The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[MattStoke]

Lovely, cold and crisp morning.

[MattStoke]

ECM model decides to throw out a snow 'event' down a central spine of England on Saturday. It's snow accumulation charts tend to be overdone but give an indication of where it shows some wintriness occuring.

Probably a low probability but maybe one to watch?

A few scattered wintry showers before then. Mostly in the north with snow mostly over hills.

[weirpig]

Snow showing now on BBC website. Wednesday night into Thursday. Kind of crept upon me a little. Something to watch at least 

Edited January 30, 2018 by weirpig

[I remember Atlantic 252]

7 hours ago, MattStoke said:

ECM model decides to throw out a snow 'event' down a central spine of England on Saturday. It's snow accumulation charts tend to be overdone but give an indication of where it shows some wintriness occuring.

Probably a low probability but maybe one to watch?

A few scattered wintry showers before then. Mostly in the north with snow mostly over hills.

nothing exciting at low levels, will be at best repeat of Sat 20th Jan

[RobR]

Interesting to see some hill snow potential for the weekend. It really is a week cold, week mild this winter. Apparently charts show a nationwide snow event on Sat 10th, which would be typical as I'm in Amsterdam!

[Benny123]

The BBC going for a cluster of snow showers this evening, maybe even a Cheshire streamer overnight.. not much mention of it though.. thoughts?

[weirpig]

2 hours ago, Ben Thompson said:

The BBC going for a cluster of snow showers this evening, maybe even a Cheshire streamer overnight.. not much mention of it though.. thoughts?

There is  Latest Euro 4  shows this quite nicely.    Nothing noteworthy i would have thought  but most will see failing snow.  Infact as i speak  BBc weather has given me some heavy snow symbols  whoops  Edit  again   Snowing here now.

Edited January 31, 2018 by weirpig

[markw2680]

You never no we may be in for a surprise tonight

[MattStoke]

Met Office ice warning tonight mentions snow. Mainly above 200 m but some localised snow lower down.

[WillinGlossop]

Hail/graupel/sleet showers earlier now proper flakes in moderate to heavy showers....currently snowing.... had slushy 1-2cm an hour ago after prolonged shower.... bit of a shock after coming back from Gibraltar/sotogrande/Ceuta where it was  17-21c....Monday was bonkers down there with 70mph winds causing damage and having the crossing into Gibraltar closed.... helicopter journey to Ceuta was lovely though in clear blue skies on Friday.....

although transitory slight accumulations...snowing moderately and laying again atm....

Edited January 31, 2018 by WillinGlossop

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Tuesday gaining interest, beast developing on Monday, front from the west Tuesday, very cold air ahead of it, and behind it, GFS though modeling it as very weak forget tonight, mild until Monday

hopefully nearer the time more oomph in the front

 

Edited January 31, 2018 by I remember Atlantic 252

[Staffordshire]

2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

mild until Monday

Mild until Monday? I don't think that is correct, potential of snow tonight and again Saturday, certainly not mild.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

you seem confused weirpig, what do you reckon for Tuesday? FI still

[weirpig]

Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

you seem confused weirpig, what do you reckon for Tuesday? FI still

yes  Tuesday is along way out   But for the next few days max here of 3c  in a 30 mph+ wind gusts    Feel temperature around -1 to -3c   Mild would not have been the word i would have used.  However you are right in the respect i expect not a lot regarding snow tonight.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Ay, hills of the north before Mondays E'ly, maybe flurries from the E'ly on Monday, if setup can edge a bit further north

[MattStoke]

Not mild. Just not deeply cold. Cold enough though for some wintriness to hills, and to lower levels in the heaviest showers and at night.

Weekend shows the potentitial for some snow in places but mostly over high ground. Early next week does look potentially the most interesting.

Edited January 31, 2018 by MattStoke

[Terminal Moraine]

A few light snow showers here in the past hour but the heavier showers are to the north and north east at the moment.

[Walsall Wood Snow]

Have had a couple of brief light snow showers this afternoon here. Feels quite raw in the wind too.

[weirpig]

Boom snow  very wet. But bodes well for later 

[MattStoke]

Had light flurries of snow/graupel earlier.

[Polar Maritime]

Moderate snow showers blowing through this afternoon. currently moderate snow with temp 0.5c and Dew/p -0.4c.

[WalsallWeather123]

Had a quick look at the radar. I reckon northern and eastern parts, probably around Stoke to Nottingham/Leicester will see snow showers moving in around 20:00 and then areas further south will see some snow/sleet/rain rain moving in around 23:00

[Terminal Moraine]

1cm of lying snow after a short but fairly heavy snow shower between 1810 and 1825.

[Summer of 95]

Had a light snow shower about 1300, a hail one shortly after, a cold wind and plenty of sun. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Not a great run for this region GFS 18Z, for early next week, still FI yet though, lots of changes I'm sure, on this run, we're practically snow free, (early next week)