Jump to content
Paul

Please only post model discussion in here & please keep it friendly!

For more general chat and banter, moans and ramps, please head to the banter thread.
For general weather chat, please go to the regional threads.

Notice a problem with a post? Please hit the report button.
Thank you!

View the latest forecast models in the Netweather DataCentre

Message added by Paul

Recommended Posts

Gfs shows snow next week in the West! 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, snowice said:

Gfs shows snow next week in the West! 

Gfs looks pretty damn good for the north and west from 132 hours onwards!!!

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

very nice gfs if you like from next week onwards 

north west look in prime position 

interesting times 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, shaky said:

Gfs looks pretty damn good for the north and west from 132 hours onwards!!!

Some relief that the 6z gfs doesn't follow the ECM:)

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A more NW-SE trajectory but the PV chunk is weaker and dying away quickly (partly as a result of greater heights into Greenland), sure to have an effect down the line.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nice looking charts. Heights over Greenland continuing a theme from yesterdays GFS 12z, a long draw of cold air from Canada to the Med! 

gfsnh-0-198.png

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, karyo said:

Some relief that the 6z gfs doesn't follow the ECM:)

Thank god mate!!!any improvements on the 06z icon if you know🤔

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, shaky said:

Thank god mate!!!any improvements on the 06z icon if you know🤔

The 6z ICON looks similar to the previous run unfortunately. It only goes up to 120 hours but at to that point no change to 0z

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Seasonality said:

Nice looking charts. Heights over Greenland continuing a theme from yesterdays GFS 12z, a long draw of cold air from Canada to the Med! 

gfsnh-0-198.png

Wow  Seasonality...

With reports of 2 -7M of snow in the French Alps in the last 2 days (and still falling), we may have to send a search party for the alps if this verifies.:D 

MIA

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Comparing the 00z to the 06z. Atlantic ridging into Greenland and reinvigoration of Scandi heights. 

gfsnh-0-222.png

gfsnh-0-216.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Quite a bit of ❄❄❄❄ snow spreading in from the NW from early next week on the Gfs 6z, impressive cold zonality.:):cold-emoji:

Edited by Frosty.
  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dew points cold enough for many for snow, parts of the west see snow showers from 132hr right through to what seems for ever lovely.

Screenshot_20180110-102339.png

Screenshot_20180110-102607.png

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

6z gfs from 216 could be a belter!!! Tying in with GP ete musings going forward ie heights building nne

Edited by swfc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, karyo said:

The 6z ICON looks similar to the previous run unfortunately. It only goes up to 120 hours but at to that point no change to 0z

For Compressions Icon Vs GFS (6z)

icon-0-120.png?10-06gfs-0-120.png?6

GFS is digging deeper into Europe.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Anyone who viewed the 18Z last night shouldn't be surprised by the 06Z so far. This is why I am surprised at some of the posts this morning especially considering the GEM output also.

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Seasonality said:

Now going for an Iceland/Scandi link up of heights.

gfsnh-0-228.png

And by 252 hours we're back to where we are now. 😂  Thankfully anything past 120/144 is pure conjecture.

Edited by Broadmayne blizzard
  • Haha 2
  • Confused 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Atlantic looks too strong in FI this time but, maybe, if the heights left there can build the way they have done this week, could that next attempt at a block lead to a battleground event? Needs all the elements to fall into place but you never know......

EDIT: Not backing down on the strat warming either, bringing it forwards as time passes. 324h now.

gfsnh-10-324_hsa5.png

 

Edited by ukpaul
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Broadmayne blizzard said:

And by 252 hours we're back to where we are now. 😂

Not really, much colder over both the mainland and the UK and a rather different picture synoptically. All academic at this range of course.

 

gfseu-0-252.png

gfseu-0-6.png

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Seasonality said:

Not really, much colder over both the mainland and the UK and a rather different picture synoptically. All academic at this range of course.

 

gfseu-0-252.png

gfseu-0-6.png

I take your point Seasonality.I. was refering to the synoptic stalemate with the high too far east and low stalling out west as you say though

 Totally academic at that range.

Edited by Broadmayne blizzard

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is one shred of hope, in the gfs06z, I suppose: it's very unlikely to verify!:yahoo:

h850t850eu.png

  • Haha 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The GFS seems determined to keep us interested . The chopping and changing  with how the trough disrupts at least gives hope that the matter isn’t settled.

The ECM though looks less than interested and given the timeframes that would have to perform  a back track.

It seems though since its upgrade to veer from either over amplified or has at times thrown out some much more progressive outputs.

 

 

 

Edited by nick sussex

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wales & Ireland could well be a winter wonderland next week

gfs-2-180.png?6

 

  • Like 6
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

There is one shred of hope, in the gfs06z, I suppose: it's very unlikely to verify!:yahoo:

h850t850eu.png

Especially at day 16 🤣 

 

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Similar Content

    • By Paul
      Lots happening weather wise at the moment, and lots of uncertainty as to what may happen next. 
      One thing that is also uncertain sometimes, is what is model discussion, and what isn't. So we've made a handy guide to the model threads, and what posts should go where. Please take a look at it here, and try to use the most relevant thread for your post:
      As ever, please hit the report button if you spot a post which you believe may be off topic or breaking the forum guidelines in any other way. The team will deal with reports as quickly as they can.
      Want to view the model outputs?
      You can get all the major ones here on Netweather:
      GFS
      GEFS Ensembles
      ECMWF
      ECMWF EPS
      NetWx-SR
      NetWx-MR
      Met-Office
      Fax
      GEM
      GFS Hourly
      Snow forecast and precip type
      Model Comparison
      Global Jet Stream
      Stratosphere
    • By Paul
      This is a new thread option we're trialling, which hopefully will become a regular. Please use it to discuss the model output at short range (between 0 and 72 hours). For longer term discussion, please head over to the main model thread:
      Want to have a bit of banter or a ramp and moan only loosely related to the models?
      The banter thread is for you:
      https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/86721-model-moans-ramps-and-banter/
      Want to talk about the weather in your part of the country?
      The regional threads are the place for you:
      https://www.netweather.tv/forum/forum/142-regional-discussions/
      Want to view the model outputs?
      You can get all the major ones here on Netweather:
      GFS
      GEFS Ensembles
      ECMWF
      ECMWF EPS
      NetWx-SR
      NetWx-MR
      Met-Office
      Fax
      GEM
      GFS Hourly
      Snow forecast and precip type
      Model Comparison
      Global Jet Stream
      Stratosphere
      Happy New Year!
  • Recently Browsing   6 members

×