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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
2 hours ago, snowrye said:

Snowing again northiam

It’s missed us here

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
31 minutes ago, Chris101 said:

Just hanging on with it last occluding breath.

 

front.png

Very held up then,. By at least 12 hours or so. Anyone convinced Thursdays front will push through as forecast, considering its warm and the air to the east is still cold and doesn't seem to want to budge. I'm not sure it's modelled right yet, I expect it to be slow and weaken. However I still think the west will win because of current jet strength.

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Posted
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.

What happened to the cold? I’ve had colder nights in late April than I have had the last 2 nights. Didn’t even have to scrape the car.

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Posted
  • Location: Halesworth, Suffolk
  • Location: Halesworth, Suffolk

So the few cms of snow that fell has all gone now. Absolutely bucketing it down now will hail thrown in for good measure :cold: feels colder today than yesterday.

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy and thundery.
  • Location: Bedfordshire 33m above mean sea level

clear and sunny here. \o/

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
14 minutes ago, March said:

What happened to the cold? I’ve had colder nights in late April than I have had the last 2 nights. Didn’t even have to scrape the car.

It was a very cold night dew points were or are usually low suggestive of very little moisture in lower atmosphere. Without this you’re not going to get frost even if it’s cold enough.

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Posted
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
  • Location: Ouse Valley, N. Bedfordshire. 48m asl.
1 minute ago, Daniel* said:

It was a very cold night dew points were or are usually low suggestive of very little moisture in lower atmosphere. Without this you’re not going to get frost even if it’s cold enough.

Thank you! Although only just dipped below 0C here. 

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Posted
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day
  • Location: Crayford/Baker Street By Day

yes I woke at 3 looked out and cloudy thought hmm a chance checked dew points -3 thought ahhh not good. couldn't find the wet bulb temp. I am disappointed but realistic. the ssw seems to be splinters up ya bum for fence sitting at moment. I did think back to 85 and ragin 87 and 91. Super computers blah fax charts and the basic bbc chart with Bill Giles on it    

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Sun is out here now, however looking at radar may have a shower come through shortly.

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
6 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Sun is out here now, however looking at radar may have a shower come through shortly.

1:15 

9C911124-20A4-4B71-8317-FFE1BD67DF80.thumb.png.ed275961ef7c4f1503105b941bb24e40.png

1:35

79E8234C-152A-4255-837C-3178BABA6EA2.thumb.png.8e1197b6b3aa429b3bf7b412416e4d1d.png

Showers pepped up too..

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Yep, thought at first the one north of me were coming here, but I think everything is still moving nnw, how long is the front going to hang on to this far Eastern UK. Pressure has risen a lot since last night to now 1019.38 and still rising. That is what killed the ppm, started rising slowly before midnight. So really to have had any ppm what so ever this front was actually pretty strong, although it didn't seem it.

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Just now, Weather_Novice said:

Anyone know if there is anything exciting coming up after the warmer phase as of tomorrow?

 

There’s a low risk of some back edge snowfall Friday morning. 

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Now I'm wonder if temp and DP will keep dropping before the blog to my north gets here, didn't expect to still be radar watching lol. Temp 2.5 DP 0.5,, both were higher earlier.

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Anyone under the northeasterly streamer, is it rain or snow

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
46 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

There’s a low risk of some back edge snowfall Friday morning. 

That won't settle to much on the ground tho will it?

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
4 minutes ago, Daniel said:

That won't settle to much on the ground tho will it?

I’d say it’s unlikely to even have some snow currently and well GFS shows heavier precip clearing away while lighter stuff turns to snow, if it is some how slowed down then it could. 

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Posted
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
  • Location: Totton Hampshire
Just now, Daniel* said:

I’d say it’s unlikely to even have some snow currently and well GFS shows heavier precip clearing away while lighter stuff turns to snow, if it is some how slowed down then it could. 

What about this precipation comming across now was that even modeld?

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
14 minutes ago, Daniel said:

What about this precipation comming across now was that even modeld?

I guess you’re talking about that mess to NW, ARPEGE is definitely slow on this it breaks it up too when it gets to the point where radar is, so interesting. 

6FF44BC1-23F8-47C6-96B6-9441F7E77924.thumb.png.a13c0a238fc6f738b465a93b611a526d.png2250C70A-0E4C-45B2-8C0F-3D48242A2C20.thumb.png.8d37f857ab1aad744dd9c57dd66c0f81.png

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Posted
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny Days and a little Snow.
  • Location: Boxley - Kent 133.9 m ASL
2 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

I guess you’re talking about that mess to NW, ARPEGE is definitely slow on this it breaks it up too when it gets to the point where radar is, so interesting. 

6FF44BC1-23F8-47C6-96B6-9441F7E77924.thumb.png.a13c0a238fc6f738b465a93b611a526d.png2250C70A-0E4C-45B2-8C0F-3D48242A2C20.thumb.png.8d37f857ab1aad744dd9c57dd66c0f81.png

That in the North Sea that's clippping East Kent is just cold rain, not done bad that ARPEGE with this one has it.

Edited by Kent Blizzard
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