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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
    30 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:

    Disagree. 

    Living in the SE of England I would never wish a way a snow chance. Yes even one that produces 1 hour of snow before rain. 

    At least it’s snow - give me an hour of snow preceding rain then just rain anyday! 

    You live in the UK  - cherish every flake that falls!! 

    Snow chance (slim chance) looks north of M25 tomorrow anyway. So you’ll get your wish for an all rain event by the looks of it anyway. 

    I remember it snowed one day last winter, for much of an afternoon. Big wet flakes fell quite heavily but it was just that tiny bit too warm to settle. A complete waste of time and heating.

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    If everyone on here could be friendly and (ideally) find a sense of humour, that would just be hunky dorey.

    So just to clarify CK1981 because I have not seen you say this 2,350 times in the last 136 pages of this thread you think there will be something interesting around Mid Month ??? Dont want to go to be

    Have nade my first mini snow man. First in 5 years.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
    3 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

    I remember it snowed one day last winter, for much of an afternoon. Big wet flakes fell quite heavily but it was just that tiny bit too warm to settle. A complete waste of time and heating.

    You’ll need your heating on tomorrow for cold rain as well. 

    Back from Canada yesterday, Dog walk this morning = Waterlogged fields, saturated ground and more rain... welcome home! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Heat, Cold, Sun
  • Location: Ampthill, Bedfordshire
    23 minutes ago, abruzzi spur said:

    North of M25?  It's a circle (roughly).  Which bit are you on about?

    I’m on about the north side of your rough circle 

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    Posted
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Northiam, East Sussex, 70m asl

    After today's drab drizzle affair,I cannot wait for tomorrow's drab

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    Posted
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Staines, UK or Prague, Czech Republic
    24 minutes ago, Ben Lewis said:

    You’ll need your heating on tomorrow for cold rain as well. 

    Back from Canada yesterday, Dog walk this morning = Waterlogged fields, saturated ground and more rain... welcome home! 

    Yes, but if it was 13C and raining I’d switch the heating off and save a few quid. I don’t like all the mud either, we could do with a decent cold spell to dry everything out a bit and kill off some of these germs going around. Unfortunately, our climate isn’t great for that very often. At least you’ve had your snow and cold fix this year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    deleted

    Edited by snowray
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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
    1 minute ago, snowray said:

    Sliight upgrade on the Euro4 model, snow slightly further south and less marginal. Fingers crossed that we all see a few flakes, better get up early though on Sunday morning because it could be a blink an you will miss it type of affair.:laugh:

    Oh, remember its only the leading edge that will be of sleet or snow for us down here, North of London will do best....again!

     

    18012112_2018.gif

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    This is a big upgrade too, shows settled snow into EA around Essex, there was nothing this far south on earlier runs.:)

    18012115_2018.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    38 minutes ago, snowray said:

    This is a big upgrade too, shows settled snow into EA around Essex, there was nothing this far south on earlier runs.:)

    18012115_2018.gif

    GFS 18Z is also an upgrade:

    AB40C644-ACE0-45C0-8E78-004425711495.thumb.jpeg.bc3e179688a04b8e1c0002eb783541b4.jpeg430B1A93-A2A9-439C-8C8F-82BC0C3908E3.thumb.jpeg.e8fc70a87ffda214d164ac3f6a369b83.jpeg

    The ICON is even more interesting it really slows down the progression of front staying as snow for longer. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
    13 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    GFS 18Z is also an upgrade:

    AB40C644-ACE0-45C0-8E78-004425711495.thumb.jpeg.bc3e179688a04b8e1c0002eb783541b4.jpeg430B1A93-A2A9-439C-8C8F-82BC0C3908E3.thumb.jpeg.e8fc70a87ffda214d164ac3f6a369b83.jpeg

    The ICON is even more interesting it really slows down the progression of front staying as snow for longer. 

    We really do want to see the front slow right down as it hits the colder air in the east, but at the end of the day it would be nice just to see a few falling flakes, after all theres nothing else on the horizon in the foreseeable for us southeasterners.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    Where I see the dividing line east of that red line and I think you’ll at least see some falling snow for a time. I notice Euro4 has some accumulation for eastern counties in this region, some folk may be in for a surprise.

    F109D205-FCBB-4AFE-97B2-90A06E46BFC3.thumb.jpeg.43337357ce57c96ce785379361274af9.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    That looks like a very generous line you have drawn there Daniel, fingers crossed that you are right though.:)

    Back in the 90's there was a similar event to this, started off as sleet, then heavy snow for a good hour and on higher ground around here, about 60/70m ended up with a couple of inches of settled snow, turned to rain in the end but was fun while it lasted.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    Automated forecast looks a tad wintry not especially far from here. Knife edge this is.

    1ED82612-BFB8-4BD5-A14F-F675A8E066E0.thumb.png.e6f0352c08631277fa70100f85651b68.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    St Albans though has always looked like one of the favoured locations for a bit of wintriness, in fact North London northwards will almost certainly see some of the white stuff for a while. Its us lot south of the river that might not be so lucky. Seems that the front is moving in ahead of schedule, this is a good thing in a way, as long as it slows down over us that is.

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    Posted
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Erith. SE London/kent 40m asl

    Yup temps are lower, thats good news, 1c at Heathrow, 2c central London, few 0c around too like at Northolt. 

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL

    Dewpoint has dropped by 0.4ºc to 0.1ºc, with temps dropping by 0.5 to 1.3ºc in the past hour at my nearest weather station in Hyde Park, which bodes well for those outside the warmth of London and even me. Let's hope the temps keep dropping before any ppn arrives.

    Edited by Sno' problem
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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    16 minutes ago, snowray said:

    Yup temps are lower, thats good news, 1c at Heathrow, 2c central London, few 0c around too like at Northolt. 

    I’m actually quite shocked with the temp it’s dropped a fair bit 0.8C and this is not the best location. :shok:

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
    2 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    I’m actually quite shocked with the temp it’s dropped a fair bit 0.8C and this is not the best location. :shok:

    Tell me about it... It can be literally a matter of a mile between sleet/rain for me and snow just a wee bit away from here.

    Dewpoint has suddenly gone up to 0.4ºc in the past 30 mins and the temp up a touch as well. Doesn't bode well.

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    Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
    2 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

    I’m actually quite shocked with the temp it’s dropped a fair bit 0.8C and this is not the best location. :shok:

    Tell me about it... It can be literally a matter of a mile between sleet/rain for me and snow just a wee bit away from here.

    Dewpoint has suddenly gone up to 0.4ºc in the past 30 mins and the temp up a touch as well. Doesn't bode well.

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
    3 minutes ago, Sno' problem said:

    Tell me about it... It can be literally a matter of a mile between sleet/rain for me and snow just a wee bit away from here.

    Dewpoint has suddenly gone up to 0.4ºc in the past 30 mins and the temp up a touch as well. Doesn't bode well.

    I know what you mean I’ve known there to be snow falling to my north, east and south. Temp now 0.9C gone up +0.1 as it stands what would be falling would be snow. And back down to 0.8C lol..

    Edited by Daniel*
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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    1c at Heathrow with a DP of 0 would suggest snow... 

    The only saving grace I think I can see here is the PPN is about 4 hours early than any model I have seen. 

    Now it could mean that the models have been to bullish about the fight the cold air will put up. 

    Or it means that more of us will see snow as the temp stays low enough for longer

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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Very borderline

    Edited by Surrey
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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    Temperatures]Temperatures

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT

    Temp 0.5c holding steady...

    Expecting some snow here all be it temp.

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