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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

Captain Shortwave

By Captain Shortwave
in Regional

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Country Boy Contributor

Country Boy

Posted
  • Location: Sible Hedingham. Essex
  • Location: Sible Hedingham. Essex
Posted (edited)

Wow...the wind here has really been gusting the last two hours...Iam not going out in that

It's bitterly cold ..the beast is nearly on the beach

 

Edited by clactongaz
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Speedbird Community Regular

Speedbird

Posted
  • Location: Delnies, Nairn, Highlands (30m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and ice
  • Location: Delnies, Nairn, Highlands (30m asl)
Posted
3 minutes ago, Rinse The Raindrops said:

Saturday Evening Update

The first snow of the upcoming cold spell is now entering the range of the higher-resolution weather models. Whilst a few flurries could develop as early as daytime Monday, a strong signal exists for bands of heavier snow showers to develop in the Southern North Sea and move inland during the early hours of Tuesday and persisting possibly into Wednesday.

Areas at greatest risk of seeing significant accumulations from these showers are South/East of a line from Clacton to Rainham. Snow will fall elsewhere, but showers may not be as frequent or heavy.

This evening's model runs increase the risk of widespread, heavy snow and blizzards next Friday. This will need to be kept a close eye on over the new few days.

Temperatures will progressively drop from Monday with many districts of Essex below freezing for a 48-72hr period. Thursday is likely to be the coldest day with highs of -2C or -3C which is unprecedented for the first day of meteorological Spring.

Next update: Sunday Morning - Duty Forecaster

fantastic news for the  South Essex Riviera . . .

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

i have just witnessed  one  of the scary  weather  forcast ever  on the  bbc news  24  if any one recorded it i dont know how please put it on here it like the day after tomorow the end of  the week will make your hair go up on your neck  and this  no ramp

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EML Network Rising Star

EML Network

Posted
  • Location: Epsom, Surrey, 100 Meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme
  • Location: Epsom, Surrey, 100 Meters above sea level
Posted

lots to look forward to between Mon and Thursday, but that spoiler low is being modelled to visit us quicker and quicker on each run at this rate by the time we wake up on Thursday any snow may have melted :-(

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Amanzi Explorer

Amanzi

Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
  • Location: Bramley, Surrey
Posted
1 minute ago, tinybill said:

i have just witnessed  one  of the scary  weather  forcast ever  on the  bbc news  24  if any one recorded it i dont know how please put it on here it like the day after tomorow the end of  the week will make your hair go up on your neck  and this  no ramp

Shoot I missed it... Chasing cats indoors. If anyone has a link, please post it.

 

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted
3 minutes ago, tinybill said:

i have just witnessed  one  of the scary  weather  forcast ever  on the  bbc news  24  if any one recorded it i dont know how please put it on here it like the day after tomorow the end of  the week will make your hair go up on your neck  and this  no ramp

It was wintry but not scary thing I did notice cold continuing even in the south no mention of rain or milder in fact quite the opposite enjoy guys.

C.S

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted
Just now, EML Network said:

lots to look forward to between Mon and Thursday, but that spoiler low is being modelled to visit us quicker and quicker on each run at this rate by the time we wake up on Thursday any snow may have melted :-(

Let’s accentuate the positive, shall we? 

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MagicBat Rookie

MagicBat

Posted
  • Location: On The Essex / Herts West Boarder
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Storms
  • Location: On The Essex / Herts West Boarder
Posted
54 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

Oh I agree with you and many will do very well, unfortunately, I’m not best placed for the biggest falls 

I know where you coming from. I've been doing this for a few years now - you might surprised. Friday is looking good using multiple indicators and the air is unstable flowing off the North Sea. Some people where hope casting for snow or cold last week even when temps where forecasted at 7c. But it's game on now and no model we have predicts snow content correctly. And yes snow could cause travel issues in some area's come Wednesday night. MagicBat

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Rinse The Raindrops Apprentice

Rinse The Raindrops

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow of course
  • Location: Benfleet Essex
Posted
6 minutes ago, Snow Queen one said:

I am wondering where Maidstone falls in that line from Clacton to Rainham.  As i am south of Rainham but not East.  Can anyone in the know enlighten me plz

That was just for Essex 

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

Just to add insult to injury, our cold is cut even shorter on 18z and no snowy breakdown either....

You really couldn't make this up if you tried!!:wallbash:

gfs-0-120.png

gfs-1-120.png

gfs-2-120.png

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Speedbird Community Regular

Speedbird

Posted
  • Location: Delnies, Nairn, Highlands (30m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and ice
  • Location: Delnies, Nairn, Highlands (30m asl)
Posted
Just now, snowray said:

Just to add insult to injury, our cold is cut even shorter on 18z and no snowy breakdown either....

You really couldn't make this up if you tried!!:wallbash:

gfs-0-120.png

gfs-1-120.png

gfs-2-120.png

patience grasshopper . . .

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Essex Chelle Enthusiast

Essex Chelle

Posted
  • Location: Canvey Island
  • Weather Preferences: Deep untouched powdery snow and red hot beaches sipping cocktails
  • Location: Canvey Island
Posted

Oh my days it's cold out there I've just been out in Southend now back home on canvey the wind really blowing around my house it' made my cough awful again despite wrapping scarf around my face.  I know everyone wants a long term snow forecast but seriously I need this out the way for my long weekend away with my mates on Friday- a year of saving and planning will be ruined plus my other half self employed works outside so no money will be earnt next week as it is. It feels like Christmas eve waiting for next 24 hours it' exciting but for me Monday Tuesday Wednesday is more than enough ?

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CK1981 Rising Star

CK1981

Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
Posted
9 minutes ago, Thinon said:

The week ahead forecast on BBC News just now was quite something.

Have they finally fallen off the fence ??

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted (edited)

Evening all, not going even bother going in the MOD thread this evening, must be carnage after the 12z EC came out and now 18z GFS bringing milder air in too across the SE by Thursday evening. Still don’t think it’s a closed deal this sudden flip to quickly ending the cold spell later this week, still don’t think the models have a decent handle on the upper low / cold pool moving SW across the UK mid-week then ending up SW of UK which then pulls the low NE toward the UK. So don’t be surprised of a backtrack over subsequent runs.

Going to focus on Monday and Tuesday and forget about Thurs onwards, as most should see some snow showers at some point from Monday, hopefully giving a few centimetres at least by Wednesday for those missing the streamers.  Focus for heaviest falls from streamers perhaps coastal East Anglia (up to 20miles inland) and downstream to the SW or WSW of the Thames Estuary for 50 or so miles inland, also coastal areas of Kent should fair well - these areas of enhanced snowfall  we could see 2-5 inches (5-12cm) by Wednesday - this based on EC (below) so maybe too conservative.

FD4C5B78-B4A1-4467-A37E-2409843EAFBF.thumb.png.00ac0e80560d31f6553d95a3515b0302.png 12z EC snow accumulations up to 06z Weds 28th

Wednesday morning may see early snow showers ease, as winds veer more ESEly or SEly, somwithe shooter Sea fetch to near continent it will likely turn drier, though Suffol and Norfolk could seemfurthe rsnow showers with longer fetch over N Sea here.

 

 

Edited by Nick F
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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted
3 minutes ago, snowray said:

Just to add insult to injury, our cold is cut even shorter on 18z and no snowy breakdown either....

You really couldn't make this up if you tried!!:wallbash:

gfs-0-120.png

gfs-1-120.png

gfs-2-120.png

As I posted above week ahead forecast has you guys still in the cold air into next weekend I really do think the 2nd SSW is screwing around with models 

C.S

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted (edited)

Imagine what's going to happen to these forums when there's a few flakes of snow on the ground! 

Seems they can't even cope with a bit of cold at the mo!

Edited by tomp456
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CK1981 Rising Star

CK1981

Posted
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
  • Location: Binfield, Berkshire
Posted
29 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

Look if we get just one snowflake I will be NOT be happy I have waited soooooo long... this week has felt like we have all lived together in the big brother house ! Is it on or is it off ... I feel like I’m about to break up with my love of cold weather and book a holiday 

I feel your pain, being in the same neck of the woods. I think we’ll be ok 

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