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February 2018 C.E.T. forecasts (and optional EWP precip contest)


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

CET averages and extremes for February

 

12.4 ... warmest Feb day (mean temp) 4th Feb 2004

10.0 ... lowest daily extreme max (16th Feb 1928)

 7.9 ... warmest month of Feb 1779
 7.5 ... second warmest month of Feb 1869
 7.3 ... tied third warmest month of Feb 1990 and 1998

 7.2 ... fifth warmest month of Feb 1794

 7.0 ... 2002

 6.7 ... 1997

 6.5 ... 1995

 6.4 ... 2011

 6.3 ... 2000

 6.2 ... 2014
 6.1 ... 2017

 5.9 ... 1989
 5.8 ... 2007

 5.4 ... 1992, 2004, 2008

 5.3 ... 1999

 4,9 ... 1988, 2016

 4.8 ... 1982 and mean for 2001-2017
 

 4.6 ... 1993
 

 4.4 ... 2001 and mean 1981-2010
 4.3 ... 2005

 4.2 ... mean for 1971-2000
 4.1 ... 2009

 4.0 ... mean for 1801-1900 and 1901-2000 and 2015

 3.9 ... mean for 1659-2017 (all 359 years) and 2003
 3.8 ... mean for 1961-1990 and 1701-1800 and 2012

 3.7 ... 2006

 3.6 ... 1987

 3.3 ... 1984

 3.2 ... 1994, 2013

 3.0 ... 1981

 2.9 ... mean for 1659-1700

 2.8 ... 2010

 2.5 ... 1996

 2.1 ... 1985

 1.7 ... 1983

 1.5 ... 1991

-1.1 ... fifth coldest month of Feb, coldest in recent years 1986
-1.6 ... fourth coldest month of Feb 1740
-1.7 ... third coldest month of Feb 1855
-1.8 ... second coldest month of Feb 1895
-1.9 ... coldest month of Feb 1947

-2.4 ... highest daily extreme min (29th 1904)
-2.8 ... highest daily extreme min, not leap year day (27th, 1929)

-8.8 ... coldest Feb day (mean temp) 9th Feb 1816

_____________________________________________________________________________________

Enter your forecast in this thread before the end of the day Wednesday 31st January,

or with increasing time penalties before the end of the day Saturday 3rd February. Good luck!

______________________________________________________________________________________

 

Optional Precip contest

 

Predict the EWP for February (in mm). Same deadlines as above.

 

Wettest ... ... ... ...158.6 (1833)

__ recent ... ... ... 143.2 (1990)

 

1988-2017 avg ... 73.2 

1981-2010 avg ... 66.5

 

__ recent ... ... ... 13.8 (1993)

Driest ... ... ... ... .. 3.6 (1891)

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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

Rest in pieces 'winter' 2017/2018!  10C  :(  Last sub -1C, last sub 0C and last sub 1C February in 1986.  Last sub 2C February in 1991.  Last sub 3C February in 2010.  Last sub 3.5C February in 2013.  Out with a mild whimper...

Also very wet with 500mm

Edited by Lettucing Gutted
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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

4.7c and 102mm please.

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level

4.8C and 98mm please

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Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level

4.9c 100mm please 

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Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

5.4 and 65mm

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Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

4.4 and 37mm for me plse 

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Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

5.2 and 79mm 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

5.9c & 79mm please

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Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

4.0C and 55mm for me please. 

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

I’m fairly confident this is going to the coldest month of the winter. 2.1C thanks potentially exceptional cold for a week, only for second half to subdue extreme cold anomaly. Rainfall near average 69mm.

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