North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[frosty ground]

6 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

It might be me but looking at xcweather it looks like the centre of the low is slightly further south than first forecast, as Damianslaw says a wrap around PPN may head our way and even the GFS shows that snowfall may occur further southwards as the low continues its track of an ESE'ly direction.  

Just thinking the same.... im to far south but Lancaster area looks good now.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Temps are flying!

[I Cumbria Marra I]

9 minutes ago, Osca31 said:

Yes probably , 97M where i am..Still going here

has it settled on the road?

[Barmada_Casten]

Ok, moderate snowfall here which has accumulated quite quickly, maybe a cm or so.

Think it will fall steadily till day break giving similar accumulations to the late December event.

A rather bizzare day it must be said!

[Geordiesnow]

14 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Just thinking the same.... im to far south but Lancaster area looks good now.

Good if you love rain! 

[I Cumbria Marra I]

think thats it now, just light sleet

[Miamay]

Raining steadily now

[northwestsnow]

Yes its game over for us-

Hopefully friday can deliver although the set up looks similar to tues ..

[Geordiesnow]

12 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Yes its game over for us-

Hopefully friday can deliver although the set up looks similar to tues ..

I dont know like, I got a feeling with the low slightly further south than forecast, there might be more PPN for even the Manchester after 3 until around breakfast time, not a gurantee but its one to watch I think. Guess the issue will be the flow will turn NW'ly anyways so that could scupper things but who knows.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

well it turned back to snow about 15 minutes ago but is really wet and not laying, its actually melted the little bit of snow that did lay

Edited January 18, 2018 by I Cumbria Marra I

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

I dont know like, I got a feeling with the low slightly further south than forecast, there might be more PPN for even the Manchester after 3 until around breakfast time, not a gurantee but its one to watch I think. Guess the issue will be the flow will turn NW'ly anyways so that could scupper things but who knows.

Nah- its gone for us, needed the correction south to continue from yesterday but it just never happened.

thur night into fri offers the next and possibly last chance for quite a while looking at the models.

Uppers around -6 on GFS so i fear another altitude only job.

 

[Geordiesnow]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Nah- its gone for us, needed the correction south to continue from yesterday but it just never happened.

thur night into fri offers the next and possibly last chance for quite a while looking at the models.

Uppers around -6 on GFS so i fear another altitude only job.

 

Got to admit if only the centre of the low was over Manchester, then tonight would of been a totally different story but it just how it goes unfortunately. Was always going to be transient snow for us in anycase as the winds are forecast to be westerly by the morning time in anycase.

Whilst I'm not expecting snow in the coming days here, I do shall hope the convection will be better than it has been but I would not be surprised if all we get is those localised shower cells that the Irish Sea tends to produce which makes it all very hit and miss. One thing that might favour better convection could be because the flow won't be as strong, we should not see showers from Ireland heading as far eastwards therefore not interfearing with our showers and the showers should have more time to grow and develop but whether other factors such as lapse rates are as high as Tuesday I have no idea. I just be happy too see proper hail showers which produces a covering on the ground!

[Summer Sun]

Heavy snow in Darlo

[Geordiesnow]

Wow, the low has got down to around 981MB, a touch deeper than the models perhaps first indicated but the contrast between the cold air and the mild air is really quite impressive.

 

[Geordiesnow]

Quite heavy rain now but no chance of it turning to snow as the winds have turned westerly now and you can feel the difference in the air temps, typical Lancashire, wet and breezy!

[SparkleS]

Jesus third night running with those very powerful gusts! Scary

[Penrith Snow]

Best snow event since 16th January 2016, 4cms lying and its coming down thick and fast.

Not a breath of wind so its Narnia out there, for once Cumbria was in the sweet spot.

Andy

[Vix]

Stockport, chucking it down all day, really windy, still the same. Snowed last night, but not very thick, then it melted. Disappointed as I'm a snow lover ☺.

[Geordiesnow]

21 minutes ago, Penrith Snow said:

Best snow event since 16th January 2016, 4cms lying and its coming down thick and fast.

Not a breath of wind so its Narnia out there, for once Cumbria was in the sweet spot.

Andy

Just shows how close I was from having the heavy rain I did have to have something a lot more wintry, if only the low was 30 or so miles further South, oh well!

Wind in the last 10 mins has really picked up as this low is now clearing.

[Cheshire Freeze]

The sustained nature of the winds here is impressive.

[dodge]

Woken up by vicious winds... I'll try and attempt to return to slumber

[Miamay]

The wind is wild with big strong gusts 

[pip22]

Rain turning little sleety now

[Weather-history]

5 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

Hopefully the miserable euro4 will upgrade ..( hate that bloody model).

It doesn't look good the latest Euro 4. Looks a mostly dry night, tonight  if you believe it.  

[Iceaxecrampon]

Cumbria getting pasted. That LP would've been interesting if further South.