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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards


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1 hour ago, Hawesy said:

Thanks @Benvironment, like @Mr Frost I’m interested in doing a winter skills course and the Glenmore one sounds ideal. Definitely on my to do list for next winter.

See you there, always been a plan of mine? Well done to @Mr Frost  for being sensible enough to ask on here, some people just head straight up like it's a stroll to the newsagents. We hear the search helicopter flying low overhead on too many a winter's night 

Very breezy morning, snow blowing across the roads, looks like some heavy showers inbound, my partner works from home so can enjoy it while I'm at work, not jealous at all..

Edited by Northern Strath
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This will get lost amid the avalanche of posts....scuse the pun. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN FOR ONLY THE SECOND TIME IN 7 AND A BIT YEARS I HAVE A MEASURABLE SNOWFALL!  Only a cm mind but a landmar

Let's just start with the money shot - both the ECM and the GFS agree that, as of Wednesday 12pm, the upper air temperatures will be sitting at -14/-15C over most of Scotland, the wind will be pretty

We had a bit of a struggle to get to the hospital this morning, the bus was 20 mins late and the taxi got fed up waiting and had gone. But we got there and hubby had the op, it's not cancer it's just

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44 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

I see the Moray Firth Unicorn is alive and well (kicking, in fact) this morning.

Quite a draught blowing through any unsealed cracks.

Out of interest HC, what did you get from the new year 09 event? Delivered a foot to low level Inverness. Didn't join here until a few 2010 so missed all the fun

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23 minutes ago, Northern Strath said:

Out of interest HC, what did you get from the new year 09 event? Delivered a foot to low level Inverness. Didn't join here until a few 2010 so missed all the fun

It got very cold at the end of December (a couple of ice days and thick hoar frost) but we escaped down south at New Year. It was still very cold when we returned but I don't remember much snow, either here or where I was working , which was the middle of Sutherland. The rivers were frozen and deer were at the roadsides eating salty grass.

edit - I don't mean no no, just not much no.

FKS - I mean not much snow! Brain disengaged this morning.

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Edited by Hairy Celt
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2 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

Starting to snow quite heavily here, it shouldn’t come to much but nice to see :)

I have lost count how many days I have seen snow falling 

Yep, flakes blowing in the wind here now

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Possible snow event tomorrow into Friday morning? 

Doesn't look like a lot but still could give a a few cm in places, with more over the western highlands ... againnn! 

Here's euro4's latest take on it: 

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950's look good: 

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850's also look good: 

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dew points are really good too: 

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here the precipitation charts: 

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The latest GFS also showing the potential: 

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And metO Model must be singing from the same hymn sheet as my automated forecast has me in snow from 5pm Thursday til 3am Friday 

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the conditions look really good, a lot less marginality than of late but the issue will be getting the precipitation in I think for the areas away from the western highlands. Still, at least there's a the possibility and another opportunity to watch the radar. 

 

 

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Snow's on here too, assume it's going to turn to rain, but nice to see. Amazing day at Nevis Range yesterday, proper powder and sunshine.

Mr Frost, lots of wise words about the dangers but my tip would be to go try things within your comfort zone and always be in control. So on a wild day try a wee hill with easy escape and see how the wind chill etc feel. Always carry more gear than you think you'll need and ALWAYS be prepared to turn back if you're not confident. My classic for wild weather (westerlies) is to try Ben Ledi where you climb the lower slopes in relative shelter and when you hit the ridge that's when you know if it is too wild to continue or not. Not recommending that (I have been wandering hills since 1980!) but something similar in your area might be appropriate.

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Bit of snow blowing about here in town centre, which is a miracle in itself, would imagine it'll turn to rain as the day goes on.

Edited by grifter
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13 minutes ago, Ruzzi said:

Possible snow event tomorrow into Friday morning? 

Doesn't look like a lot but still could give a a few cm in places, with more over the western highlands ... againnn! 

 

Great work @Ruzzi but you forgot that all important wet baw freezing level :D....which you want to be at 200m or less to see snow at low levels. Looks good for southern and central Scotland though some less cold air for a time further north.

18021512_1406.gif

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11 minutes ago, Hawesy said:

Great work @Ruzzi but you forgot that all important wet baw freezing level :D....which you want to be at 200m or less to see snow at low levels. Looks good for southern and central Scotland though some less cold air for a time further north.

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Drat your 'wet baws', that just made me dribble coffee on my keyboard. Never done that before, I thought it was just something idiots wrote cos they thought it sounded good.

Oh, errr... :oops:

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31 minutes ago, Ruzzi said:

Possible snow event tomorrow into Friday morning? 

Doesn't look like a lot but still could give a a few cm in places, with more over the western highlands ... againnn! 

The highlands must have some amount of snow now!

I am looking forward to when more settled weather comes in to do a bit of walking and hiking with my son.

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12 minutes ago, Stormeh said:

The highlands must have some amount of snow now!

I am looking forward to when more settled weather comes in to do a bit of walking and hiking with my son.

Yes. Getting quite nicely consolidated too with some freeze/thaw cycles. I'm looking for a suitable day to get up a hill soon too, although it's looking a bit windy for the next few days.

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The 00z GFS and now the 06z GFS show high pressure building towards Greenland around 7 days from now which is a great sign, the ECM however has other ideas.

If the GFS came off then I am sure we would see the return of @More Snow :D

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