Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/2018 Onwards

[Nqp15h]

Well, i'll just reserve judgement until it has past, because it could end up being further south, than predicted!

Edited January 17, 2018 by Nqp15h

[Weegaz]

I'm sensing a case of lamppost watching.....or security light watching for some.

[booferking]

6 minutes ago, Nqp15h said:

I'm going to trust the EURO4 more since it picked up the Warm Sector, and the GFS did not.

I reckon we will know by 6Z EURO4.

Gfs did pick up the warm sector 850s went from -7 to -4 on its forecast.

[gary1365]

I'm very surprised there's anything left on the ground here at all this morning. It' all a slushy mess but there's still a little bit of snow hanging on.

[booferking]

Going to reserve my judgement on this event tonight until i see the updated 06z WRF model it's been spot on with these events all winter should be updating soon.

Put it this way the professionals are not very confident so close to the event just listen to there forecasts.

[Nqp15h]

What does the WRF show?

Yes, Gary, the snow on my deck is actually frozen which is surprising.

[booferking]

17 minutes ago, Nqp15h said:

What does the WRF show?

Yes, Gary, the snow on my deck is actually frozen which is surprising.

Snow for most of the north on its 00z run due to update soon.

[Hegzyy]

the 8.30 bbc uk weather video on their site looks really good for much of the North, Far east looks like it could miss out, but could be a solid 4/5 hours of snow :O

[mountain shadow]

Updated Arpege 6z looked like a mix of snow, sleet and rain. Looks primarily a North and West of Belfast Lough thing.

[Nqp15h]

Where is the snow, Mountainshadow? 

[gingercat]

Sleety rain in Belfast 

[SnowJon]

Tonight's weather warning for snow has just been updated to include the whole of Northern Ireland!

I'm doubtful I'll see much here on the coast but you never know.

[mountain shadow]

17 minutes ago, Nqp15h said:

Where is the snow, Mountainshadow? 

Currently loads in my back garden. :-)

 

 

[Nqp15h]

The 06Z is still showing snow for those of us North of Belfast/Tyrone.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=18&ARCHIV=0&ZOOM=0&PERIOD=&WMO=

 

[Nqp15h]

STATUS ORANGE

Snow-ice Warning for Cavan, Monaghan and Donegal

An Atlantic depression will cross Ireland this evening and early tonight bringing a spell of snow on its northern flank. This will be followed by scattered snow showers later in the night and Thursday. At present, the main risk of appreciable accumulations is limited to Ulster.

Issued:

Wednesday 17 January 2018 10:00

Valid:

Wednesday 17 January 2018 18:00 to Thursday 18 January 2018 12:00

[Weegaz]

Totally lost with these warnings now, phone has been pinging them up for most of the morning.

[Guest]

3 hours ago, Nqp15h said:

Actually we're the prime spot.

Which is the problem. North West was in the firing line for those ripe, heavy fresh snow showers but I don't know what happened. Very little of them were prolonged they just came and went seemingly intensifying over land, not even enough for plus 1cm so a lot of disappointment afoot. Not getting my hopes up for tonight either looks marginal at best for lowies like myself and rain will surely wash it away after though Thursday night looks promising for some more people! Though the east got the worst of it that is a change for them considering most of the time NW don't deliver so potently for them so that's an upside  

 

Very happy that RocheyDubs snowshield got smashed and the pictures are stunning keep sending em tonight and after

Edited January 17, 2018 by Guest

[somofagun]

Pain in ass when the snow cant even get lying a day. It was sliding of the roof during the middle of the night. Bring back 2010

[Nqp15h]

This is a frontal weather system where the precipitation will be heavy and stationary for several hours allowing evaporative cooling to take hold, so it's a little different. 

[Nqp15h]

5 minutes ago, somofagun said:

Pain in ass when the snow cant even get lying a day. It was sliding of the roof during the middle of the night. Bring back 2010

Snow is readily lying above 200 metres. A good 4 inches up there.

[Sparky72]

Plenty of warnings out for tonight but personally won't get hopes up.!!

[booferking]

Updated WRF going for snow.

[ronan]

4 minutes ago, booferking said:

Updated WRF going for snow.

For all areas? After last night's let down am not holding much hope.

[somofagun]

Im about 185. i only have to go up the road half a mile and its 8 inches were we only have 3. i hate this marginal stuff

[Nqp15h]

You have 3 inches and you are unhappy? Are you foreal?