Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

[Hawesy]

1 minute ago, 101_North said:

6:40pm. Hawesy busy working it all out as we speak! 20mins to go........

Hawesy is drinking wine and plucking figures out of thin air.

[shuggee]

35 minutes ago, igloo said:

Snaw here just turned in the past 10min with the temps also dropping to 1.9c so not lying just yet so patience everybody the snaw level is getting lower

Very good. Just noticed it's turned sleety here - pouring down.

[Hawesy]

Evening folks,

I’ve decided to be ambitious  stupid and go with total snowfall amounts through to Midnight on Monday. As mentioned to @edo last week I only predict the total of what accumulates on the ground in the given period, as responsible members of the kilted thread it’s up to you to protect whatever snow you do get from the vagaries of thaw, sublimation, gritting etc. As usual, just for fun! I’m very nervous about tonight in the south of Scotland....fine lines could be the difference between next to nothing and a major snowfall. 

@aggy 2cm (as The Stone Roses sang, Aggy, This is the One [on Monday, I reckon])

@More Snow 3cm (please come back, mate)

@edo 4cm

@Stormeh 8cm

@Ravelin 2cm (been a tough 2018 so far)

@Blitzen 7cm

@Norrance 4cm

@Ruzzi 18cm

@snowidea 6cm

@101_North 6cm

@CatchMyDrift 12cm (nervous about this!)

@Hairy Celt 3cm

@scottish skier 12cm 

@GraemeB 6cm

@moffatross 18cm

@snowy owl 1cm

@mardatha 20cm (gulp)

@mistyqueen 3cm

@grifter 4cm

@Northernlights 5cm

@Northern Strath NS’s house will be buried in snow and ice and discovered by future generations of Archaeologists.

@NorthernRab 7cm

@Benvironment 12cm

@Polar Gael 15cm

@shuggee 20cm

@Cheggers 10cm

@NUT 10cm

@Kayemill 12cm

@Big Innes Madori 8cm

@DR(S)NO 5cm

@ghoneym 3cm

@Mr Frost 8cm

@ciel 2cm

@howham 1cm

@igloo 25cm

@Spindrift2017 5cm

@Mandy Langlands 1cm

and

@Hawesy 1cm 

[shuggee]

On my, 20cm! Mardartha up there too. I'll have to dust-down my measuring stick.

[Hairy Celt]

4.5C and moderate rain now.

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

That's the rain on properly now.

Lashin doon.

T = 4.9 C / DP = 1.2 C.

I'll bank 12 cm of snaw.

[Hawesy]

7 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I'll be lucky to get 2cm but thanks for your optimism @Hawesy

 

Your predictions have possibly been my least accurate out of all of them this winter to date. I’m hoping to break that cycle! 

[igloo]

Heavy snaw here now the big flakes type  to but its not really lying just slush on the car the temps have droped like a stone in the past 30min to 0.9c i think this band is just about passed through my area and will get better luck with the showers from midnight onwards

[Cheggers]

I'm meant to driving to Liverpool on Monday, what are my chances? Think the m74 will be difficult.

[ciel]

36 minutes ago, Hawesy said:

As usual, just for fun!

Well, i predict zilch for my location. 

Funnily enough, I nipped (shouldn't be driving at the mo after recent eye op) into Edzell this morning for a few essentials, through drizzle, when a car swanned into the village with a good 1cm of snow on the bonnet.

Back home, I couldn't find any radar evidence for snowy precipitation in the area?

It's all very marginal, I think, for now.

[Hairy Celt]

That's the rain off, 3.5C. Exciting stuff

@ciel - we had a rain shower this morning that didn't show up on the radar. Much to Ms HC's amusement.

[snowidea]

1 hour ago, Hawesy said:

Evening folks,

I’ve decided to be ambitious  stupid and go with total snowfall amounts through to Midnight on Monday. As mentioned to @edo last week I only predict the total of what accumulates on the ground in the given period, as responsible members of the kilted thread it’s up to you to protect whatever snow you do get from the vagaries of thaw, sublimation, gritting etc. As usual, just for fun! I’m very nervous about tonight in the south of Scotland....fine lines could be the difference between next to nothing and a major snowfall. 

@aggy 2cm (as The Stone Roses sang, Aggy, This is the One [on Monday, I reckon])

@More Snow 3cm (please come back, mate)

@edo 4cm

@Stormeh 8cm

@Ravelin 2cm (been a tough 2018 so far)

@Blitzen 7cm

@Norrance 4cm

@Ruzzi 18cm

@snowidea 6cm

@101_North 6cm

@CatchMyDrift 12cm (nervous about this!)

@Hairy Celt 3cm

@scottish skier 12cm 

@GraemeB 6cm

@moffatross 18cm

@snowy owl 1cm

@mardatha 20cm (gulp)

@mistyqueen 3cm

@grifter 4cm

@Northernlights 5cm

@Northern Strath NS’s house will be buried in snow and ice and discovered by future generations of Archaeologists.

@NorthernRab 7cm

@Benvironment 12cm

@Polar Gael 15cm

@shuggee 20cm

@Cheggers 10cm

@NUT 10cm

@Kayemill 12cm

@Big Innes Madori 8cm

@DR(S)NO 5cm

@ghoneym 3cm

@Mr Frost 8cm

@ciel 2cm

@howham 1cm

@igloo 25cm

@Spindrift2017 5cm

@Mandy Langlands 1cm

and

@Hawesy 1cm 

6cm will do me just fine. Actually that sounds wrong 

[aggy]

1 hour ago, Hawesy said:

Evening folks,

I’ve decided to be ambitious  stupid and go with total snowfall amounts through to Midnight on Monday. As mentioned to @edo last week I only predict the total of what accumulates on the ground in the given period, as responsible members of the kilted thread it’s up to you to protect whatever snow you do get from the vagaries of thaw, sublimation, gritting etc. As usual, just for fun! I’m very nervous about tonight in the south of Scotland....fine lines could be the difference between next to nothing and a major snowfall. 

@aggy 2cm (as The Stone Roses sang, Aggy, This is the One [on Monday, I reckon])

@More Snow 3cm (please come back, mate)

@edo 4cm

@Stormeh 8cm

@Ravelin 2cm (been a tough 2018 so far)

@Blitzen 7cm

@Norrance 4cm

@Ruzzi 18cm

@snowidea 6cm

@101_North 6cm

@CatchMyDrift 12cm (nervous about this!)

@Hairy Celt 3cm

@scottish skier 12cm 

@GraemeB 6cm

@moffatross 18cm

@snowy owl 1cm

@mardatha 20cm (gulp)

@mistyqueen 3cm

@grifter 4cm

@Northernlights 5cm

@Northern Strath NS’s house will be buried in snow and ice and discovered by future generations of Archaeologists.

@NorthernRab 7cm

@Benvironment 12cm

@Polar Gael 15cm

@shuggee 20cm

@Cheggers 10cm

@NUT 10cm

@Kayemill 12cm

@Big Innes Madori 8cm

@DR(S)NO 5cm

@ghoneym 3cm

@Mr Frost 8cm

@ciel 2cm

@howham 1cm

@igloo 25cm

@Spindrift2017 5cm

@Mandy Langlands 1cm

and

@Hawesy 1cm 

Smashing just aswell I like the stone roses?

[igloo]

1 hour ago, scottish skier said:

That's the rain on properly now.

Lashin doon.

T = 4.9 C / DP = 1.2 C.

I'll bank 12 cm of snaw.

It wont be long now before it turns to snaw its even snawing at my mums at 196m now patience

[Weather Wonder]

3 minutes ago, igloo said:

It wont be long now before it turns to snaw its even snawing at my mums at 196m now patience

DPs looking good here just up the road, need to start lamp post watching soon ❄️ 

http://peebleswx.co.uk/wx/

[shuggee]

Snow on here now

[Stormeh]

Over the last 30 mins here I have had rain turning to sleet then snow then back to rain then sleet again then big fat flakes of snow and now back to heavy rain. Make yer fkin mind up will ye! 

Bring on the heavy snow showers tomorrow!

[moffatross]

I think today's mild sector was undercut by the cold air a few hours earlier than expected. I've been working in the SECC in Glasgow today, and when I left @ 6.30 it was pishing down rain at 4.5C. By the time I arrived at the South Lanarks/D&G Border at 7.30 pm it was pishing down sleet at 1.5C. It's currently pishing down in Moffat @ 2.5C but I reckon the highest parts of the Southern Uplands will have already been absolutely pasted.

The Hopetoun Arms cam is showing the snow is setting in ... http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/lowtherhill/

The one up the hill will be obscured by new snow again by tomorrow morning. I must do something about that ... maybe extending the cowling around it might help but that'd also make it more prone to wind damage. We changed the Lowther Hill camera and its housing a few months ago to one similar to those used at Glencoe but it's been more susceptible to snow build-up than the one we had up there the previous winter (albeit it's also been tested a lot more by the snow this winter too  ).

[igloo]

The ford ranger will have to be in 4x4 tommorrow again in the past 1 hour the place is pure white with 1 inch lying and its still comming down like feathers could well get another 2-3 inches by the time this front goes through

[Benvironment]

2 hours ago, Hawesy said:

.... as responsible members of the kilted thread it’s up to you to protect whatever snow you do get from the vagaries of thaw, sublimation, gritting etc.....

Classic

[jellybaby1969]

14 minutes ago, igloo said:

The ford ranger will have to be in 4x4 tommorrow again in the past 1 hour the place is pure white with 1 inch lying and its still comming down like feathers could well get another 2-3 inches by the time this front goes through

What Ranger you got ? Had a 3.2 manual  limited..was hard work to drive !

[shuggee]

44 minutes ago, Weather Wonder said:

DPs looking good here just up the road, need to start lamp post watching soon ❄️ 

http://peebleswx.co.uk/wx/

DP and wet bulb dropping like a stone. Excellent conditions now. 

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

Temperature and DP dropping away together quite quickly here now.

T = 3.8 C and DP down to 0.1 C.

Still just pish oot, but cannae be that long now.

[igloo]

15 minutes ago, jellybaby1969 said:

What Ranger you got ? Had a 3.2 manual  limited..was hard work to drive !

A old 2007 with a 2.5 deisel engine with a whopping 178000 miles on the clock and the light on top white in coulor with a big box at the back its a old windfarm hand down its never let me down no matter the weather as tough as old boots they say engine is getting a bit noisey  now 

Edited February 10, 2018 by igloo

[shuggee]

30 minutes ago, moffatross said:

I think today's mild sector was undercut by the cold air a few hours earlier than expected.

 

Yes, this appears best illustrated in Northern Ireland. A good 3C lower than forecast already, four hours ahead of the GFS.