The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[MattStoke]

That shower to the NE of me is doing a good job of dying as it approaches.

[Glacier Point]

Both Hirlam and Arpege suggesting some potential snowfall during Thursday in advance of the main front programmed Friday. GFS making less of this at the moment, GEM, continues in its crazy snowfest.

Both models also suggest as some organised shower activity tomorrow afternoon.

Edited February 27, 2018 by Glacier Point

[MattStoke]

Just now, Glacier Point said:

Both Hirlam and Arpege suggesting some potential snowfall during Thursday in advance of the main front programmed Friday. GFS making less of this at the moment, GEM, continues in its crazy snowfest.

ECM too shows show for the Midlands on Thursday ahead of the main front. 

[Snowy L]

Really getting cold now, already -3C here.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

bbc does as well, very much like Thursday 17th Jan '13, snow before the main front

[shaky]

4 minutes ago, Glacier Point said:

Both Hirlam and Arpege suggesting some potential snowfall during Thursday in advance of the main front programmed Friday. GFS making less of this at the moment, GEM, continues in its crazy snowfest.

Both models also suggest as some organised shower activity tomorrow afternoon.

Yup i think some parts of the midlands could do well later on tonight and tomorrow!!

[smethwickgg102]

Hefty looking shower just made landfall south of Grimsby if it holds itself together should give someone a good covering 

[The Wolf]

Showers all die out before getting here now. Cant see any more decent showers reaching here tonight. Poor today.

[Bryn Webster]

Could be worse .... could live in East Anglia and see nothing for 36 hours XD

[Bryn Webster]

6 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

Showers all die out before getting here now. Cant see any more decent showers reaching here tonight. Poor today.

early hours tomorrow morning looking better for eastern midlands...but SE only? ... maybe some will make it over later....winds were meant to switch to ENE/ east...not sure though?

[EMids WeatherWatcher]

12 minutes ago, smethwickgg102 said:

Hefty looking shower just made landfall south of Grimsby if it holds itself together should give someone a good covering 

Lincoln cathedral will end up shredding it

[ChezWeather]

Was probably between 3-4cm in Matlock, back home theres about 0.5cm

Could see way out to the East on my way home and it didn't look very snowy at all 

[pegg24]

I know u can't take the met office app is gospel but is this Thursday Friday Saturday going to be a non event for east Midlands seem to get less and less snow on the app all the time. At one point showed snowed for about 48 hours,Hardly anything now.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

6 minutes ago, pegg24 said:

I know u can't take the met office app is gospel but is this Thursday Friday Saturday going to be a non event for east Midlands seem to get less and less snow on the app all the time. At one point showed snowed for about 48 hours,Hardly anything now.

Thurs looked poor on bbc tv weather, and was crap no mention of Fridays weather at all! rubbish! maybe too uncertain

[Dancerwithwings]

Temperatures won't get above freezing now for a number days now

[Midlander]

Hi all here in Aldridge, we did see some showers today. I'm actually the most optimistic I've been all week regarding Thursday Night/Friday. Though I'm not in the Amber I think it is possible that the Amber could be expanded further ENE to cover the West Midlands. Now, I think it's more important to see an eastwards shift in the low, rather than a N/S shift. I know London Snow Dreamer and London Snow Watch also think that the area could be expanded. After todays Amber was cancelled and moved north I'm not too worried at all and normally I'm very pessimistic.

[pegg24]

2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Thurs looked poor on bbc tv weather, and was crap no mention of Fridays weather at all! rubbish! maybe too uncertain

Hopefully un certain and we get something decent for all of us.

[Snowyowl9]

36 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

bbc does as well, very much like Thursday 17th Jan '13, snow before the main front

It`ll be much colder than then.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

EC for Friday, looks west and messy, no precip charts, but we look dry and cold, all ppn in West

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Snowyowl9 said:

It`ll be much colder than then.

Yes, but not confident of much snow as east as here

[Dancerwithwings]

3 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

EC for Friday, looks west and messy, no precip charts, but we look dry and cold, all ppn in West

 

Chief Forecaster's assessment from the Met office

There is still uncertainty in how this system will develop, but there is a chance that the combined effects of snow, strong winds and ice will lead to severe impacts.

[shaky]

Ecm compared to yesterdays 96 hour chart has the colder air further south across us!!!so an improvement there!!

[Midlander]

One run of one model - ECMWF 12Z Snow Depth, looks okay a slight eastwards shift would be favourable. This would hopefully bring the heavier stuff from Wales:)

[MattStoke]

ECM precipitation charts.

Light snow Thursday.

 

Band of moderate snow Friday.

Another band of snow Sunday.

Edited February 27, 2018 by MattStoke

[Supacell]

From an IMBY point of view the snow looks to not reach this far at the end of the week before losing a lot of intensity. Much like December 2017 I fear that my location in the far north of the Midlands will be left with a couple of cm from it before milder air sweeps into Northern England.

For that reason I am hoping for 2 days and nights of heavy snow showers and streamers ?

Edit: Although the ECM charts above put a smile on my face.

Edited February 27, 2018 by Supacell