North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[Spah1]

Can anyone explain why snow is more likely to fall at 9pm than 2am when it should be colder. Why would the temp go up ??????

Edited January 16, 2018 by Spah1

[Astral Goat Juice]

Manchester TAF going for Heavy Snow from 15:00 until the next day.

 

http://en.allmetsat.com/metar-taf/united-kingdom-ireland.php?icao=EGCC

 

 

[Had Worse]

Snow incoming.

 

[WillinGlossop]

Just now, Had Worse said:

Snow incoming.

 

Yep snowing and laying.....

[pip22]

ECM and UKMO have the low slightly south according to the model thread.

Edited January 16, 2018 by pip22

[Mountain Snow]

Thin covering on grass, hoping the radar picks up later. 

[northwestsnow]

3 minutes ago, pip22 said:

ECM and UKMO have the low slightly south according to the model thread.

Ive looked at the EC temps and the mild sector looks further north than the 12z runs yesterday- there is the chance those with high altitude might see snow tho..

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Mountain Snow said:

Thin covering on grass, hoping the radar picks up later. 

Think we all are

It looks dead at the moment.

[mottram blue]

Mixture of snow hail here in broadbottom near mottram about 130 asl ?

[jam2010]

Hail and rain, fingers crossed for later. Ground is very wet I would like a couple of hours of no ppn to dry the ground a little.

[chris78]

15 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Can anyone explain why snow is more likely to fall at 9pm than 2am when it should be colder. Why would the temp go up ??????

There could well be a meteorological reason, but my best guess would be the usual, computer generated forecasts are not worth the paper (screens) they are written on. 

[Spah1]

my predictive radar says 10.30 for the start of decent showers.

[pip22]

Just had sleet and hail shower. Hopefully snow by afternoon.

[Chris.R]

13 minutes ago, chris78 said:

There could well be a meteorological reason, but my best guess would be the usual, computer generated forecasts are not worth the paper (screens) they are written on. 

 The coldest air starts to leave us by then. There is quite a sharp jump up in thicknesses, 850s and 500 mbar temperatures. 

[frosty ground]

Looks like the showers are picking up intensity over the coast and the NW radar is actually working.

Plenty of Grapul last night, even had some down in oldham by the look of things.

[Spah1]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 The coldest air starts to leave us by then. There is quite a sharp jump up in thicknesses, 850s and 500 mbar temperatures. 

Well that’s a bit rubbish

[pip22]

Its graupal and hail now and its sticking to everything.

Stopped now leaving a dusting here.

Edited January 16, 2018 by pip22

[Chris.R]

Just now, Spah1 said:

Well that’s a bit rubbish

 It’s always been forecast to do that. It will be back on Thursday. 

[snowitdown]

Hi, this is my first post on net weather I live in Queensbury West Yorkshire

There is a light covering on the roads and grass

[itsnowjoke]

Rain here

[Spah1]

Lot of ramping in the Mod thread. 

No bans though they aren’t from the NW. 

[Spah1]

Well it’s hailing here in Chorley so if the showers do beef up later i’m hoping for snow. 

[Eskimo]

7 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 It’s always been forecast to do that. It will be back on Thursday. 

The thicknesses are actually at their coldest by midnight

Still cold enough at 3am

Likewise, the 850s are about the same between 6pm and 6am

The dew point rises slightly through the night but still sub-zero

I suspect that it's just the BBC weather graphics if I am honest. 

[northwestsnow]

Drizzle here - wonderful.

[Chris.R]

 The difference between midnight and 6 AM is enough to remove any chance at the coast.