Model output discussion - mid January

[tight isobar]

Iso deffs-..never ending and comparable to most midd-north latt ...?

Gradients are cold where ever you turn your head!!!!

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, 'ColdIsBest' said:

Snow maybe over some eastern and western parts, but this is all marginal for most of us, especially the Midlands and Central areas until we get to T198.

 

Sorry can you please elaborate ? 

[Stormeh]

Just had a look at the 18z....

[Snowmadsam]

I think I actually need to sit down. 

Holy guacamole! 

What is that 18z?!

what is this?! 

 

WHAT IS LIFE? 

[ICE COLD]

And still going at t228 OMG ? 

[Singularity]

The 00z runs will take some nerves of steel even with so much seemingly in our favour this time.

It will be easier then, but harder right now, if you think back to the UKMO 12z at day 6. Oh wait, even that included a significant snow event across a wide area... so that leaves the GFS 12z with it's not so clean LP movement Sat-Sun. 

Not sure I can resist dreaming with the 18z for now though 

[Darkcloud]

Can't believe what I'm seeing from the models today/tonight!!! Can't dismiss the 18z anymore, its been teetotal recently! Could it finally happen??? (On knees praying)

[ItNeverSnowsInWindsor]

The 18z GFS looks quite promising, will wait until the 0z to see if momentum continues with the Easterly ?

[Allseasons-Si]

All i see is trough disruption after trough disruption,we  could be buried come this time next week.

[Purga]

And.... back come the -10 uppers into the SE again at t +225 from the EAST!

[metaltron]

The ICON 18z still doesn't look great. The Azores high is further east at 96z. It's not awful but it will be pretty disappointing if it's proved correct. 

[Snowman.]

5 minutes ago, 'ColdIsBest' said:

Snow maybe over some eastern and western parts, but this is all marginal for most of us, especially the Midlands and Central areas until we get to T198.

 

No it's not lol.

[JBMWeatherForever]

And so the wonderful near term trend continues, and Britain grows ever nearer to disappearing into the deep freeze by stealth.  I think there is only one way this is going now, when you follow this trend to its logical conclusion. A deeply cold beast from the east ! And perhaps some battleground events aswell !

[DOdo]

Mild air is just temporary -8s at 264

[Had Worse]

And then everyone finds out that ithe 18z was an extreme outlier 

Wait... no.. its really going to happen.

[Purga]

Just await the MJO update for an upgrade in about 48hrs.....

[feb1991blizzard]

And to round things off nicely, here comes another really aggressive SSW me thinks.

[ICE COLD]

HERE YOU GO @feb1991blizzard A CHART FOR YOU ?

[karlos1983]

Ding ding ding .... Round 12

Edited January 31, 2018 by karlos1983

[feb1991blizzard]

Just now, ICE COLD said:

HERE YOU GO @feb1991blizzard A CHART FOR YOU ?

You just beat me to it!!

[tight isobar]

The supporting ens..will be of VAST INTEREST via 18z...

And also telling.

Possibilities are endless !!!

[supernova]

Heartbreaking to see colder uppers from the East mixed out for, erm, 12 hours before they push back in from the West. Still, at least I'll have time to stock up on bread and milk before the next snow event(s). 

 

[inghams85]

Just now, karlos1983 said:

Ding ding ding .... Round 12

There a your retrogression refrigeration and beginnings of MJO Phase 8. Imagine if we could avoid a mild day before that happened 

[weirpig]

16 hours from despair and disappointment  tick tock. But until then let's just feast on some lovely charts.  Next week could be full of ice days 

[Decemberof2010]