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Spring 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

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10-day trend

Turning less cold
Not as severe
Wintry showers and Ice

 

 

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Either Tomasz is going on holiday or the weather is going to improve down south

🤔

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On 1/24/2018 at 16:01, Nick L said:

Some pleasant early warmth this year please.

Have you enjoyed yesterday and today's early warmth? :rofl:

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On ‎01‎/‎03‎/‎2018 at 15:52, Summer Sun said:

10-day trend

Turning less cold
Not as severe
Wintry showers and Ice

 

 

10 year trend, cold springs, cool summers and harsh winters.

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Less cold air spreading to all parts over the coming days

464646.thumb.png.83a186703ff92c0301bba3dc2b96bf34.png

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The weather outlook spring forecast

Quote

 

Spring: Cold start but wetter and warmer later.

Forecast overview

The first half of the meteorological spring is expected to be quite cold with slightly below average precipitation levels. The second half brings warmer and wetter conditions relative to the climatological norm.

Temperature

Temperatures are forecast to be slightly below the long term average over the three month period.

Precipitation

Over the three month period rainfall levels are forecast to be close to average

 

Month by month breakdown - https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/uk-seasonal-weather-forecast

 

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No surprise to see a rapid thaw setting in down south when you look at the dew points and air temp over the past 24hrs

tempresult_onz7.thumb.gif.cc1848e6e30ce0aaa55568b581677327.gif

tempresult_qyi4.thumb.gif.14be9f4deeceb1f396430f341cf5ab8d.gif

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It is officially the warmest day of the year so far with Kew Gardens hitting 15.3c

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Can't wait for those lovely misty spring mornings,....no hang on that's just the hayfever kicking in:angry: My neighbours won't need any alarm clock,me sneezing should be enough!

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Gorgeous beautiful sunshine in Eynsham; today all the frogs finished mating in the pond by the end of the rainstorm yesterday so sadly there is no more frog action to see, but lots of spawn. I hope they don't freeze to death by next week.

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Snow and ice warnings issued

Between 17:00 Fri 16th and 09:00 Sat 17th

A band of rain and hill snow will increasingly turn to snow to lower levels through Friday evening and overnight into Saturday. This band will gradually ease during Saturday morning as it moves south-westwards, allowing ice to form as it clears. Some roads and railways are likely to be affected with longer journey times by road, bus and train services. Icy patches are likely on untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths.

Chief Forecaster's assessment

Rain will increasingly turn to hill snow above around 200 m during Friday evening. By Saturday morning 5-10 cm of snow may accumulate on high ground above 200 m. Some snow is expected even to low levels overnight into Saturday morning across the warning area with a patchy 1-2 cm possible in places.

_____________________________________________________________

Between 03:00 Fri 16th and 09:00 Sat 17th

A band of rain will turn to snow over the highest level routes in Highland and Grampian overnight Thursday night into Friday morning, then gradually down to some lower levels through Friday afternoon and evening. This band will slowly ease in the early hours of Saturday morning, but with colder air arriving from the east, ice will form on many surfaces. Some roads and railways will be affected with longer journey times. There is a small chance of stranded vehicles and passengers. There is a small chance that power cuts will occur, and other services, such as mobile phone, may be affected.

Chief Forecaster's assessment

Rain will increasingly turn to hill snow above around 400 m on Thursday night and Friday morning, then gradually down to around 150 m by Friday evening. 5-10 cm of snow may accumulate on high ground above 200 m with 20 cm possible over hill routes with some drifting in strong southeasterly winds. Snow may fall even to low levels later Friday evening into the early hours of Saturday with 1-2 cm possible in places here.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-03-16

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Very much a delayed Spring this year, stunted growth, no daffodils out just yet, and they won't be for a few more days at least, as we are thrown back into the freezer. A feel of 2013 about things. Recent Springs have been varied, 2016 was preety chilly until May, 2015 episodic, 2014 and 2017 saw early spring growth.

Not holding out much hope of spring warmth until May..

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Posted (edited)

April 2013. Cold for parts of the west, where it was the coldest April since 1989.

http://www.trevorharley.com/weather_web_pages/2013_weather.htm

We are really having extremes of weather in all circles lately in spring.

What this april will bring I really wouldn`t hazard a guess,a major surprise cold snap and snowfall very possible,to an april heatwave.

Edited by Snowyowl9

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1 hour ago, damianslaw said:

Very much a delayed Spring this year, stunted growth, no daffodils out just yet, and they won't be for a few more days at least, as we are thrown back into the freezer. A feel of 2013 about things. Recent Springs have been varied, 2016 was preety chilly until May, 2015 episodic, 2014 and 2017 saw early spring growth.

Not holding out much hope of spring warmth until May..

I hope the same pattern of 2013 plays out until autumn, as 2013 was a good summer here, particular July,  which had a protracted spell of sun and heat , I remember getting the ray bans out just looking at the charts  ,  august was a bit more tame, but still fine and usable ,  then again it could be just meh,  or even cool and damp

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Level 3 cold weather alert issued

Current alert level: Level 3 - Cold Weather Action

Issued at: 08:27 on Thu 15 Mar 2018

There is a 90% probability of severe cold weather and locally heavy snow between 2100 on Friday 16 Mar and 0900 on Tuesday 20 Mar in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and could disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.

A cold easterly airflow is expected to return during the weekend, likely lasting until Monday. At present it looks unlikely to be as severe as the conditions experienced at the start of the month, but unusually low temperatures and some snowfall are still expected.

After a relatively mild period this week, trigger criteria for low temperatures are likely to be met quickly across England from Saturday onwards, with the cold air first arriving during Friday night across the northeast. Widespread frost, low daytime temperatures and a significant wind chill are likely to develop. Snowfall looks likely across high ground Friday into Saturday, with snow showers following behind and affecting low-lying areas, especially in the east. A chance of more persistent snow across southern and perhaps parts of the Midlands Saturday night into Sunday, with some uncertainty at this stage. The highest confidence is in respect to the predicted low temperatures. Keep in touch with the Met Office weather warnings regarding snowfall over the coming days.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

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23 hours ago, IanR said:

I hope the same pattern of 2013 plays out until autumn, as 2013 was a good summer here, particular July,  which had a protracted spell of sun and heat , I remember getting the ray bans out just looking at the charts  ,  august was a bit more tame, but still fine and usable ,  then again it could be just meh,  or even cool and damp

Yes a July like 2013 would be excellent, probably the best summer month since July 2006, we've not had many.. July 2014 also very good. Hoping to a switch come early May, a warm settled May would be good, long time since we had one of them.

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1 hour ago, damianslaw said:

Yes a July like 2013 would be excellent, probably the best summer month since July 2006, we've not had many.. July 2014 also very good. Hoping to a switch come early May, a warm settled May would be good, long time since we had one of them.

May 2017 had plenty of settled, sunny and warm days here in Ireland, fantastic month! 

May 2016 was also very nice.

A third May that is great just like those I don't see happening especially with the methodology like QBO, ENSO etc historically. 

If it means a great Summer (provided this year ends in "8" and we know how bad those Summers are since 1868), then I'm all for it.

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