North west regional discussion

[Chris.R]

 Also the only regional forecasts that mention a longer spell of snow on Monday night are in Scotland. Maybe the Met see that low taking a more northerly track. 

[Chris.R]

14 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

PS Chris it reached 6.0C on the dot today.. didn't feel anything like that though

 Will do a post about my maximum in a minute. 

[Chris.R]

 Maximum watch.

 

 The WRF 06Z predicted a maximum of 6.0°C here today. I recorded a maximum of 5.3°C, so a little overestimated. I’ll try and remember to do the same for each day this week. 

[Mokidugway]

Oh dear 

[Summerstorm]

Don't despair yet guys you might still get some snow according to the ARPEGE 12z run.. 

[Mokidugway]

ARPEGE 

[Summerstorm]

6 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

ARPEGE 

At least we'll get sun if it goes south so every little cloud eh. Oh the irony of that saying  Much rather that than the dull cloudy rubbish we have had the last couple of weeks. 

Edited February 25, 2018 by Summerstorm

[chicken soup]

Close to despair here....just absolutely stained glass windowing typical that we miss out AGAIN...every ppn chart I see has that bustard hole over Lancashire..as for Friday that can do one aswell..front wont even get here............there I feel better after a good rant.

 

[snowdrifter]

Little bit of hope...? Poss accumulations Weds... Nicked from SE thread... 

[I Cumbria Marra I]

APREGE has the trough further north and runs through the south of the region instead of the midlands, also shows some light stuff making it here.

[Spah1]

1 hour ago, cfallon said:

Amber warning for our Cumbrians 

Rubbish. 

No Amber warning over the lakes

[I Cumbria Marra I]

APREGE is looking good, i dont really rate it though

[northwestsnow]

Well im still in the warning zones for tue/wed and i still believe most in our region will do OK..

Going to be a nowcast guys and radar watching a plenty.

 

[Snow free zone]

I have been trying to say since the beginning of last week ... Easterly set ups rarely deliver any snow for this part of the NW.  It's no one's fault,  no one hates us ? it's just the way it is  -  regardless of what the charts have been saying you have to use your own personal experiences of these kind of set ups ..... Cold dry and sunny week ahead nothing at all unusual in that. 

If you like the snow yes it's frustrating and bloody annoying. 

 

 

[Day 10]

45 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 

 Absolute crap. Not even worth taking any notice of. In no other regional forecast do they mention coasts!

???? 

I know mate, one of the coldest spells in the last 30 years and they seem to indicate snow may struggle at the coast! -15 uppers I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad!!!

[Day 10]

1 minute ago, I Cumbria Marra I said:

APREGE is looking good, i dont really rate it though

Best model in the world! ???

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

I know mate, one of the coldest spells in the last 30 years and they seem to indicate snow may struggle at the coast! -15 uppers I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad!!!

I did try to gently warn earlier

[Spah1]

How can we go from a band of snow

 

to this

a BIG gap ????

[Spah1]

The GFS still brings the low up the country. 

[I Cumbria Marra I]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

How can we go from a band of snow

 

to this

a BIG gap ????

Mountains

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Spah1 said:

The GFS still brings the low up the country. 

It will be wrong IMHI..

UKMO looks fab

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

It will be wrong IMHI..

UKMO looks fab

Yes the cold block will stop its progression northwards. Depends where it stalls

Edited February 25, 2018 by Stratocumulus perlucidus

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

How can we go from a band of snow

 

to this

a BIG gap ????

It still doesn’t look a done deal does it. It wouldn’t surprise me if the warnings change again, it’s a very unstable pattern and will certainly keep the met on their toes. Calmed down now after earlier! Haha.

[chicken soup]

3 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

It will be wrong IMHI..

UKMO looks fab

I fear that will be way off the mark come Friday...south and southern areas of the midlands to get the heavy snow I reckon.

Edited February 25, 2018 by chicken soup

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Yes the cold block will stop its progression northwards. Depends where it stalls

Indeed.

I don't think it will get this far north which is great if you wana hang onto colder air but not so great if you want the snow from the system.

But its a long way away so will likely change