Jump to content
Captain Shortwave

SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Surrey said:

As it happens the Arome and Arpege have also up scaled the wind over our region. 

They normally start minimising wind closer to the storm. Doesn't sound good.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
30 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Its hard to pin point because even high res models struggle with these micro features..I think  @Paul posted some charts in summer of the in house high res model when we had storms which was the closest thing I saw of picking features like this out.. 

 

Go back to the trusty Arome (or not so) and it shows this for 8pm tonight.. That looks like some kind of squall but you role it on and it gets a bit messy with it trying to pick up the very nasty showers following on behind the first front..

What I can make out is there is potential for something quite lively, certainly a wake you up thing, the bin does a runner little food box never to be seen again. But further north taking the higher gusts for a sustained period of time. 

preciprate_014.jpg?2018010206preciprate_015.jpg?2018010206preciprate_016.jpg?2018010206preciprate_017.jpg?2018010206preciprate_018.jpg?2018010206

EURO 4 out till the morning:

Precipitation EURO4 Tu 02.01.2018 18 GMT Precipitation EURO4 Tu 02.01.2018 21 GMT Precipitation EURO4 We 03.01.2018 00 GMTPrecipitation EURO4 We 03.01.2018 03 GMTPrecipitation EURO4 We 03.01.2018 06 GMT

 

Midnight fax charts from met:

Surface pressure chart - Forecast T+24 - Issued at: 00:00 on Tue 2 Jan 2018

That is quite a lot of various fronts and troughs to swing through so would imagine that showers form in some kind of "lines" until they eventually push through over night then back to standard blustery showers tomorrow 

Breeze just started picking up here.. 

Sorry if im posting to much, storms have always been one of my favorite weather type. When we got the decs out for Christmas mum found a picture I painted when I was a kid about 3 or 4 and its of a thunderstorm with my name and age.. 

Looks like it's trying to model lewp. If that is what happens, it's a very good spot by a model.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Looks like it's trying to model lewp. If that is what happens, it's a very good spot by a model.

It’s certainly going to be a lively night out there. Could be a few cats wrapped around lampposts in the morning 😮😮

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

The father in law has got inflatable snowmen in his front garde, this time tomorrow they could be in Calais 👍

Edited by Weather toad
  • Like 3
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

It will certainly become pretty wild in our neck of the woods later this evening, mainly due to the convective gusts as detailed by @Surrey today. Heathrow TAF now going for gusts to 48 knots (55 mph) which is impressive for this area!

Edited by CK1981
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

It will certainly become pretty wild in our neck of the woods later this evening, mainly due to the convective gusts as detailed by @Surrey today. Heathrow TAF now going for gusts to 48 knots (55 mph) which is impressive for this area!

Add in the enhanced risk and plus 60mph won't be out of the question 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So I hear it might get a bit breezy tonight!

Not sure there's anything I can really do in regards tying stuff down so will just have to hope the wheelie bin doesn't go walkies.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BBC have just increased the storm warning with risk to life.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Add in the enhanced risk and plus 60mph won't be out of the question 

Totally agree! I wouldn’t be surprised to see gusts around 70mph if any squall lines develop. I’m going for Farnborough and Heathrow recording the highest inland gusts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, CK1981 said:

Totally agree! I wouldn’t be surprised to see gusts around 70mph if any squall lines develop. I’m going for Farnborough and Heathrow recording the highest inland gusts.

Usually in these situations Heathrow does take top inland gust, if you get the direction of the wind right. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, JennyJane1 said:

BBC have just increased the storm warning with risk to life.

Certainly along the coast lines 

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Surrey said:

Certainly along the coast lines 

They were also saying flying debris, trees down, sounds pretty fierce inland as well, so glad i don't have to go anywhere tomorrow and can put things off till thursday.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Yes just watched the latest video forecast going for 90mph in the Amber zone that is quite something... mention of 60mph even a touch higher inland and 70mph plus on the south coast.. 

Edited by Surrey
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

I'm just trying to work out if the fairly long but not completely necessary journey I had planned for tomorrow (I can do it Thursday instead) is worth postponing. No point driving unless I have to in winds like that. 

Edited by moogyboobles
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Wind storms would be great if they didn't make power cables break making the power go , and the vanilla cream in the fridge go off.  Hopefully bubs garden will be ok. 

The only plus side is having spent most of my life living near the sea, or for a while actually by the sea itself, that the sound of wind helps me to sleep, but since we had the windows done it will having to be blowing a hooley now to hear it.

Apart from here no other weather forecast is saying anything about any snowy stuff over the weekend, so i'm going to weather this storm before I start polishing my snow boots.:D

Edited by Dami
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Dami said:

Apart from here no other weather forecast is saying anything about any snowy stuff over the weekend, so i'm going to weather this storm before I start polishing my snow boots.:D

Model thread is talking about snow at day 5 but not much about storm tonight.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, Dami said:

Wind storms would be great if they didn't make power cables break making the power go , and the vanilla cream in the fridge go off.  Hopefully bubs garden will be ok. 

The only plus side is having spent most of my life living near the sea, or for a while actually by the sea itself, that the sound of wind helps me to sleep, but since we had the windows done it will having to be blowing a hooley now to hear it.

Apart from here no other weather forecast is saying anything about any snowy stuff over the weekend, so i'm going to weather this storm before I start polishing my snow boots.:D

If the ECM comes of we’ll be calling the Army in, forget the snow boots 🙈🙈

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Weather toad said:

If the ECM comes of we’ll be calling the Army in, forget the snow boots 🙈🙈

tenor.gif?itemid=7443414

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Dami said:

tenor.gif?itemid=7443414

That's one of my favourite gifs!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Lauren said:

That's one of my favourite gifs!

love Miss J <3

tumblr_lzeugniRJ11qzl99n.gif

Edited by Dami

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Daniel*

I noted your recent comment on the other side with interest, did you infer that if the ECM came off, there would be a chance of snow for the SE/E.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
54 minutes ago, Lauren said:

So I hear it might get a bit breezy tonight!

Not sure there's anything I can really do in regards tying stuff down so will just have to hope the wheelie bin doesn't go walkies.

I'm used to mine falling over. Will be the 10th time this year I think. At least it's out back.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
44 minutes ago, moogyboobles said:

I'm just trying to work out if the fairly long but not completely necessary journey I had planned for tomorrow (I can do it Thursday instead) is worth postponing. No point driving unless I have to in winds like that. 

I think it might be an idea to do it Thursday. Just in case. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
41 minutes ago, JennyJane1 said:

Model thread is talking about snow at day 5 but not much about storm tonight.

Always the way. Would-be good to get some of their incite into tonight, tomorrow.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×