North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[Day 10]

5 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

.

See there's a bit of sleet mixed in with yours

[itsnowjoke]

9 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

See there's a bit of sleet mixed in with yours

Oh yes didn't see that 

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Getting heavier now

[Day 10]

2 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

Oh yes didn't see that 

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Getting heavier now

Hahahahaha 

[Carl46Wrexham]

1 hour ago, Darren Bown said:

Just watched the BBC weather at 2pm, nick seemed quite dismissive of snow for England and Wales this week, except for the SE tonight. Even said the front on Thursday would be more rain than snow.

Dear Nick Millar...If that's the case then what's the bloody point of the yellow warning then? 

[iand61]

It’s lovely her now, Di Ox said thankfully i’d miss the worst of it and what I had would soon melt as the sun came out again.

[Day 10]

6 minutes ago, iand61 said:

It’s lovely her now, Di Ox said thankfully i’d miss the worst of it and what I had would soon melt as the sun came out again.

Nice size garden, bit bland though

Edited February 4, 2018 by Day 10

[Mokidugway]

16 minutes ago, iand61 said:

It’s lovely her now, Di Ox said thankfully i’d miss the worst of it and what I had would soon melt as the sun came out again.

Nice rockery / water feature ,I bet it took ages to do ....

[Day 10]

5 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Nice rockery / water feature ,I bet it took ages to do ....

Perhaps it's a moat with his castle just out of shot

[itsnowjoke]

Raining here now 

[itsnowjoke]

2 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

Raining here now 

No it really is lol

[iand61]

17 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Nice rockery / water feature ,I bet it took ages to do ....

Yeah I was going to see if you could get your machine down Moki but in the end we did it by hand.

missus likes a bit of gardening and is pretty good with a wheel barrow.

it took pretty well all week to finish but she managed to catch up with the soaps that weekend so it all worked out in the end.

Doing the retaining wall for the water feature and the little foot bridge was a bit of a task though, especially mixing everything by hand.

[Chris.R]

Hahahaha there is nobody in the mad thread as all the southerners are out watching their lamp posts. ????

[Day 10]

HIRLAM coming into view now, still looking good for Tuesday.

[iand61]

8 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

HIRLAM coming into view now, still looking good for Tuesday.

Damn slow progress looking at it, from an IMBY point of view I hope it gets another 50 miles before stalling.

that said it doesn’t look heavy, probably nuisance value really.

[Frost HoIIow]

26 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

HIRLAM coming into view now, still looking good for Tuesday.

Would be nice to get snowfall of 15cm, getting a bit tired of these light coverings. 

[iand61]

24 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Would be nice to get snowfall of 15cm, getting a bit tired of these light coverings. 

I think most of us will be lucky to get 15mm out of that front, hardly warrants a Met O warning i’d imagine.

[Joe Bloggs]

12z run updates for Tuesday...

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_48_43.png

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam/hirlamuk-1-45-0.png?04-17

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/iconeu_uk1-1-44-0.png?04-16

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpegeuk-1-44-0.png?04-17

Looking good for a light covering for most of us. GFS and HIRLAM most bullish. Nothing hugely substantial but it won’t be marginal apart from on the immediate coast. Maybe a cm or so. 

Awaiting NMM, Euro4 and ECM. 

Still definite opportunity for the front to completely fizzle before it reaches Greater Manchester, but this looks unlikely according to most of the NWP. 

[iand61]

3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

12z run updates for Tuesday...

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_48_43.png

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam/hirlamuk-1-45-0.png?04-17

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/iconeu_uk1-1-44-0.png?04-16

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpegeuk-1-44-0.png?04-17

Looking good for a light covering for most of us. GFS and HIRLAM most bullish. Nothing hugely substantial but it won’t be marginal apart from on the immediate coast. Maybe a cm or so. 

Awaiting NMM, Euro4 and ECM. 

Still definite opportunity for the front to completely fizzle before it reaches Greater Manchester, but this looks unlikely according to most of the NWP. 

Agreed, it looks unlikely that it will reach the Pennines and will probably fizzle out before then, could even be one of those rare occasions where those west of the M6 do better than those to the east.

never mind though, at least there are likely to be plenty of chances during the coming days, whatever the direction they come from.

 

[Chris.R]

8 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

12z run updates for Tuesday...

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_48_43.png

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam/hirlamuk-1-45-0.png?04-17

http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/icon/iconeu_uk1-1-44-0.png?04-16

http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpegeuk-1-44-0.png?04-17

Looking good for a light covering for most of us. GFS and HIRLAM most bullish. Nothing hugely substantial but it won’t be marginal apart from on the immediate coast. Maybe a cm or so. 

Awaiting NMM, Euro4 and ECM. 

Still definite opportunity for the front to completely fizzle before it reaches Greater Manchester, but this looks unlikely according to most of the NWP. 

 Won’t be marginal even on the immediate coast. 

[Joe Bloggs]

1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

 Won’t be marginal even on the immediate coast. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_43.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_38.png

GFS suggests 2m temps of 2C or 3C with dewpoints around freezing. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_37.png

You’ll probably be ok but obviously you’re looking less cold than inland, but that’s usually a given anyway. The plus side is you get the heaviest precipitation. 

[Chris.R]

3 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_43.png

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_38.png

GFS suggests 2m temps of 2C or 3C with dewpoints around freezing. 

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_45_37.png

You’ll probably be ok but obviously you’re looking less cold than inland, but that’s usually a given anyway. The plus side is you get the heaviest precipitation. 

Look at the 925 mbar temps and 0 C level though. 

[Joe Bloggs]

Not good news from the EURO4 I’m afraid. The front dies a death and there’s no snow accumulation anywhere APART FROM on the immediate coast.  

[Mokidugway]

Can't really get excited about 1 cm of snow  starting to get the feeling that big snow episodes  here are turning into once in a lifetime events .

Edited February 4, 2018 by Mokidugway

[iand61]

Just now, Mokidugway said:

Can't really get excited about 1 cm of snow 

Same here but looks like there’s going to be plenty of potential to clear off the drive again this week.

at least it’s easier to move than snow.

[Day 10]

My latest post removed from the MOD thread WTF!!! I posted some charts, Chevron12345 asked me what do you mean by this that and the other so I replied and expanded on the charts I posted and my post magically disappeared! Unbelievable!!!