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North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards


Deep Snow please
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Posted
  • Location: moorside, Oldham, Greater Manchester
  • Location: moorside, Oldham, Greater Manchester

    Gone from heavy snow to this and so have decent elevation. Best bet looks overnight 

    7E4923FF-588D-4BC4-A357-7DA955D9135A.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
    9 minutes ago, pip22 said:

    The low just a tiny bit further south on the 06z. It won't make any difference though. I'm guessing curtains for that.

    image.thumb.png.7d00795d95f86bfd1571cdc0677196f1.png

    GFS00Z ^

    image.thumb.png.f57814ac7558c729506079559f8dc6b2.png

    GFS06Z

    The model thread seems to be silent about it. It sums up the gloom and doom there.

    In fairness I rather the strong winds as any snowfall is limited anyways in my eyes but it looks like we might not even get that!

    Got to say, the Irish sea does tend to act differently to the North Sea in convective situations, I guess some reasons for the lack of convection is because of the Isle of Man situated where it is, the flow is too strong so showers just don't have time to develop and lastly, perhaps there is not enough instability in the atmosphere at the moment.

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    Posted
  • Location: London (currently)
  • Location: London (currently)

    Just managed to catch up with the model output. So diappointing to see they have corrected tomorrow's low north. At least Cumbria should still get several hours of snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
    9 minutes ago, karyo said:

    Just managed to catch up with the model output. So diappointing to see they have corrected tomorrow's low north. At least Cumbria should still get several hours of snow.

    You never know it could still correct south.

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    Well this is very disappointing so far!!

    Gutted about tomorrow nights low- that was a big chance of only it would have been 30-50miles further south.

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    Tomorrow night's low was realistically never going to happen in regard to snow. The low was wrapped in mildish air with relatively high dewpoints.. even the portion with the offshore wind. I'm not surprised whatsoever. Today is going exactly how it should have been expected so far... Showers mostly of rain and hail west of Manchester and sleet and snow east of.

    Edited by SP1986
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    Posted
  • Location: Morecambe
  • Location: Morecambe
    13 minutes ago, karyo said:

    Just managed to catch up with the model output. So diappointing to see they have corrected tomorrow's low north. At least Cumbria should still get several hours of snow.

    Don't think the air is really all that cold enough for snow at lower levels anyways to be honest with the low, the 0C upper air gets very close to the region anyways so I don't think we would be missing much.

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    Posted
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, hot summer days and Snow :)
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
    2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Well this is very disappointing so far!!

    Gutted about tomorrow nights low- that was a big chance of only it would have been 30-50miles further south.

    once again pitiful, netweather had me down for sleet/snow from mid afternoon yesterday haha, knew there wasnt a chance when the met said not so. ah well

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.

    image.png.fa32dba78f5d7b6a17aa5d7f97242801.png

    image.png.014ff2e33c12d732ab5d59279fb8968a.png

    Getting closer towards us.

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
    Just now, northwestsnow said:

    Well this is very disappointing so far!!

    Gutted about tomorrow nights low- that was a big chance of only it would have been 30-50miles further south.

    Don't think any snow was forecast until later this afternoon/Evening Both Manchester and Liverpool TAFS remain unchanged.

    Looking in the NI Thread and very uninspiring.

    C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: London (currently)
  • Location: London (currently)
    1 minute ago, Geordiesnow said:

    Don't think the air is really all that cold enough for snow at lower levels anyways to be honest with the low, the 0C upper air gets very close to the region anyways so I don't think we would be missing much.

    During heavy precipitation even uppers of -1 or -2 can deliver. Even that is out of reach as this stand.

     

    6 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

    You never know it could still correct south.

    Not very likely as we are so close to the event. I suppose our last chance for a decent correction south are the afternoon models. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, hot summer days and Snow :)
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
    2 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

    Don't think any snow was forecast until later this afternoon/Evening Both Manchester and Liverpool TAFS remain unchanged.

    Looking in the NI Thread and very uninspiring.

    C.S

    yeah ive been looking in there for the last 24 hours or so, not good

     

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    Posted
  • Location: 6 miles west of Manchester 50m asl
  • Location: 6 miles west of Manchester 50m asl

    The shower approaching Manc started as heavy soft hail here but turned to snow briefly on it's back edge :yahoo:

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le

    NI About to get an Amber warning for snow later this evening and overnight

    C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
    15 hours ago, Deep Snow please said:

    Apparently any old one of us can start these so I've took the liberty.

    Obviously the reason for the new thread is some serious potential snow this week. Tonight for high ground and down to medium to low levels tomorrow.

    In addition to that severe weather that could range from a severe snow storm to a severe wind and rain event depending on positioning of the incoming low is forecast for Wednesday night with a return to colder air and snow showers towards Friday. All very exciting coming up. Let's go.

    Here's why were getting excited it's the pink stuff (white stuff) as always

    Netweather GFS Image

    This is the last thread:

     

    Also as this is the first thread of the new year, Happy New Year.

    Ah, got beaten to it lol! Thanks for opening a new thread. You’ve done a great job on it! :good:

    Did look like the length of the older thread was piling up with too many pages!  

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    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
    15 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    Well this is very disappointing so far!!

    Gutted about tomorrow nights low- that was a big chance of only it would have been 30-50miles further south.

    11 degrees forecast for my location, so balmy 

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    6 minutes ago, shaky said:

    Yawn!!!!!boring so far!!standard north westerly with sleety showers!!lets see what the evening brings!!

    I can only see a total non event unless your really high up.

    just sleet/hail here- 

     

    Not cold enough, and the radar is hardly alive..

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    Posted
  • Location: London (currently)
  • Location: London (currently)
    2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    I can only see a total non event unless your really high up.

    just sleet/hail here- 

     

    Not cold enough, and the radar is hardly alive..

    We will have 3 hours of -8 uppers tonight. That's our best chance and then back to rain and sleet tomorrow. lol

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