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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

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Just now, weirpig said:

Gfs  also further east  

In your opinion do you see Amber warnings being issued for West Midlands, do you expect further changes to warnings?:)

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bbc forecast i just saw on BBC News at his touching Brum area thru Friday but worst of it through Wales and Ireland. They did however say they werent sure of the track, but further east would be great for us

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More snow showers this afternoon, much less thawing than yesterday, 2-3cm on grass  and in undisturbed spots.

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5 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

In your opinion do you see Amber warnings being issued for West Midlands, do you expect further changes to warnings?:)

I dont know   All depends  what there models are seeing   the GFS is further West but northerly extent only gets to Brum ish  maybe slightly North   but is better than its 6z run  The Arpege is very special   

Edited by weirpig

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10 minutes ago, kmanmx said:

Generally the weather systems (especially North America) are much larger in scale. They have gained energy and strength over the entire pacific/atlantic ocean before hitting east coast america, which is why precipitation has no problem getting many hundreds of miles in land. I think their warmer waters feed the systems too which makes them bigger. As for France, I guess the same story, just they are generally affected by bigger systems ? though i'm not as sure.

Ofcourse when it comes to snow, the rain has no issues getting into the midlands...:fool:

Yeah I've wondered why rain has no problem crossing the uk from west to east without losing intensity but snow just stops and fizzles out before reaching the east mids.

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Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Yes better GFS, not far enough NE, but maybe trending that way

prectypeuktopo.png

Needs a good 50mile shift north east with little time for change now. Still you never know id expect to see something but if anyone hoping for something better than december its probably a long shot. 

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Another heavy snow shower just passing through here. Currently -2.6'C. This is proper winter weather! :D

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12z Arpege consistent with previous run:

arpege-45-44-0.thumb.png.abd5cc9fb3a7d31e059c6ebbe02c8fba.png

GFS slightly better aswell. Definitely west and south-west orientation to this one as it stands.

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1 minute ago, Glacier Point said:

12z Arpege consistent with previous run:

arpege-45-44-0.thumb.png.abd5cc9fb3a7d31e059c6ebbe02c8fba.png

GFS slightly better aswell. Definitely west and south-west orientation to this one as it stands.

Leicester just about gets into the 10cm bracket aswell!looking good!!!whats friday lookin like GP?

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Wow the wind suddenly seems to have whipped up from nowhere. It must be absolutely perishing out there right now - not intending to find out at first hand! :cold:

Bish

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36 minutes ago, weirpig said:

This is were it stalls  

arpege-1-40-0.png?28-16

I’m somewhere under that! Snow day for the kids tomorrow?

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Hirlam not backing down 22hrs away  it show this   Then 4pm   Then  carnage at 6pm 

 

hirlam-1-25-0.png?28-17   hirlam-1-27-0.png?28-17  hirlam-1-29-0.png?28-17

Edited by weirpig

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7 minutes ago, shaky said:

Leicester just about gets into the 10cm bracket aswell!looking good!!!whats friday lookin like GP?

Leicester comfortably makes it on that chart, not just about

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Just now, weirpig said:

Hirlam not backing down 22hrs away  it show this 

hirlam-1-25-0.png?28-17

Holy crap i got a feeling this is gona be way more widespread than models are predicting!by the way ive just had 5cms of snow today from on and off showers!!cant complain!!

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Big snow showers have just dropped an inch of snow and it's still falling heavily!! yes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Ground blizzards here incredible against a orange background shower incoming shower cloud earlier,a couple of heavy intense blizzard showers,wind whipped up to january 1982 heights, superb afternoon..-4.8c now.

Edited by Snowyowl9

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Temporary blizzard conditions here as occasional heavy showers move through, the air completely filled with falling and blowing snow at times and vis' down to a few yards. The temp is -6.6c.

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