal etc are not within the MetOffice warning areas.

Again, I don't see any issue with the coastal areas. The dew points along the coast at sea level from Folkestone to Deal are currently around -3c to -5c and the "proper" cold associated with the lower dew points haven't even arrived yet.

If anything the sea temps should aid convection..

[Azores Hi]

Evening all

 I’m booked on a fishing trip launching from Dungeness on Sunday. 

Really hope the wind gets up and it’s cancelled because the thought of standing on a rocking boat in freezing temps is not my idea of fun! 

Come on easterly wind, blow and bring snow, I don’t wanna go (fishing)!

[Flaked Queen]

Just now, Daenerys said:

My lamp post is the same as that..lights up the whole house ? watching won’t last for long as they turn it off at 1.00am...what is the betting the snow starts at 1.01am..

Horrid aren’t they ! I had a moan when they were painting it ... all I got was I’m the painter luv not the one who fitted it ! Oh well hope it makes our snow watching better has to have some benefits I guess ? 

[moogyboobles]

12 minutes ago, c00ps said:

I don’t think it’ll be powder nearer the coast. It certainly wasn’t in 87 or 91. Though drier than our usual snow I’ve seen true powder. I could clear my driveway in cana by blowing it away when it was true powder. 

The snow in '91 was excellent for snow fights. I had a technique where I'd make snowcastles and line them up behind my dad's car ready to deploy.  I have video footage of this that I must get converted so I can embarrass the now man I annihilated with my snow fighting methods by tagging him in it on facebook. 

[Sno' problem]

3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

yes 

also im interested what convection Kent can sustain in the deep cold SE winds-

once the track gets less than 40-50 Miles it will potentially dry up unless theres any troughs !

This is the problem. I have spent too many sleepless nights watching ppn fizzle out just as it reaches me, but this cold snap should, at some point, provide the perfect ingredients for a good streamer, just where is is directed is yet to be seen.

[tinybill]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=6

 

all i say after  Monday if our part of country   don't comes to halt to snow i be amassed!!

[CK1981]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

yes 

also im interested what convection Kent can sustain in the deep cold SE winds-

once the track gets less than 40-50 Miles it will potentially dry up unless theres any troughs !

This is where I’m thinking it won’t dry up. Take today for example. Low uppers, easterly flow, but cloud building as a result. 

Now, let’s look at next week. -14 uppers, massive differential. I’m thinking larger areas of precipitation moving more generally across the south...

[fluid dynamic]

9 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

YES ....  anyhow how’s that snow brewing 

i havent brewed anything sorry, im on the shiraz, hic 

[Methuselah]

6 minutes ago, Azores Hi said:

Evening all

 I’m booked on a fishing trip launching from Dungeness on Sunday. 

Really hope the wind gets up and it’s cancelled because the thought of standing on a rocking boat in freezing temps is not my idea of fun! 

Come on easterly wind, blow and bring snow, I don’t wanna go (fishing)!

A bumper catch of Birdseye frozen fish fingers?

[tinybill]

i see in the  mad tread  our neck of woods could easily now get a red warning from the met office  soon

[pureasthedriven]

1 hour ago, Chris101 said:

The only worry is, i remember trying to build snowmen and snowballs in 87 and you just couldn't because of the dry powderiness.

1987 O Level art. School open. Insane weather. Art teacher took us out to the field and we built an igloo. True story. Imagine that now?! #shitadusting ?

[CK1981]

I’ve not checked the 18z output from the GFS or ICON, but I’m guessing nothing has changed too much as the MOD thread hasn’t imploded ?

[Daniel*]

ECM is interested in a streamer....

[kold weather]

The main thing is the showers may start to dry up as the upper cold pool moves to our west some point on Thursday. Winds shift more ESE which may allow a short stream but a fair chance the frontal shield will start to reduce the instability.

[Sno' problem]

11 minutes ago, moogyboobles said:

The snow in '91 was excellent for snow fights. I had a technique where I'd make snowcastles and line them up behind my dad's car ready to deploy.  I have video footage of this that I must get converted so I can embarrass the now man I annihilated with my snow fighting methods by tagging him in it on facebook. 

That was amazing snow for snowballs, remember that winter fondly.

[Speedbird]

Just now, CK1981 said:

I’ve not checked the 18z output from the GFS or ICON, but I’m guessing nothing has changed too much as the MOD thread hasn’t imploded ?

ICON is a definite upgrade . . . more stellar charts !

 

[Nick F]

18z GFS keen on snow showers early doors on Monday

[Mac_SE]

Three words I thought I'd never hear again: long fetch easterly.... Music to my ears  

[SMU]

So guys / Girls bookmark the time 

Radar watch starts 7-8pm Sunday -?

Snow falling across the region by 10pm❄️❄️

Flow allignment is 80-85 Degrees EENE.

 

[Speedbird]

1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

ECM is interested in a streamer....

cannot believe that's showing rain !!! It could only be snow falling from the sky in that set-up

 

[CK1981]

1 minute ago, Speedbird said:

ICON is a definite upgrade . . . more stellar charts !

 

That’s good! ICON is mocked as a lesser model, but it’s been performing well recently so can’t be discounted 

[fluid dynamic]

3 minutes ago, pureasthedriven said:

1987 O Level art. School open. Insane weather. Art teacher took us out to the field and we built an igloo. True story. Imagine that now?! #shitadusting ?

My art teacher was really cool too. Sadly in Poole i dont remember having snow when doing O level Art. Wasnt it GCSE in 87? Yep I am old enough to know when O levels ended....

[saint]

Evening all, back from work! 

Any update on snow potential for those of us a bit further west/north in the region?