Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 16/01/2018 Onwards

[SMU]

Dublin on course for some snow in the next half hour !

[ronan]

1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

Dublin on course for some snow in the next half hour !

Steve what's your views on our amber warning? All has went pretty quiet here and what about tomorrow nights chances?

[bobbarley]

Back from my walk, freezing and success by the fact my footprints were covered by the time I got back. Unfortunately the wind changed NorthWesterly so I didn't get the entire band of snow that I thought.

 

[bobbarley]

Also now coming in off the sea so a thaw is likely

 

[SMU]

3 minutes ago, ronan said:

Steve what's your views on our amber warning? All has went pretty quiet here and what about tomorrow nights chances?

Dublin will need a more southerly track of the storm where as NI could be in a good location !

radar suggesting 1-3cm In the next 2 hours if it settles in Dublin!

[ronan]

Just now, Steve Murr said:

Dublin will need a more southerly track of the storm where as NI could be in a good location !

radar suggesting 1-3cm In the next 2 hours if it settles in Dublin!

I am in the north but can't understand why we have an amber warning in force from the met. Unless something happens through the night. 

[Nqp15h]

I think they've underestimated the temperatures, and thought we'd get proper snow, rather than hail and snizzle.

[Hegzyy]

Showers turning to rain and sleet from the north west ☹️ was hoping it would maintain tonight 

[Nqp15h]

hmmm, that warm sector lasts all night, so probably only snow on hills later, for us north westerners anyway.

So completely pointless for the Met Office to release an Amber warning.

Edited January 16, 2018 by Nqp15h

[Sperrin]

You know it's a good event when you get bored of lamppost watching! 

*runs for cover*

[Guest]

Just now, Nqp15h said:

hmmm, that warm sector lasts all night, so probably only snow on hills later, for us north westerners anyway.

Cecilia definitely didn't say that I doubt this warm sector..

[Nqp15h]

At 3am the 925pha temperature rises to 2c, at the moment it is -3c.The 925pha level is 500 meters.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=t925&HH=15&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

I'd love to be proven wrong, but to me that is not conducive for snow.  I mean you can clearly see the trough on this satellite image: https://en.sat24.com/en

Edited January 16, 2018 by Nqp15h

[snowice]

23 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Dublin on course for some snow in the next half hour !

Lashing snow blizzards at present worse that I expected i mean great

[BIG LAD]

still snowing on and off here. deep dry powder snow. u cant beat it. must be the third or fourth decent snowfall this winter already to cant complain.

[bobbarley]

7 minutes ago, Nqp15h said:

At 3am the 925pha temperature rises to 2c. The 925pha level is 500 meters. At the moment it is -3c.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=t925&HH=15&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

 

Nice spot the -ve area corresponds to the original amber warning area

[mountain shadow]

Still plenty of showers coming during the night in my opinion. Radar looks decent. 

[Neiller22]

2 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Still plenty of showers coming during the night in my opinion. Radar looks decent. 

What you think about tomorrow night MS. Touch and go 

[Nqp15h]

5 minutes ago, bobbarley said:

Nice spot the -ve area corresponds to the original amber warning area

 I can see the big trough on the radar, now. I don't know if the Met Office thinks that's going to be snow?

 

Edited January 16, 2018 by Nqp15h

[mountain shadow]

9 minutes ago, Nqp15h said:

At 3am the 925pha temperature rises to 2c, at the moment it is -3c.The 925pha level is 500 meters.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=euro4&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=t925&HH=15&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

I'd love to be proven wrong, but to me that is not conducive for snow.  I mean you can clearly see the trough on this satellite image: https://en.sat24.com/en

Being up  a hill definitely helps but if the precipitation is heavy enough it might not melt as it passes through this layer.

[mountain shadow]

2 minutes ago, Neiller22 said:

What you think about tomorrow night MS. Touch and go 

Very much so. Just have to wait and see what falls from the sky. Might start of as snow but turn sleetier 

 

[ronan]

Ohhhhhh! This looks good!!

[Nqp15h]

18z EURO4 may show a change to the warm sector, I don't know. 

[Weegaz]

1 minute ago, ronan said:

Ohhhhhh! This looks good!!

Things seem to be more from the slight north west now ronan? That one looks great, especially for the east to

[ronan]

Yeah for sure Gaz. This one has been intensifying to!! Should know very soon!

[Weegaz]

1 minute ago, ronan said:

Yeah for sure Gaz. This one has been intensifying to!! Should know very soon!

MetO could be right if we get a few of these overnight. Would make sense eh?