South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Dreamy...  if that came off the Thames streamer might even make it into west country...

[fromey]

I must admit working in the emergency services for the nhs I am getting a little concerned with the output at present, where I work we are full on a daily basis and the struggles everyday are massive, I cant begin to think what it will be like if the weather came close to what is being shown on the models at present.

[Bazray]

7 minutes ago, snowking said:

-17c into parts of the south

I would say breath-taking...but taking breath could get quite tricky in those conditions

Omg

[karlos1983]

Holy crap!!!!

 

Edited February 19, 2018 by karlos1983

[khodds]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Holy crap!!!!

 

So, what can we expect from that chart @karlos1983 if it verifies like that?

[*Stormforce~beka*]

27 minutes ago, ajpoolshark said:

hmm.....whilst seeing bitterly cold charts is great, there is a dawning reality.......spare a thought for those of us who work outdoors and are self employed.....As my missus pointed out to me, a week unable to work and earn will put us right up the creek without a paddle.......not to mention the vunerable (elderly etc) .......I haven't posted in the model threads as it will just get shot down, but whilst snow and ice incoming on the outputs is nice etc, the wild ramping shown by many in there shows a real detatchment from the reality of what those kind of charts (if they verify) will have on the country

I have to admit it scares me too. I feel very unprepared for what if we had a metre?! How the hell do we get out and about etc? And dress up for it? I don't have owt beyond welly boots which i'm sure would be no where near warm enough ... I dunno I need a lesson

[Nights King]

If people had winter tires... they wouldn't worry.

I use two just on the front dec to feb normally they far less scary and work better in the cold rain too but i might leave them on for march this time.

[Nights King]

2 minutes ago, khodds said:

So, what can we expect from that chart @karlos1983 if it verifies like that?

-2c at the ground maybe a touch lower?

[karlos1983]

3 minutes ago, khodds said:

So, what can we expect from that chart @karlos1983 if it verifies like that?

Other than Hard nipples!!! Ridiculous big beefy snow showers!! And if it comes off, just accept that it’s extremely unlikely we will witness that depth of cold in our part of the world again in our lifetime, in Near as darn it March! That’s a memorable event of it comes off! 

Edited February 19, 2018 by karlos1983

[Bazray]

7 minutes ago, Catacol said:

I think this run may be reflecting MetO thinking - the middle of the week is just one solid blizzard with frontal attacks SW to NE

I'm gobsmacked... and struggling to come to terms with multiple gobsmack moments over the last few days. When on earth are we actually going to see a downgrade???? 

Damn

[matt111]

2 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

Oh the SW would get absolutely buried.  Conservatively 10+ feet drifts, Cornwall, Devon totally cut off.  Best I get down there and find a good pub

 

BFTP

Just in case you're not reading over there. 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

9 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Is this surface temps?! I'm a worryin'!

[karlos1983]

1 minute ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Is this surface temps?! I'm a worryin'!

No no 850’s

sifave temps no way would get above 0c and at night way below freezing which an extreme windchill probably around -10 to -12 widely!! 

 

Edited February 19, 2018 by karlos1983

[Nights King]

Just now, *Stormforce~beka* said:

Is this surface temps?! I'm a worryin'!

 No you need to add about 15c onto the temperature in daytime to get temperature this time of year.

Karlos will remember height but isnt it like 8k or something?

[karlos1983]

4 minutes ago, Nights King said:

If people had winter tires... they wouldn't worry.

I use two just on the front dec to feb normally they far less scary and work better in the cold rain too but i might leave them on for march this time.

Lol my front tyres are like slicks at the moment ?‍♂️ Getting them changed ASAP!

[*Stormforce~beka*]

4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Other than Hard nipples!!! Ridiculous big beefy snow showers!! And if it comes off, just accept that it’s extremely unlikely we will witness that depth of cold in our part of the world again in our lifetime, in Near as darn it March! That’s a memorable event of it comes off! 

Hard nipples would be brass monkeys dropped off mate!!!

Frozen over thames anyone??!

[karlos1983]

3 minutes ago, Nights King said:

 No you need to add about 15c onto the temperature in daytime to get temperature this time of year.

Karlos will remember height but isnt it like 8k or something?

1500m (roughly) or 5000ft! I think

 

Edited February 19, 2018 by karlos1983

[*Stormforce~beka*]

5 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Just in case you're not reading over there. 

To me this is quite terrifying! I only wanted 6 inches! :-(

[Nights King]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

1500m

 

cheers so 5k feet then.

[khodds]

Ooohhhhh it all seems too good to be true and it’s still a week away. It’s going to downgrade. I just know it!! 

A week is a chuffing long time 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

3 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

Lol my front tyres are like slicks at the moment ?‍♂️ Getting them changed ASAP!

Literally got ours done last week :-) God knows if they are snow ones or not though?!

[matt111]

1 minute ago, khodds said:

It’s going to downgrade

That's what everyone said a few days ago. 

[karlos1983]

3 minutes ago, khodds said:

Ooohhhhh it all seems too good to be true and it’s still a week away. It’s going to downgrade. I just know it!! 

A week is a chuffing long time 

Thing is, it’s not a week away until the cold air arrives and the pattern is in place. So whilst there is still time for it to go Pete tong....... not a huge amount! Snow different story, but cold looks quite nailed. We are getting a fair bit of consistency in the output now. But remain slightly grounded for now perhaps.

Edited February 19, 2018 by karlos1983

[khodds]

Just now, matt111 said:

That's what everyone said a few days ago. 

I know but it just seems too good to be true ?

[*Stormforce~beka*]

I've not run out of likes ... yet ... They have been upgraded for the cold spell!!