North west regional discussion

[Astral Goat Juice]

2 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

Yep .. that's true.. they always originate somewhere between Iceland and Norway too

I remember one many years ago hitting this region - Excellent stuff! 

[gregior]

Lets see if this moderate stuff now crossing the penines can make  it to the Manchester area .

 

[Geordiesnow]

Some light snow flurries here, didn't expect too see anything at this stage to be fair, with the suns strength, can we squeeze out the odd moderate snow shower i wonder?

[Wardlegacy]

I think Euro 4 is way off you only need to look at the showers coming in off the North Sea now that it isn’t picking up 

[severe snowstorm]

3 minutes ago, gregior said:

Lets see if this moderate stuff now crossing the penines can make  it to the Manchester area .

 

They actually seemed to have beefed up a bit when hitting the hills....

[Chris.R]

 I remember being in school, I think it was 2005, when this massive thunderstorm with lightning every 30 seconds came in deposited about 2 inches of hail/graupel. I’m sure that was a polar low if my memory serves me right. 

[karyo]

4 minutes ago, Wardlegacy said:

I think Euro 4 is way off you only need to look at the showers coming in off the North Sea now that it isn’t picking up 

I agree.

Firstly, I am focusing on tomorrow morning's band of snow. Unfortunately the euro 4 has it just to the east of us but a 20 mile shift west can make a big difference.

[SP1986]

5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 I remember being in school, I think it was 2005, when this massive thunderstorm with lightning every 30 seconds came in deposited about 2 inches of hail/graupel. I’m sure that was a polar low if my memory serves me right. 

We've had a few decaying ones.. I think 2002 or 2003 had one but it was losing strength as it got to us. That said a full strength PL can deliver a foot of snow.. like 95/96 I think..

[severe snowstorm]

Manchester Airport TAF now suggesting snow from midnight through to midday tomorrow. I'm not sure whether this can be considered an upgrade from heavy snow showers that were previously suggested. 

[Weather-history]

14 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

I just dont believe euro4 is doing it again to our region????

Im far from convinced the pennines will destroy all the showers like 6z shows..

Fingers crossed its wrong..

Lol, it's wrong now! According to midday chart, it should be totally dry east of the Pennines up and down. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

23 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

I suggest nobody from our region looks at euro4..

:-(

..........do tell us 

[severe snowstorm]

The showers have made it across the hills. Started to snow lightly again.

 

[swainclubber]

Snowing now in littleborough albeit light 

[Weather-history]

6 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Lol, it's wrong now! According to midday chart, it should be totally dry east of the Pennines up and down. 

Look at that, lol

Definitely radar watching 

[severe snowstorm]

32 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

I suggest nobody from our region looks at euro4..

:-(

Could be worse. Doesn't look that bad to me. Given that it's prediction for the present is way off what is actually occurring, I would take its predictions with a truck load of salt tbh.

Edited February 26, 2018 by Dexter

[northwestsnow]

I dont believe it either guys and im glad karyo and kevin are suspicious too.

Radar watching it is im not sure how good any of these models are in convective set ups.

[Chris.R]

15 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Manchester Airport TAF now suggesting snow from midnight through to midday tomorrow. I'm not sure whether this can be considered an upgrade from heavy snow showers that were previously suggested. 

 I would say that is an upgrade as it is definitely suggesting and organise band now. Also probable rather than possible. 

[Frost HoIIow]

Flurries here, in the late Feb sun it doesn't feel too bad but the wind is bitter. 

[Chris.R]

 Liverpool also upgraded showing the organise band of snow.

The report was made 54 minutes ago, at 11:01UTC

Forecast valid from 26 at 12 UTC to 27 at 12 UTC

Wind 9 kt from the East

Visibility 10 km or more

Few clouds at a height of 4500 ft

Temporary
from 26 at 12 UTC to 27 at 12 UTC

Visibility: 3000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 1200 ft

light snow showers

Probability 40%
from 27 at 00 UTC to 27 at 12 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the North with gusts up to 25kt

Visibility: 0500 m

Broken clouds at a height of 200 ft

snow

 

 

 That’s also suggesting winds gusting near 30 mph, visibility down to 500 m and the ceiling down to 200 feet! Quite bad conditions. 

Edited February 26, 2018 by Chris.R

[Weather-history]

2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

I dont believe it either guys and im glad karyo and kevin are suspicious too.

Radar watching it is im not sure how good any of these models are in convective set ups.

They are not because showers are developing inland now. 

[trickydicky]

You've got to chuckle that some in here got in trouble in the model thread earlier in the winter for talking about the snow coming in from the north west on the basis that it only affected our area and it was 'IMBYism'. Yet the last 3 or so days in the mod thread the chat has been purely about whether a 5 mile strip of land along the south coast will become mild on Friday and thus get rain.

[Snow free zone]

Wooaaahhh

All i did was post what the forecaster said on BBC and i've opened a real can of worms and feel like i'm about to be thrown into the clutches of an angry mob with pitchforks and flaming torches at the ready  

FWIW the forecast for tomorrow is changing by the hour at this range .. its really interesting stuff   

 

[severe snowstorm]

The airport forecasts seem to suggest the low to be moving in quicker than originally thought tonight and the possibility of several hours of snow. Any thoughts on this? Given the conditions, it should all settle, even if light to moderate in intensity.

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, Dexter said:

The airport forecasts seem to suggest the low to be moving in quicker than originally thought tonight and the possibility of several hours of snow. Any thoughts on this? Given the conditions, it should all settle, even if light to moderate in intensity.

Agreed

[frosty ground]

Moderate snow shower here now no issue with it settling