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Model output discussion - proper cold spell inbound?


Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Just now, shaky said:

There the same buddy

No they really are not? -8 clearing Cornwall on 06z, whereas its across Hampshire on the 00z...

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Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex
2 minutes ago, shaky said:

There the same buddy

One's Monday & the other's Tuesday :)

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
1 minute ago, shaky said:

Any changes on gfs??getting nervous now!!

Steady as she goes 

gfs-1-90.png?6gfs-0-90.png?6gfs-2-90.png?6

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Gfs 102hrs..ppn banding pushing south across england...all heavy snow...certainly no marginality...

gfs-0-102.png

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Posted
  • Location: Hampstead / Cambridge
  • Location: Hampstead / Cambridge
2 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Gfs 102hrs..ppn banding pushing south across england...all heavy snow...certainly no marginality...

gfs-0-102.png

Amended ;)

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Posted
  • Location: Gravesend (by the thames) and work Borough Green deliveries on job around the South east
  • Weather Preferences: Snow November to March. Heat and sun late April to early October
  • Location: Gravesend (by the thames) and work Borough Green deliveries on job around the South east
6 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Steady as she goes 

gfs-1-90.png?6gfs-0-90.png?6gfs-2-90.png?6

Is that a light Thames streamer I see there?

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire

Into a northerly-potent- flow @114.

And the motion is on and has second north east/easterly flow written all over it as we gain. And move on !!!

gfs-0-114.png

Edited by tight isobar
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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
2 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

Into a northerly-potent- flow @114.

And the motion is on and has second north east/easterly flow written all over it as we gain. And move on !!!

gfs-0-114.png

Incoming- going to be an epic 6z..here

gfs-0-126.png

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Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)

By Tuesday evening the 6z gfs sets up a northwesterly with -10c uppers. If that happens, then I can die happy!

Anyway, the 6z is more amplified than the 0z which is a relief. The UKMO has me a bit concerned this morning but let's hope it will get more amplified this afternoon.

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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
3 minutes ago, John Michael How said:

Is that a light Thames streamer I see there?

I don't know about a streamer but the model output has suggested Kent may see the snow showers become heavier and more frequent during Sunday night into Monday.

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Posted
  • Location: oldham
  • Location: oldham
1 minute ago, karyo said:

By Tuesday evening the 6z gfs sets up a northwesterly with -10c uppers. If that happens, then I can die happy!

Anyway, the 6z is more amplified than the 0z which is a relief. The UKMO has me a bit concerned this morning but let's hope it will get more amplified this afternoon.

I spotted that it has a look of january 4th 2010 about it, not as cold thou!

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Excluding the slight correction west it looks the same as the 0z.

Given...but its the 6z...the wobbly suite imo- so need compare or upgrade on this operational...and thats what we have...

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