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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards


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18 minutes ago, john mac said:

Yeah my folks are a bit inland from you near lavenham. Bit worried for them!

Latest gusts suggest it's deepening rapidly which has been the concern regarding Arpege and ICON outputs. Maybe 65mph gusts a bit reserved? 75+ would be damaging

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If everyone on here could be friendly and (ideally) find a sense of humour, that would just be hunky dorey.

So just to clarify CK1981 because I have not seen you say this 2,350 times in the last 136 pages of this thread you think there will be something interesting around Mid Month ??? Dont want to go to be

Have nade my first mini snow man. First in 5 years.

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3 minutes ago, Balanced View said:

Latest gusts suggest it's deepening rapidly which has been the concern regarding Arpege and ICON outputs. Maybe 65mph gusts a bit reserved? 75+ would be damaging

Yeah 75mph was mentioned by the Beeb in the forecast after the news 

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6 minutes ago, DonnaThw said:

@snowrye would be Intresting to compare your location to mine to see if there is much difference in wind speeds (not sure where you are)

Im in northiam,moved here about 3 months ago,lived in rye all my life before that,long story,but I ended up in northiam,im roughly 70m asl,basically the highest point in northiam

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MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

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1 minute ago, yamkin said:

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

Seems to have deepened somewhat,cyclogenesis 

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Highest just 52 now, however I think I just heard a stronger one. Sound like something huge crashing into the house, the gust sounded like that, it didn't actually push something big.

 

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20 minutes ago, yamkin said:

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

Capel Curig is at an altitude of 650ft, 93mph there, isn't unusual when winds are forecast to be gusting to 70mph.

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2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Capel Curig is at an altitude of 650ft, 93mph there, isn't unusual when winds are forecast to be gusting to 70mph.

More exposed I agree but this is developing as it crosses so one to watch. It's not that high to add, only couple hundred meters. Not a thousand meters...... 

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1 minute ago, Balanced View said:

More exposed I agree but this is developing as it crosses so one to watch. It's not that high to add, only couple hundred meters. Not a thousand meters...... 

But, look at observations from other stations that are around it - they are in 50's, 60's and 70's - exactly what the MetO put in their warning.

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9 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

But, look at observations from other stations that are around it - they are in 50's, 60's and 70's - exactly what the MetO put in their warning.

Still needs to be watched..... I've experienced plenty wind storms over the years to know that when the pressure is still dropping with a very strong jet-stream above then not to be complaisant.   

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1 minute ago, Balanced View said:

Yeah your right, I know nothing. 

Don't be so hard on yourself!

The same thing happens with the likes of Portland or the Needles.. Impressive gust speeds, but they're so exposed and slightly away from normal civilisation that it tends to look rather bad. 70mph+ is still noteworthy, though. However, the yellow warning seems more than adequate at the moment. :)

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24 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

 

Can't get rid of quote, which I must have pressed by accident. 

I'm goner try and get some sleep now, school run in the morning, night all.

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I don't think it's the height of Capel Curig, it's funnel effect in a valley from certain directions (this one?).

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