North West England Regional Discussion Thread 15/1/2018 onwards

[Chris.R]

Any chance of snow to low levels will be between about 20:30 and 23:00. 

[Cheshire Freeze]

2 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Any chance of snow to low levels will be between about 20:30 and 23:00. 

Uppers are projected to be about +1/+2 for S NW England. There is no chance of snow to low levels.

[Chris.R]

5 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Uppers are projected to be about +1/+2 for S NW England. There is no chance of snow to low levels.

 Not until after 23:00. 

Edited January 17, 2018 by Chris.R

[pip22]

1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

 Not until midnight. 

and before dawn too as it clears away.

[northwestsnow]

BBC app thinks it will turn back to snow moorside by 5am

[frosty ground]

Rain sleet now snow

[Chris.R]

 Light rain, temp already falling, currently 4.7°C. Nothing heavy yet. 

[Thunder Snow]

Well i guess ill find out soon if i will see rain sleet or snow.

[Darren Bown]

1c drop in last hour or so. The -5c isotherm doesn’t seem to be coming back over us until 6am?

[Backtrack]

Flying into Liverpool airport at 21:25, so I’ll try spot some snow high up lol

[SP1986]

Temperature falling but dewpoint rising

[Winter Hill]

Rain here but I'm not expecting anything else.

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, Darren Bown said:

1c drop in last hour or so. The -5c isotherm doesn’t seem to be coming back over us until 6am?

 That doesn’t matter so much this evening but what happens tomorrow morning will be rain apart from high ground is wind is on-shore again. 

[Cheshire Freeze]

BBC weather send temps up to 8C in the early hours here

[northwestsnow]

Just now, CreweCold said:

BBC weather send temps up to 8C in the early hours here

get the sun screen out 

[Chris.R]

Wind not nearly as strong on Thursday night so maybe a better chance of snow showers to lower levels then. We get -7 850s over usfor longer than tuesday as well.  Suggestion of another short-wave Friday on some models? 

[Winter Hill]

Joking aside, yes the region is cursed but I would love a scientific view of why our winters are going downhill. Yes back in the 70's and 80's we had events go pear shaped.

For me the last 30 years have really seen the change for the worse.. 2010 was a one off event that won't be seen again for some time.

[Darren Bown]

8 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 That doesn’t matter so much this evening but what happens tomorrow morning will be rain apart from high ground is wind is on-shore again. 

Why is that Chris? I’m curious

[Cheshire Freeze]

1 minute ago, Winter Hill said:

Joking aside, yes the region is cursed but I would love a scientific view of why our winters are going downhill. Yes back in the 70's and 80's we had events go pear shaped.

For me the last 30 years have really seen the change for the worse.. 2010 was a one off event that won't be seen again for some time.

We'll have a severe winter in the next 10 years...I'm convinced of it.

[Chris.R]

Just now, Darren Bown said:

Why is that Chris? I’m curious

Which bit?

[Darren Bown]

Just now, Chris.R said:

Which bit?

Sorry, as to why the 850’s won’t matter as much?

[Backtrack]

8 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

BBC weather send temps up to 8C in the early hours here

Sends it up to 9C here hahaha

[Cheshire Freeze]

1 minute ago, Backtrack said:

Sends it up to 9C here hahaha

Bad times.

Man I'm feeling depressed today looking at the output. Think I've hit the point in winter where I wish spring would just hurry up.

The teleconnections have all taken a turn for the worse over the past few days. What was looking like a promising late Jan has just imploded into a situation that looks ripe for a +NAO.

Edited January 17, 2018 by CreweCold

[Darren Bown]

1 minute ago, Backtrack said:

Sends it up to 9C here hahaha

Haha same! 3c-8/9c then down to 3c again all in 8 hours!

[Weather-history]

3 minutes ago, Winter Hill said:

Joking aside, yes the region is cursed but I would love a scientific view of why our winters are going downhill. Yes back in the 70's and 80's we had events go pear shaped.

For me the last 30 years have really seen the change for the worse.. 2010 was a one off event that won't be seen again for some time.

Which part of 2010, lol? The January 2010 snowfall or the December snowfall and freeze?