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North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards


Deep Snow please

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

The best snow potential for our patch arrives at 6pm tomorrow (note, much earlier in Cumbria). This is when the 850-1000 hPa thickness level is at its most favourable. Note that when you’re in the territory of the second lightest blue on the chart (i.e. 2 shades down), precipitation is highly likely to be of proper snow. Note that snow is also possible at the lightest shading of blue but not as guaranteed. https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2018/01/15/basis12/ukuk/th85/18011618_1512.gif

https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2018/01/15/basis12/ukuk/th85/18011621_1512.gif

https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2018/01/15/basis12/ukuk/th85/18011700_1512.gif

https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2018/01/15/basis12/ukuk/th85/18011703_1512.gif

Note that by 3am Wednesday conditions become less favourable... but still probably conducive to snow inland. Wet bulb temps also recover to around +2C (should still be snow, but more marginal) https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2018/01/15/basis12/ukuk/thew/18011703_1512.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Orrell
  • Weather Preferences: extreme.
  • Location: Orrell
20 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Where about in Rossendale are you heading because there can be a massive difference in snow amounts between the bottom of the valley at Ramsbottom and up at Bacup and surrounding villages. 

Crawshawbooth, one road in one road out. You know it? 

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Posted
  • Location: Hindley Green 50m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & storms. Or very hot. None of this raining when it's sunny rubbish
  • Location: Hindley Green 50m asl

Apps have downgraded snow in Hindley to rain. For a change. I’ll expect nothing 

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

god dam rain today not working again. 

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

tomorrow from 4pm onwards best chance for snow. 

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs

chucking down

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Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
2 minutes ago, algernon said:

Crawshawbooth, one road in one road out. You know it? 

Yeh know it well, top end of Bacup myself.

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Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside

18z coming out now, where will this low go???

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Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
1 minute ago, Joe Bloggs said:

18z GFS. Similar to the 12z? 

Really wouldn’t take much more of a southerly push for us to get a snow risk http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_51_2.png

looks further south again to me joe.

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Posted
  • Location: Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Sydney, Australia

Deffo slightly further south on 18z GFS, just need the gradual southward changes to continue for the next few runs and could become very interesting. First 2 days of frequent snow showers to look forward to though :-)

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Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
1 minute ago, Joe Bloggs said:

18z GFS. Similar to the 12z? 

Really wouldn’t take much more of a southerly push for us to get a snow risk http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_51_2.png

Getting interesting Joe, ever so slightly south again. Not by much but the trend seems to be south now and not north. :good:

48-7UK.thumb.GIF.83c1cc60422a11e6ff211856237f29c8.GIF54-7UK.thumb.GIF.97431de62d81e05c0fa63662d666ddd6.GIF

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

looks further south again to me joe.

Yep agreed it’s further south another notch.. the mild 850’s barely touch us now.. 

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Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67

Hearing that the 18Z has the low less developed and further south again!!! 

Edit you’re all too quick for me. 

Edited by Chris.R
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Posted
  • Location: Orrell
  • Weather Preferences: extreme.
  • Location: Orrell
6 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Yeh know it well, top end of Bacup myself.

Ahh, nice and high then. I miss the valley weather. 

Hopefully I’ll be there before anything significant is put down. However, will be nice to see a bit of snow. 

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