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Storm Georgina - Atlantic Storm 7

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A yellow rain warning is in place for the following regions

  • North East England
  • North West England
  • Yorkshire & Humber

A yellow wind warning is in place for the following regions

  • Central, Tayside & Fife
  • Grampian
  • Highlands & Eilean Siar
  • Northern Ireland
  • Orkney & Shetland
  • Strathclyde
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-01-24

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Met Eireann Status Orange Wind Warning for Ireland

A depression now named Storm Georgina will track to the northwest of the country tonight. Southwest winds will reach mean speeds between 65 and 80 km/h, gusting up to 120 km/h for a time tonight. (75mph)

Issued: Tuesday 23 January 2018 14:00
Valid: Wednesday 24 January 2018 00:01 to Wednesday 24 January 2018 05:00  

2301gustsweds.png

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23_01.18_12z.thumb.png.bebb8aaad53005b92842466bef7cfb54.pngT+00 fax for noon today  

Georgina an open wave to W of Ireland this evening and will deepen into a closed low as it approaches NW Scotland tomorrow morning as it moves on to the cold/polar side and under developmental left exit of the strong jet stream.

jetslp.thumb.gif.8a30197dc27cb8f417450ccafa496dfa.gif

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That awkward moment when you name a storm that actually happened Thursday!

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Just in time for rush-hour tomorrow morning as it crosses the UK, i'm looking towards a potential squall-line feature with 'Georgina' as indicative by the double cold-fronts, indicative on the FAX charts which often means a overriding cold-front having embedded convection which will bring those higher gusts to the surface. xcweather going for +70mph from western Scotland down to Norfolk from 6-9am.

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This shows the progress of maximum gusts across the UK over the next 24 hours as depicted by ICON:

image.thumb.gif.d32977a2aee139a7ba4ed9839082e908.gif

From this it would appear that the worst affected areas will include most of Wales and the high ground of Cumbria and the Pennines.  North West Scotland to suffer the highest wind speeds, though.

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9 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Just in time for rush-hour tomorrow morning as it crosses the UK, i'm looking towards a potential squall-line feature with 'Georgina' as indicative by the double cold-fronts, indicative on the FAX charts which often means a overriding cold-front having embedded convection which will bring those higher gusts to the surface. xcweather going for +70mph from western Scotland down to Norfolk from 6-9am.

Plenty of rain for Pennine areas as well looking at the forecasts, probably won’t last long but looked pretty intense as it crosses west to east.

coupled with the strong winds and the chance of squall lines it could be a wild couple of hours.

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1 hour ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Just in time for rush-hour tomorrow morning as it crosses the UK, i'm looking towards a potential squall-line feature with 'Georgina' as indicative by the double cold-fronts, indicative on the FAX charts which often means a overriding cold-front having embedded convection which will bring those higher gusts to the surface. xcweather going for +70mph from western Scotland down to Norfolk from 6-9am.

Potential squall line nicely illustrated on the MetO forecast rainfall charts: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1516730400&zoom=6&lon=-2.65&lat=52.48

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Surprised the warnings aren’t more extensive given some of the predicated wind speeds from various model output. 50-60mph+ gusts are being suggested further south away from Scotland, could be very nasty as the front moves through. 

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18 minutes ago, DisruptiveGust said:

Surprised the warnings aren’t more extensive given some of the predicated wind speeds from various model output. 50-60mph+ gusts are being suggested further south away from Scotland, could be very nasty as the front moves through. 

And during the peak Travel period 7 to 10am 

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21 minutes ago, DisruptiveGust said:

Surprised the warnings aren’t more extensive given some of the predicated wind speeds from various model output. 50-60mph+ gusts are being suggested further south away from Scotland, could be very nasty as the front moves through. 

 

2 minutes ago, Polar Bear said:

And during the peak Travel period 7 to 10am 

It’s baffling! Especially after the booboo last week.

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Storm's impact on UK (based on watching progress through Ireland) will be in two zones,

Western Isles and northwest Scotland could be hit by 80-100 mph gusts shortly after 0600h, these winds are associated with low centre that has passed Donegal to the north, can see on satellite very strong winds likely.

Northern England, North Wales and parts of Midlands likely to see strong winds from southwest gusting to 70 mph and heavy rain in squally showers. 

The more severe impacts would be with the northern portion that has not hit land yet, Malin Head on outer fringes of strong winds gusting to 58 knots, but satellite makes it obvious that much stronger winds are contained in the core which is coming towards Hebrides. Should be an orange warning and possibly red with that part.

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check the radar, look at that squall line, that's developed ahead of the front

Still early, lots of people not awake yet... but it's going to get lively out there, first thing !!

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Really blowing hard here now, noisy around the house, it’s howling can hear the woods just down the road roaring - very strong! 

Wouldn’t be surprised to hear reports of damage trees down etc with this strength of wind out there atm... 

Edited by DisruptiveGust

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9 hours ago, Polar Bear said:

That’s some squall line.. :shok:

10 hours ago, virtualsphere said:

Potential squall line nicely illustrated on the MetO forecast rainfall charts: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1516730400&zoom=6&lon=-2.65&lat=52.48

That squall line not far off what was forecast. Wind pick up dead on time 6am here. Here it comes 

FBB671D9-B17C-4027-8B1F-44A5145CA599.jpeg

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Been up since around 6am when the winds began to pick-up here, still a bit dark outside to see what *if any* damage was caused as a few of the gusts were pretty noticeable and a few things outside sounding like they were falling over. Interesting that at 07:15 as the squall was overhead there was a large gust and everything then went silent until the rain arrived not long after, time for a coffee now.

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Squall passed through here, was pretty wild for a moment. Also had a 1C temperature drop in 5 minutes.

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Met Eireann named Georgina first and not UK Met Office, yet all the gusts in Ireland have been below 70 mph and winds are now easing here, and these gusts mostly exposed over headlands/ coastal locations in the west - where there's probably not many people, certainly not at night when the strongest winds went through. Top gusts of 67mph at Malin Head, 65mph at Belmullet.

Yet on mainland UK gusts of 83mph at Capel Curig and 74mph at Aberdaron in Wales - yet not even a yellow warning in this area. Makes you wonder whether this system of naming and releasing warnings is always fit for purpose!

Centre of Georgina must be not far west of Western Isles now, 79mph gust at Benbecula, looks deeper, 959mb, than I think models suggested yesterday

fax00_06z.thumb.png.5d7b8c8ed1d21de3f5883e55f7f73cbf.png

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52mph gust recorded on my station this morning. A new wind speed record of 27mph too - pretty rough!

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That squall line on the radar is impressive.Expecct temps will fall away rapidly after it passes through.Currently 13.2C

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A gust of 69 mph here at 0651, although the mean speed ( over 10 mins ) never exceeded 37 mph. A short burst of heavy rain followed an hour later and has since settled into continuous moderate rain.

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Very weird here in Lincs as the Squall line is just to my NW, the winds has died down somewhat but all hell is about to break loose very soon me thinks. Very grey and starting to spit of rain.

 

LO

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