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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

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Looks like a streamer is hitting Nottingham 

Met Office app suggests a v snowy night but we will see!

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8 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

well I have to, prefer raintoday though

The rain alarm app on android is very good..

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Incredibly cold already tonight.

Temp is  -6.8C  Wind-chill is -10.1C   Dew-point is  -13.1C 

All this with the wind at 9 KmH.

It is clear now here, but the possibility of snow shower later is possible.

 

Re the ECM - it is very similar to the GFS I got excited about last night.

It now remains a strong possibility that we get the snow, and that the cold can hang on, giving us quite a few further possibilities.

It will be now-casting for tomorrow, and I have seen instances in the past when the mornings forecasts turned out wrong by evening. So a 'bad' forecast in the morning is not necessarily going to be correct.

Nor the other way. 

Good luck guys (and gals)

MIA...

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Yea no snow for Friday or Thurs in Shrewsbury according to the met app. Don't think it can be trusted.

Also a little streamer setting up to hit Shrewsbury area hopefully 

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11 minutes ago, Staffordshire said:

That wash streamer looks to miss me to the North, reallllyyyyy not been my day hahaha, oh well, I've given up with this spell I think :D

Hmm, so those in Stoke suggest it's missing them to the South and you're suggesting missing you to the North, so that puts it ermmm, around about where I am...:D

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@weirpig 

 

Yeah interesting what Chris Fawkes had to say. Hopefully he's onto something.

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1 minute ago, bearing said:

Hmm, so those in Stoke suggest it's missing them to the South and you're suggesting missing you to the North, so that puts it ermmm, around about where I am...:D

come to Wildwood!

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Just now, kmanmx said:

@weirpig 

 

Yeah interesting what Chris Fawkes had to say. Hopefully he's onto something.

Missed it what did he say?

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2 minutes ago, sub zero said:

The rain alarm app on android is very good..

That's what I use, and recommended it to everyone I know.

It looks dry tonight in the gap between Nottingham and Reading, so not much for the West Midlands.

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11 minutes ago, Ian Ballinger said:

Well Met Office have me down for no snow on Friday now :(

What a joke

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2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

come to Wildwood!

*does snow dance on the road*

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This is turning into a very wintery night in the centre of Nottingham !!

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3 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Missed it what did he say?

Y40Kl37.png

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4 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Missed it what did he say?

Expects hirlam to be close to what happens 

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29 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

Right, taking bets on that massive shower seemingly heading straight for me.

a) magically disintegrate

b) either go to my north or south

c) split in two with one part going to my North and the other going to my South.

d) the radar shows it hitting me but it doesnt snow anyway

All 4 have happened today :D

Aha, very much feel your pain there my fellow coldie :friends:

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2 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Expects hirlam to be close to what happens 

Just looked at Hirlam, and shows from 2pm onwards tomorrow very heavy snow for Midlands area.

And it shows the clear area that we have now on the radar, so does seem accurate??

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FINALLY, got close to a direct hit here. Moderate snow with abour 2cm accumulated :)

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A more representative pic of what the snow in Bewdley was like earlier. The end of the road, which you can just see if you squint, is maybe 60 to 70 metres away.

loadsasnow.jpg

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Met significantly downgraded snow now for Thursday and not even a shower on Friday. So it's Met vs BBC lol.

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There will be outbreaks of snow across the Midlands tomorrow, but more especially across the western half. Then during Friday and spell of snow pushes north across the region.

I see a lot of people thinking they won't see anything but, the above is what all the models and forecasts show.

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Hmm shower activity increasing south of the wash now and north east anglia!!

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