South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[Nights King]

Ecm is a thing of beauty ....

I remain firmly on the polar express this evening 

[khodds]

2 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Ecm is a thing of beauty ....

I remain firmly on the polar express this evening 

Thank god. Just got in and haven’t ventured into the MAD thread yet

[jtay]

We'll be fine. Keep the faith people.

[Nights King]

Just now, khodds said:

Thank god. Just got in and haven’t ventured into the MAD thread yet

Nothing to worry about, up north a little twitchy because they lose deep cold but still good for us southern softies that haven't seen proper snow in 8 years.. 

[khodds]

1 minute ago, Nights King said:

Nothing to worry about, up north a little twitchy because they lose deep cold but still good for us southern softies that haven't seen proper snow in 8 years.. 

Ok but are we sure?! I can’t take any of this further north/south it’s messing with my brain 

[Mapantz]

Just a quick one from me - been busy all day!

I've just looked at the ECM out to 216, and that has to be one of my favourite runs so far! If you take it at face value, there would be plenty of snow for our region, that's for sure!

As you were..

That chart right here:

Any other time, it would be wet and windy. But, such as the depth of cold that has filtered South of us, a Southerly brings cold air with snow in the SW, W and up through the spine of the country. 

Edited February 21, 2018 by Mapantz

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, khodds said:

Ok but are we sure?! I can’t take any of this further north/south it’s messing with my brain 

It looks great currently. I agree we dont want uppers to be too much higher this time of year as the strengh of sun will really start to have an effect on temps but looks safe at moment. 

[jethro]

25 minutes ago, jy said:

Bit of crowd trouble at the Mad FC Stadium,the ICON model being booed from the terraces,partly because the fans can see the ECM off the subs bench doing sprints in the warm up area,the fourth official calls ICON off and to a world cup roar the ECM takes to the field,can he save the day,if he cant I fear Mad fans on the rampage,making Millwall look like flower arrangers lol

Every time I stick my head in there I'm fearing 'they thought it was all over, it is now'.

[Uncle Gargy]

Ian F on the BBC weather just now said 'Don't trust weather apps!' Looks like even he's getting exited!

[Bazray]

So another day of ups and downs, looks like for once us guys just might be sat in what could potentially be the sweet spot for this upcoming event with a bit of leeway for the constant change seen in the models. Guess we deserve that after seeing the whole of the winter pass with everything going North of the M4

All looking good at the moment (till the next run at least)

have spent way to much time on the MOD thread today so I'm off to do my hourly breathing exercises and sit in the praying mantis position for a few hours.

[karlos1983]

That ECM is basically snow porn for us!! Wow. Missed most of the 12z traveling home, sure the Mad thread has been entertaining, off I go to look ?

[Zephyr]

That grouping down to near -15c 850s 

[karlos1983]

Lol I see some bans were dished out ? who’s gone, I’m curious.....

ECM saved almost certain Netweather Blanket bans.... phew!

message the same really, going to turn cold, no question about it, detail really is very uncertain. ECM is great but UKMO/GFS/ECM are quite different heading into next week apart from it’s going to be very cold, that’s currently all they agree on. 

Tomorrow will hopefully bring a bit more clarity, but I’d imagine that might be a bit soon! This 2nd warming has brought a bit of chaos back to the Models. Shame as we were heading toward agreement before that point. But we might be greatful as the week progresses!! 

Edited February 21, 2018 by karlos1983

[khodds]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Lol I see some bans were dished out ? who’s gone, I’m curious.....

ECM saved almost certain Netweather Blanket bans.... phew!

message the same really, going to turn cold, no question about it, detail really is very uncertain. ECM is great but UKMO/GFS/ECM are quite different heading into next week apart from it’s going to be very cold, that’s currently all they agree on. 

Tomorrow will hopefully bring a bit more clarity, but I’d imagine that might be a bit soon! This 2nd warming has brought a bit of chaos back to the Models. Shame as we were heading toward agreement before that point. But we might be greatful as the week progresses!! 

I’ve just caught up too. I wonder when this second warning will be ironed out? I also wonder (because I can’t remember - if feels a life time ago ?) which the best performing models were with the initial warming? That way we can be slightly more certain with which models may be getting it right at present? 

[Purplepixii]

5 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Lol I see some bans were dished out ? who’s gone, I’m curious.....

ECM saved almost certain Netweather Blanket bans.... phew!

message the same really, going to turn cold, no question about it, detail really is very uncertain. ECM is great but UKMO/GFS/ECM are quite different heading into next week apart from it’s going to be very cold, that’s currently all they agree on. 

Tomorrow will hopefully bring a bit more clarity, but I’d imagine that might be a bit soon! This 2nd warming has brought a bit of chaos back to the Models. Shame as we were heading toward agreement before that point. But we might be greatful as the week progresses!! 

Thanks for writing this in English that I understand Karlos - it's too mad over in MAD thread.

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, Purplepixii said:

Thanks for writing this in English that I understand Karlos - it's too mad over in MAD thread.

Probably best not to read Tight isobars posts then lol. I genuinely have no idea what he says sometimes, until I’ve read it a few times. Got some words he has!! He could probably crack the Da Vinci Code in minutes lol 

[karlos1983]

15 minutes ago, khodds said:

I’ve just caught up too. I wonder when this second warning will be ironed out? I also wonder (because I can’t remember - if feels a life time ago ?) which the best performing models were with the initial warming? That way we can be slightly more certain with which models may be getting it right at present? 

Gonna have to pass on that one to be honest. You could argue they’ve all done pretty poorly until they finally smelt the SSW coffee. I’d imagine the ECM has a better handle on it because it has more vertical levels (137) than any of the rest! So should be more accurate. Doesn’t always work like that in theory though.

Edited February 21, 2018 by karlos1983

[khodds]

11 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Probably best not to read Tight isobars posts then lol. I genuinely have no idea what he says sometimes, until I’ve read it a few times. Got some words he has!! He could probably crack the Da Vinci Code in minutes lol 

I’m glad you said that; I sometimes think he’s writing in Chinese!!

[EllyTech]

2 minutes ago, khodds said:

I’m glad you said that; I sometimes think he’s writing in Chinese!!

He might be using Google Translate. Perhaps English isn't his first language. Has anyone asked him?

[karlos1983]

4 minutes ago, khodds said:

I’m glad you said that; I sometimes think he’s writing in Chinese!!

Not knocking him though, each to their own, he seems a nice person as well, had a couple of PM’s with him. (For decoding) 

Edited February 21, 2018 by karlos1983

[Purplepixii]

No posts in the MAD thread for over an hour - has something happened? :o

[matt111]

Just now, Purplepixii said:

No posts in the MAD thread for over an hour - has something happened? :o

An hour? I can see plenty posted in the last hour. 

[Purplepixii]

4 minutes ago, matt111 said:

An hour? I can see plenty posted in the last hour. 

I'm tired, and a dumbass, there's a new page... 

[Ashme]

4 minutes ago, Purplepixii said:

I'm tired, and a dumbass, there's a new page... 

They're 55 pages in!! You got some catching up to do lol ?

[jessandjon]