SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards

[Gowon]

3 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

That’s exactly what we need daytime, no nasty snow melt at all  Though probably doesn’t need to be quite that cold at night, don’t think my duvet will be enough!

 You could always ask lassie to lend you one of his special care bare onesie

[SLEETY]

Great afternoon update from the met office ,prolonged snow mentioned in the forecast.

Still dry next week ? @Susan powell

Edited February 21, 2018 by SLEETY

[Flaked Queen]

1 minute ago, D.V.R said:

 You could always ask lassie to lend you one of his special care bare onesie

That’s mine !!! I’m the green carebare ?

[yamkin]

A very good forecast by the MetO........Enjoy

 

[Gowon]

2 minutes ago, Snowflake Queen said:

That’s mine !!! I’m the green carebare ?

 lol.. I'm ashamed to admit I used to watch care bare

[seb]

Banked!

[Uxbridge90]

Lovely forecast by the MetO

Wonder when the warnings will go out? 

[saint]

2 minutes ago, Uxbridge90 said:

Lovely forecast by the MetO

Wonder when the warnings will go out? 

If the models stay as they are, possibly Friday seeing as any snow could start Sunday evening/Monday.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Those members, who live in the Thames Corridor area, i.e. S.Essex, N.W.Kent, E. & S.London, down into parts of Surrey, wondering about what to look for on forecast charts, for signs of the fabled, Thames Streamer. Note the ENE wind arrows, very specific direction for T/Ss, to develop. Here are a couple of my fav. examples. 

2nd FEB 2009

25th DEC 1970

Both events, delivered "thundersnow". 2009, around 9 inches of snow in the Bromley, Kent, area.

1970, around 4 to 6 inches of snow, in Bromley and a fabulous, white Xmas.

Regards,

Tom.

[throwoff]

PANIC. PANIC!!!

[saint]

A text update from the MetO: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/2018/cold-conditions-end-of-february

Not anything hugely different from the video but mentions their growing confidence and also working with partner agencies to minimise disruption. 

Edited February 21, 2018 by saint

[JennyJane1]

3 minutes ago, throwoff said:

PANIC. PANIC!!!

why?

[Neilsouth]

11 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

 

Regards,

Tom.

If we end up with a Thames Streamer i'd be utterly gutted! Already missed out the last two times this winter and since then not since 2013! Thames Streams suck, sorry but a strong North East wind blasting show from the North Sea gives a much wider area, not a gap through the Thames Estuary

[yamkin]

44 minutes ago, D.V.R said:

Yamkin - CMEs come from sunspots and sunspots are supposed to be bad for HLB 

I forgot to add that the sun is quiet atm.. Where did the CME come from?

SSW was already in the making by the time the CME was released.........Stay with me on this....

Yes, the sun is very quiet, but can belch out a solar flare now and again. Nothing unusual to be honest 

The ejected flare was not that massive, but did cause a G1 Solar Storm.

The energy released from this CME caused a geomagnetic solar storm which in turn intensified the SSW formation.

The SSW is still intensifying due to this incredible energy fluctuation, hence why the SSW graph had to be extended to new parameters to accommodate the intensification of the SSW.

There is a lot more that goes into the fundamental set up, but what I have covered is in layman terms so to speak.

Exciting times ahead 

[warrenb]

Just about to set off an Imby bomb in the MAD

[Allezwasps.]

Sledge has arrived ... hope the snow plays ball ... no pressure. Lol.

[snowbob]

2 minutes ago, warrenb said:

Just about to set off an Imby bomb in the MAD

Ha ha yep saw it

lol

its gonna go off now

[SLEETY]

I’m going ignore mad thread it’s pathetic in there 

[seb]

Can't deal with the moaners in MAD any longer. How hard is it to understand that one model moving north a couple hundred miles while another moving south a couple hundred miles at the exact time simply means that there is some margin for movement around that general area.

[Uxbridge90]

Still looking good for us!

[yamkin]

4 minutes ago, Uxbridge90 said:

Still looking good for us!

yep 

[Gowon]

I don't mind banter but you guys that are goading the northerners are proper childish.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Think a lot of negativity over the early 12z runs, is coming from northern members. Yes, high pressure does seem to be located, quite a bit further south. But from a S.E.IMBY POV, I think we're in with  a fair shout of a Thames Streamer event, as things stand, with these runs. Hopefully, models won't correct further south now. Liking the direction of flow and 850 temps, late Sunday evening and on into Monday. Still way too early, to be too confident but the signs are good, at the moment.

Regards,

Tom.

[KDME]

I have no recollection of the frequently cold and snow of March 2013 ... I have no recollection!  Did we get any snow in Essex?  I remember Dec 2010 and no particularly cold, snowy period since! 

[onepingonly]

So those car snow socks I bought for the snowless Alps last year might help me get to Tesco next week....worth the money then!