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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards


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Christ. Had to actually talk to the missus. Wife: You have been glued to that phone lately, you looking at porn or something? Me: Yes, yes I am... Wife: You dirty b****** what exactly a

Good evening Thought I would give a quick update on how things are developing in regards to MOGREPS and ECM (perfered medium range model currently) MOGREPS... Consistent signal throughout th

The SE contingent watching the radar about 4pm Sunday

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4 minutes ago, snowblind said:

BBC at it again. Only snow flurries according to their Sunday to Tuesday outlook. More emphasis on sunshine and no mention of possible significant accumulations, unlike the metoffice outlook for the same period.

I'm starting to learn now that the human interaction with these forecasts is nil.

As has been said before, the text forecast from actual professional forecasters (and the uber experienced members on here) are far better at giving us the correct picture.

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7 minutes ago, Mark said:

I'm starting to learn now that the human interaction with these forecasts is nil.

As has been said before, the text forecast from actual professional forecasters (and the uber experienced members on here) are far better at giving us the correct picture.

Indeed. I just think it's poor of them. Maybe they will be correct but there is a clear risk that they are failing to mention on there website where a lot of people will get their weather info from.

I should say they do have the met office warnings on there but think that just makes it more confusing for Joe public as their forecast contradicts it.

Edited by snowblind
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The way I’m reading the forecasts is it’s going to be very cold with ice days likely, so any snow will easily settle and frosts will not melt. Though how much snow will fall is still uncertain. Areas to the E of our region look best placed for initial accumulations, then more widely if there’s low pressure moving up from the S. There is the chance that some of us might see very little snow, that’d be torturous!

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GFS snow arriving for us on monday morning-

prectypeuktopo-15.thumb.png.623463ba21a1b68b99b5bc50b2c0c853.png

continuing through tuesday-

prectypeuktopo-26.thumb.png.1960c6320c47d01bb70f3d4810ec4d15.png

prectypeuktopo-21.thumb.png.0198f42b5b2409cd698c118c0980ee7e.png

then on thursday night, it turns us into an antarctic wilderness...

prectypeuktopo-28.thumb.png.145c0df910c9dcab78c75ec559194a0e.png

prectypeuktopo-20.thumb.png.a59aedde0881426d32382fcbf0494354.png

prectypeuktopo-25.thumb.png.093782bb4681d403d36dee7c7b83ac62.png

if thats correct, then the Met Office are vastly underplaying it for now...

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snow will come in the form of showers from the east late Sunday evening 

showers hit and miss some heavy 

obviously the further West you are the more like the showers may not be as heavy and might be light if they die 

like when they come in from the northwest and die a death when getting near London 

Monday and tues look prime for more 

longer spells of snow bands and more frequent activity meaning accumulated snow up to 1 to 20 cm possible 

hit and miss

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4 minutes ago, bobbydog said:

GFS snow arriving for us on monday morning-

prectypeuktopo-15.thumb.png.623463ba21a1b68b99b5bc50b2c0c853.png

continuing through tuesday-

prectypeuktopo-26.thumb.png.1960c6320c47d01bb70f3d4810ec4d15.png

prectypeuktopo-21.thumb.png.0198f42b5b2409cd698c118c0980ee7e.png

then on thursday night, it turns us into an antarctic wilderness...

prectypeuktopo-28.thumb.png.145c0df910c9dcab78c75ec559194a0e.png

prectypeuktopo-20.thumb.png.a59aedde0881426d32382fcbf0494354.png

prectypeuktopo-25.thumb.png.093782bb4681d403d36dee7c7b83ac62.png

if thats correct, then the Met Office are vastly underplaying it for now...

If all that comes to fruition then “Wow!”, but I got an uneasy impression that all is not well towRds the end of next week, hope I’m wrong.

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28 minutes ago, snowblind said:

BBC at it again. Only snow flurries according to their Sunday to Tuesday outlook. More emphasis on sunshine and no mention of possible significant accumulations, unlike the metoffice outlook for the same period.

Better than dry for all of next week,beeb been dreadful in the run up to this cold spell

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6 minutes ago, kold weather said:

WRF is still forecasting a thames streamer starting around 00z Monday. Wind is a touch more due east so it targets area a touch north of the 06z version. Models tomorrow will be bringing this possiblity into range.

Can you post any pics mate?

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Ain’t got a scooby ... but liked the colours so here is my outlook for it ( takes a deep breath ) .. if it’s blue it’s cold ... green nah ... yellow mmmm warmish .... amber hot hot hot ... red ... get the f out of the sun ..

and purple ..... very cold ..

am I right :friends:

4761BEE1-CCC6-4D3D-89AF-63F0E738E2B9.png

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Not as cold tonight due to a strengthening south easterly breeze.

arpegeuk-41-19-0.png?23-17

Still below freezing for most (-3/4C in sheltered spots), any cloud should push away as the night goes on.

Tomorrow looks fine with long sunny spells

arpegeuk-41-26-0.png?23-17   arpegeuk-43-27-0.png?23-17

Highs around the same as today (3-5C), it will feel bitter in the wind though.

Saturday night

Clear skies again with a brisk easterly wind

arpegeuk-41-43-0.png?23-17

Again the wind will stop the temperatures dropping too much (-1 to -3C)

Sunday

Another fine day with long sunny spells, cloud will increase later in the east of the region which will be the beginnings of the brutally cold we will see next week. There will be some snow showers overnight.

arpegeuk-41-50-0.png?23-17

Maybe reaching 3/4C in the west but the temperatures will fall away later in the day as the cold air sweeps in.

Next week, temperatures probably no better than around 1C on Monday and falling below freezing probably for the rest of the working week.

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22 minutes ago, Sharpedge said:

If all that comes to fruition then “Wow!”, but I got an uneasy impression that all is not well towRds the end of next week, hope I’m wrong.

The end of next week is a billion years away at the moment.

Enjoy the ride. What happens will happen. We've plenty of weather to get through before this time next week.

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Regardless of what the models are saying, various weather agencies, the fake news media, your favourite weather app, everyone in our region is in with a shout for snow between Monday and Wednesday next week,and possibly beyond, 

if it settles or not, or how much falls, is a different issue  

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52 minutes ago, bobbydog said:

GFS snow arriving for us on monday morning-

prectypeuktopo-15.thumb.png.623463ba21a1b68b99b5bc50b2c0c853.png

continuing through tuesday-

prectypeuktopo-26.thumb.png.1960c6320c47d01bb70f3d4810ec4d15.png

prectypeuktopo-21.thumb.png.0198f42b5b2409cd698c118c0980ee7e.png

then on thursday night, it turns us into an antarctic wilderness...

prectypeuktopo-28.thumb.png.145c0df910c9dcab78c75ec559194a0e.png

prectypeuktopo-20.thumb.png.a59aedde0881426d32382fcbf0494354.png

prectypeuktopo-25.thumb.png.093782bb4681d403d36dee7c7b83ac62.png

if thats correct, then the Met Office are vastly underplaying it for now...

Just need that milder sector to stay a little further south , other wise it becomes a snow to rain event for kent.

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I live in Lowestoft a hundred meters or so from the sea, the most easterly point in the UK and it is feeling absolutely perishing in the fresh east winds. With the severe cold temperature's not here yet I dread to think how it's going to feel here come mid-week with minus maximum temperature's, prolonged heavy snow and a strong east wind. 

There's going to be some amazing photo's from this area come middle of next week. 

I also expect the Broads to freeze over by Friday next week.

BV

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