North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[Joe Bloggs]

15 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

I think uppers of -6 should be more than enough for snow in your area but the issues are where the winds are coming from and from the looks of it, the frequency of the showers, really for our region I think the best set up will be a cold low but with a much slacker set up therefore any showers over Ireland don't make it as far across because when they do, they weaken and leave a lot of cloud which is no doubt having an affect on how much convection we are seeing at the moment. Also a slacker flow gives the showers more time to develop and be a bit more widespread and potant.

The weekend could be interesting in this regard because we still have fairly cold uppers and the flow starts to weaken before fully breaking down and I remember during December on a Saturday even Morecambe saw snow falling because the flow was slacker for example..

You’re definitely on to something there. I’ve noticed on a WNW’ly in the past, “ proper snow” only seems to happen once the wind drops  

[law of averages]

Nice covering here at the foot of the pennines... and lighting!! Could we get thundersnow??

[northwestsnow]

Looks to be big gaps appearing now- hopefully there will be some more showers later..

[pip22]

Snowing!!! Nice flakes falling here!!

[pip22]

Gone very heavy!!!!

[severe snowstorm]

Very heavy but fine graupel/hail. Everything covered.

[damianslaw]

Sleety hail snowy pellet type showers all day, but nothing long lasting or sustained to produce other than a slight deposit on grassy surfaces. However, in the last half hour we have something more potent and more snowy in nature, but still hail/snow pellets. 

A trough feature is set to move through the region early hours of the morning and this should bring a more organised band of sleet/snow perhaps for a couple of hours leaving a cover for many.

Hoping for a couple of cms to greet the dawn.

Tomorrow - more wintry showers in the morning, before rain/sleet/snow moves in later and into Thursday morning, but hard to say with any confidence just who will see some snow and who will see rain, further north you are and higher up greater chance of some significant snow.

 

[Darren Bown]

THe radar looks shocking currently.

[northwestsnow]

well we got a dusting- sure the temp should be around freezing now so might keep the cover til morning..

[inghams85]

1 minute ago, damianslaw said:

Sleety hail snowy pellet type showers all day, but nothing long lasting or sustained to produce other than a slight deposit on grassy surfaces. However, in the last half hour we have something more potent and more snowy in nature, but still hail/snow pellets. 

A trough feature is set to move through the region early hours of the morning and this should bring a more organised band of sleet/snow perhaps for a couple of hours leaving a cover for many.

Hoping for a couple of cms to greet the dawn.

Tomorrow - more wintry showers in the morning, before rain/sleet/snow moves in later and into Thursday morning, but hard to say with any confidence just who will see some snow and who will see rain, further north you are and higher up greater chance of some significant snow.

 

What time can you see the trough feature moving in for?

[severe snowstorm]

Now proper snowflakes falling and heavy.

[jam2010]

Just as it turns to snow  the showers die

[Winter Hill]

Snow north, East, South of me.. 

Horwich really is the pits at times 

[itsnowjoke]

9 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Local news saying a few roads in East Lancs are impassable at the moment because of snow and abandoned vehicles.

 

 

Manchester rd being one

[Snowmusic]

That band of showers to the west over just exiting Ireland is more organised that anything we’ve had yet. Hang on in there!! 

[pip22]

About to be stopped here now. At least the clear skies will keep the dusting here. Hopefully.

[severe snowstorm]

Huge flash. Thundersnow!

[WillinGlossop]

Massive close flash of lightening boom thunder now heavy snow.... 

[Spah1]

1 hour ago, inghams85 said:

Just looking at current observations and its just a case of timing. The colder 850's have scooted through 2 hours later than predicted so my best guess would be 7pm onwards for increased convection and lapse rates which is no bad thing as deeper into the night means colder surface conditions (also the trough isn't forecast now until 9pm onwards)

We’ve been saying it will get better than in the next hour all day. 

[Miamay]

Nowt much happening here although wind has dropped. My weather apps are showing snow now till after midnight for snow. Some hope !!

[Joe Bloggs]

I just saw lightning. 

Hail shower here currently. 

[i luv snow]

8 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

THe radar looks shocking currently.

Have you seen what is coming over from Ireland? Should hit the NW in a few hours. PS: snowing in Manchester

[Miamay]

Nowt much happening here although wind has dropped. My weather apps are showing snow now till after midnightin Liverpool. Some hope !!

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, Snowmusic said:

That band of showers to the west over just exiting Ireland is more organised that anything we’ve had yet. Hang on in there!! 

Yes I see that. IF and it's a big IF that band exiting Ireland holds, then maybe just maybe something better will hit many between 9pm to 10pm is my guess.

[i luv snow]

5 minutes ago, Snowmusic said:

That band of showers to the west over just exiting Ireland is more organised that anything we’ve had yet. Hang on in there!! 

Exactly! :-) Have faith peeps!