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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

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5 minutes ago, Rammie said:

Just wondering. It looks very pink on the NW radar. 

I did mention it earlier that we been in the pink under radar a lot todsy and not much happened somebody did say to it doesn't always get I right. Always think Kettering  Corby it strange can get loads others don't like between Xmas new year.  Places like wellingborough didn't get much or Peterborough be we got 4 5 inches  other times miss out totally very odd.

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GFS 12z  location of the precipitation tomorow at 06:00. Progress south is near non existent through the day as it tracks east. Whatever we get tomorrow will likely be just the odd dusting. 

gfs 12z 0600 Tuesday.png

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11 minutes ago, enigma said:

we have had an odd flurry on and off all day here in Corby but it depends on what side of the town you are

Just started again now.

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1 hour ago, shaky said:

Looks good for leicester there!around 10cms from showers!!gota say though not.much for west mids!!

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm, and thats a big hmm.. Don't think Leicester will get anything overnight tonight, or tomorrow day, just have this feeling in my bones that our little dip will miss out, maybe a cm or 2 Friday, it's not even that cold.... Hovering around 0c to 1c....... 

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1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Ecm take on Tuesday 

IMG_1289.PNG

Looks a tad further south than GFS for the low. Id put my money on Staffs doing ok but not much south of there

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I wouldn't worry a bout not seeing anything on radar out in the North Sea - this is convective snow, which I believe means it forms as it comes over the sea. It isn't like Britain's normal snow, ie frontal snow, where you have snow-bearing clouds coming across the sea. this is more sort of forming-as-it-arrives... 

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Well the BBC national and regional forecasts looked good for here tonight and tomorrow. Mentioned Shropshire also being affected by the Polar Low. They also said it would be wet snow and would stick more quickly. Slightly less cold air in that low.

Looks like the end of the week may actually bring two spells of snow. One Thursday night and one Friday.

Edited by MattStoke

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Theres more to this low that what we can currently see on radar (Met Office Precip vs NW radar) 

image.thumb.png.aff12b88112ecc03fa3aa2ae6f6c0cdc.pngimage.thumb.png.5ec9e3cd5c37e2a11471864a726fba7a.png 

Edited by ChezWeather

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6 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Theres more to this low that what we can currently see on radar (Met Office Precip radar vs NW radar) 

image.thumb.png.aff12b88112ecc03fa3aa2ae6f6c0cdc.pngimage.thumb.png.5ec9e3cd5c37e2a11471864a726fba7a.png 

i thought the netweather radar was fed from the MET. Ive got them open side by side and they're identical. 

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3 minutes ago, stokepa31 said:

i thought the netweather radar was fed from the MET. Ive got them open side by side and they're identical. 

It is, the met office precip graphic is indeed a prediction, however it highlights the chance that this low could expand into a much larger area of precipitation 

I could have probably worded that post a little better :oops:

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Hmmm increase in shower activity across the wash!!!east midlands could cop it if it pushes west slightly!!

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I wonder whether the approaching trough in the N Sea can invigorate shower activity ahead of it?

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does look to be getting more organised. Air across the channel geting colder and convection differential increasing??

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14 minutes ago, cyclonic happiness said:

Possible wash streamer setting up?

Screenshot_2018-02-26-19-47-04.png

Yes, good call CH, if you overlay the air pressure chart its looking good.

 

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22 minutes ago, LeeKay said:

Yes, good call CH, if you overlay the air pressure chart its looking good.

 

Think a streamer set up for def got covering in northants now. Had a really heavy snow for 5 mins covered straight away.

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25 minutes ago, LeeKay said:

Yes, good call CH, if you overlay the air pressure chart its looking good.

 

Yes, absolutely throwing it down here 7 miles west of peterborough.

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Yes precipitation is starting to pep up on the radar. Fun ay it  some might see a bit 

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The weather today really reminded me of Sunday 1st February 2009...

...the 2nd February 2009 came next.

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Shows would pep up just as the wind direction becomes unfavourable for here.

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Looks like the streamer is set for a line from peterborough through northampton

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its typical, we had a really good snowfall back in early December but it wasnt cold enough to stick around for more than 1 day, now when we get really cold weather we end up getting zilch snow.  can't win.

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I believe the wind direction is likely to shift from a North Easterly to more of a Easterly; this will change distribution.

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