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Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

BlueHedgehog074

By BlueHedgehog074
in Regional

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lorenzo Maestro

lorenzo

Posted
  • Location: @scotlandwx
  • Weather Preferences: Crystal Clear High Pressure & Blue Skies
  • Location: @scotlandwx
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Posted

We're gonna need a bigger ramp.. brutal, historic cold.

120-7UK.thumb.gif.a1ba532536296a2496f3c0b6c7e07633.gifUW120-7.thumb.gif.89c039db7ca2ee6f8d1d38f3a753b663.gif120-21UK.thumb.gif.d69d83b84f7d87f9be4419ccdae9b138.gif

Snow charts won't have a clue what's hit them, that's a pool of -45C air at 500hPa. Basically a snow equivalent of a stellar nursery.. Mon the North Sea Snow Machine!

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edo Accomplished

edo

Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
Posted

@hawesy just you forget about march warmth and negative thoughts and concentrate on your snow totals.... i think daily and cumulative predictions are in order so better get a sickie planned :whistling:

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blitzen Veteran

blitzen

Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
Posted (edited)
18 minutes ago, CameronWS said:

Hi guys, was just wondering what you think the chances of me seeing any snow are, I’m just north west of Glasgow by about 15 miles. I am realistic enough to know I’ll miss out on most of it but would be disappointed if I didn’t get at least a wee bit. Cheers.

Hi and welcome to the madhouse!   BMW hoped you would pay us a visit.

We are all just watching and waiting really for the runs to firm up.    Personally,  I don't think much  of Scotland (the Western Isles will probably dip out)  will miss out if what is projected hits (and I'm never wrong.):laugh:   The central belt will probably act like a funnel eventually from Forth to Clyde.   You, therefore, are in quite a good position I should think.

Don't take my word for it though as there are many more better skilled people on here to advise.

 

Edited by Blitzen
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mistyqueen Experienced

mistyqueen

Posted
  • Location: Isle of Skye, 14m/49ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, wild! wild! wild! Frost, a wee bit o' sun....
  • Location: Isle of Skye, 14m/49ft above sea level
Posted

Just checked the snowfall charts for next week, compared to this morning we are in for even less snow than forecast earlier! Ach well, disnae look like the temps are dropping any though! :cold:

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Stormeh Accomplished

Stormeh

Posted
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales, thunderstorms, snow
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
Posted

Navid just checked oot the 12z runs

tenor.thumb.gif.c0e8b3d1489e2a616f404f5690a1725c.gif

 

gfs-1-120.png

UW120-7.gif

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GraemeB Aficionado

GraemeB

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow Day - Stirling Night
  • Location: Glasgow Day - Stirling Night
Posted

In 10 years from now, we'll all be standing in the post office queue reminiscing about The Winter of 2018.

 

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Stormeh Accomplished

Stormeh

Posted
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales, thunderstorms, snow
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
Posted
8 minutes ago, mistyqueen said:

Just checked the snowfall charts for next week, compared to this morning we are in for even less snow than forecast earlier! Ach well, disnae look like the temps are dropping any though! :cold:

In this kind of setup anything is possible. Once the cold air is in place then a few surprises can pop up and snow could fall anywhere even on Skye :)

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101_North Maestro

101_North

Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
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Posted (edited)

Snowfall charts :cc_confused: Surely the boffins could come up with a better use of all that computing power than predicting snowfall totals from precipitation that doesn't exist yet, falling from showers that haven't formed yet, in a flow that hasn't been established yet, in a setup that hasn't fully evolved yet?

Edited by 101_North
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blitzen Veteran

blitzen

Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
Posted (edited)
33 minutes ago, mistyqueen said:

Just checked the snowfall charts for next week, compared to this morning we are in for even less snow than forecast earlier! Ach well, disnae look like the temps are dropping any though! :cold:

Originally I thought that the islands might miss out MQ but the latest runs show everywhere/anywhere could pick up something now?

IMG_1760.thumb.PNG.35dd2bb65b4c3306943c6b378d59313e.PNG

Edited by Blitzen
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Sunny Leith Community Regular

Sunny Leith

Posted
  • Location: Leith
  • Weather Preferences: Anything outwith the mean.
  • Location: Leith
Posted
43 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

If that GFS comes off...goodbye.

Got any pets in the hoose ? I'd start ranking them now in terms of edibility.

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101_North Maestro

101_North

Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
Posted
3 minutes ago, Paul Martin said:

Got any pets in the hoose ? I'd start ranking them now in terms of edibility.

Say goodnight Clyde! 

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Sunny Leith Community Regular

Sunny Leith

Posted
  • Location: Leith
  • Weather Preferences: Anything outwith the mean.
  • Location: Leith
Posted
Just now, Hairy Celt said:

'Here, kitty, kitty' takes a different meaning...

Day 10 in the snowed in Catch household. "Mummy this mince tastes funny".:cold:

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101_North Maestro

101_North

Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
Posted
1 minute ago, Paul Martin said:

Day 10 in the snowed in Catch household. "Mummy this mince tastes funny".:cold:

"Clyde! Where's yer dad?"

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howham Rising Star

howham

Posted
  • Location: Tarves, Aberdeenshire, 86m asl
  • Location: Tarves, Aberdeenshire, 86m asl
Posted
1 hour ago, GraemeB said:

In 10 years from now, we'll all be standing in the post office queue reminiscing about The Spring of 2018.

 

Corrected :-)

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Hawesy Veteran

Hawesy

Posted
  • Location: Home: Glenrothes, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife
  • Location: Home: Glenrothes, Fife Work: St Andrews, Fife
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Posted

Even if the upcoming spell ends up with me seeing no snow (highly unlikely, even for me, at this stage) it’s been worth it just for the banter on this thread! :D

12z GFS has -16c 850s and 502 dam for Leuchars on Wednesday! Not sure I’ve ever seen that before.

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snowidea Experienced

snowidea

Posted
  • Location: South Falkirk 111m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny in summer, cold in winter.
  • Location: South Falkirk 111m asl
Posted
2 hours ago, mardatha said:

Did we lose More Snow? He's been very quiet - is he maybe still buried in snaw up there :shok:?!

I've been thinking that, could we all tag him and ask him to come back. @More Snow we miss you 

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Landylou Apprentice

Landylou

Posted
  • Location: Tibbermore......Perth, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, frosty, snow....lots of snow! Oh....and more snow!
  • Location: Tibbermore......Perth, Scotland
Posted

Hi folks! I’ve been reading through the comments on the Models thread and trying to understand them ?‍♀️ but it all seems to focus on Southern England?! Surely it’s not just down there that’s getting all the fun? Do I need to dust of my snow shovel?

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snowy owl Community Regular

snowy owl

Posted
  • Location: East Lothian 88m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, warm spring, hot summers - nae chance in Scottie though!
  • Location: East Lothian 88m asl
Posted

Wow just wow! These charts are truly amazing! I’m now slightly apprehensive lol ! However so looking forward to watching this unfold. What an amazing time to enjoy our fab Scottish thread and everyone’s banter . 

 

 

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TinyTim Enthusiast

TinyTim

Posted
  • Location: Perth - Usually Snow Deprived!
  • Location: Perth - Usually Snow Deprived!
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Landylou said:

Hi folks! I’ve been reading through the comments on the Models thread and trying to understand them ?‍♀️ but it all seems to focus on Southern England?! Surely it’s not just down there that’s getting all the fun? Do I need to dust of my snow shovel?

In short, yes, I really hope so!!  How much is another matter... but if we don't see anything, well...

I've got my fingers crossed that too much might be the problem rather than too little, but we'll see ;)

Tim

Edited by TinyTim
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Frazd103 Rookie

Frazd103

Posted
  • Location: Rosyth, Fife
  • Location: Rosyth, Fife
Posted

Hi guys, last post was at tail end of 2010 spell I think. Been an avid lurker ever since and have followed model thread over the in between period. Signed in again the other day as it looks like something brewing. Looking forward to it and let's not leave it 8 years again! From somewhat snow starved Rosyth.......

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Stormeh Accomplished

Stormeh

Posted
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
  • Weather Preferences: Severe gales, thunderstorms, snow
  • Location: Barrhead, East Renfrewshire
Posted
3 minutes ago, Landylou said:

Hi folks! I’ve been reading through the comments on the Models thread and trying to understand them ?‍♀️ but it all seems to focus on Southern England?! Surely it’s not just down there that’s getting all the fun? Do I need to dust of my snow shovel?

Better stick to this thread, many of the posts in the model thread are mostly SE England related as if the rest of UK don’t exist. Someone in there said that Scotland won’t do very well lol. Perth will do very well in my opinion so have yer shovel ready :)

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101_North Maestro

101_North

Posted
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
  • Location: Currie, SW Edinburgh, 140m asl
Posted
1 minute ago, Frazd103 said:

Hi guys, last post was at tail end of 2010 spell I think. Been an avid lurker ever since and have followed model thread over the in between period. Signed in again the other day as it looks like something brewing. Looking forward to it and let's not leave it 8 years again! From somewhat snow starved Rosyth.......

Welcome back :D

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