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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
18 minutes ago, john mac said:

Yeah my folks are a bit inland from you near lavenham. Bit worried for them!

Latest gusts suggest it's deepening rapidly which has been the concern regarding Arpege and ICON outputs. Maybe 65mph gusts a bit reserved? 75+ would be damaging

Edited by Balanced View
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Posted
  • Location: Brighton (60m)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Brighton (60m)

Winds picking up here with rain off and on as the system rushes through! 

Edited by Mark Clifford
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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl

Got to admit,it's a lot windier at this time than I thought it would be,may well be some damage by the morning

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Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
3 minutes ago, Balanced View said:

Latest gusts suggest it's deepening rapidly which has been the concern regarding Arpege and ICON outputs. Maybe 65mph gusts a bit reserved? 75+ would be damaging

Yeah 75mph was mentioned by the Beeb in the forecast after the news 

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Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex

@snowrye would be Intresting to compare your location to mine to see if there is much difference in wind speeds (not sure where you are)

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
6 minutes ago, DonnaThw said:

@snowrye would be Intresting to compare your location to mine to see if there is much difference in wind speeds (not sure where you are)

Im in northiam,moved here about 3 months ago,lived in rye all my life before that,long story,but I ended up in northiam,im roughly 70m asl,basically the highest point in northiam

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Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex

@snowrye sorry I do remember us talking about this before :crazy:  I wonder if being inland even ever so slightly will affect it

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Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl

All depends where the low tracks

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
1 minute ago, yamkin said:

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

Seems to have deepened somewhat,cyclogenesis 

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Posted
  • Location: Rye East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: snow (but who doesnt like that)
  • Location: Rye East Sussex

I still don’t know why there is no warning they could reintroduce it surely 

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Just now, snowrye said:

Seems to have deepened somewhat,cyclogenesis 

Cyclogenesis just means the formation of a low.  Until it starts to fill\weaken.

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Posted
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow,thunder,tornados
  • Location: Mill Corner East Sussex, 55m asl

Well folks,im off to bed,passengers to pick up in the morning,night all,hope the wind doesn't keep you awake

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover

Highest just 52 now, however I think I just heard a stronger one. Sound like something huge crashing into the house, the gust sounded like that, it didn't actually push something big.

 

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
20 minutes ago, yamkin said:

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

Capel Curig is at an altitude of 650ft, 93mph there, isn't unusual when winds are forecast to be gusting to 70mph.

Edited by Mapantz
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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
19 minutes ago, yamkin said:

MetO have underestimated the strength of this storm due to 93mph being recorded in Carpel Curig, Wales.....A storm name should have been used too

Completely agree yamkin. 

87mph latest.

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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Capel Curig is at an altitude of 650ft, 93mph there, isn't unusual when winds are forecast to be gusting to 70mph.

More exposed I agree but this is developing as it crosses so one to watch. It's not that high to add, only couple hundred meters. Not a thousand meters...... 

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
1 minute ago, Balanced View said:

More exposed I agree but this is developing as it crosses so one to watch. It's not that high to add, only couple hundred meters. Not a thousand meters...... 

But, look at observations from other stations that are around it - they are in 50's, 60's and 70's - exactly what the MetO put in their warning.

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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
9 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

But, look at observations from other stations that are around it - they are in 50's, 60's and 70's - exactly what the MetO put in their warning.

Still needs to be watched..... I've experienced plenty wind storms over the years to know that when the pressure is still dropping with a very strong jet-stream above then not to be complaisant.   

Edited by Balanced View
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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
1 minute ago, Balanced View said:

Yeah your right, I know nothing. 

Don't be so hard on yourself!

The same thing happens with the likes of Portland or the Needles.. Impressive gust speeds, but they're so exposed and slightly away from normal civilisation that it tends to look rather bad. 70mph+ is still noteworthy, though. However, the yellow warning seems more than adequate at the moment. :)

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Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
24 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

 

Can't get rid of quote, which I must have pressed by accident. 

I'm goner try and get some sleep now, school run in the morning, night all.

Edited by alexisj9
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Posted
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Lowestoft Suffolk UK
Just now, alexisj9 said:

Can't get rid of quote, which I must have pressed by accident. 

I'm Bonner try and get some sleep now, school run in the morning, night all.

Night all

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Posted
  • Location: Llandysul, Wales SA44 SA39 550 ft work 650 ft sleep 7.5 shrivelled sheep. Never mind the borax. Spatulas/spoons from just 7 quid, chopping boards from 18 quid, boxes from 45 quid or so for a OK one, bigger stuff costs more obviously
  • Location: Llandysul, Wales SA44 SA39 550 ft work 650 ft sleep 7.5 shrivelled sheep. Never mind the borax. Spatulas/spoons from just 7 quid, chopping boards from 18 quid, boxes from 45 quid or so for a OK one, bigger stuff costs more obviously

I don't think it's the height of Capel Curig, it's funnel effect in a valley from certain directions (this one?).

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Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

Some very nasty winds out there now. would not be surprised to see trees down and some minor damage come the morning rush hour. 

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