SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 01/01/2018 onwards

[snowfish1]

Utter Crap 

[Laurence Hill]

13 minutes ago, snowfish1 said:

Utter Crap 

Otherwise everything else is alright?

[alexisj9]

Be patient I Don't think this easterly is going to stay like this. It will get colder, a low will under cut, not the whole trough as modelled by the GFS. I'm more confident of this then mobility. Although it could stay benign if it Doesn't let a low under. High will not just bowl over.

[SLEETY]

Hope we see the undercut in this afternoons runs.Think this is our last chance for an Easterly outcome .

if the models don’t show it later then it’s game over

place your bets,you know the outcome anyway,so at least your be a winner

Looking like another crud January for our Region AGAIN.

 

[James Oliver]

BBC saying turning colder again friday. Are we seeing the high over Scandinavia building back in towards the weekend? 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Just to rub salt in the wounds, Morroco and Nigeria have 40cm of snow on the sand dunes. 

I read this theory the other day called RAPID climate change, there is actually a dedicated team now studying it and monitoring it I don't know too much as I only briefly read it but am going to look into it more. For RAPID climate change to be classed as such, the event or events have to take place between 5-10 years. Now I semi agree with the Theory as it does take into account natural cycles etc but it lacks any real support from more known people within climatology. 

As far as I'm concerned though, even in my short 24 years on this planet, we have experienced a massive change in weather over our little island more especially through winter where I think it's more apparent. 

I said it for the past 4 winters, we just get and extended autumn and spring now and winter is rapidly being replaced down here. Now, if winter 2018/2019 follows the past few, then does that raise any eyebrows? Or were the winters say from 1980-2000 the other affect of RAPID climate change I.E, cold?

Why am I writing it in caps? Because that's how they refer to it and if anyone wants to Google it feel free, I would love to have some PMs over this and have a discussion with others who may or may not agree. 

Back to the now, well today was standard crap affair. I would also like to point out that the past 3 winters we have actually landed an easterly. My 21st birthday had an easterly in March time which transpired to exactly the same weather as today a tad windier. The cold is just not there anymore... 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited January 8, 2018 by Surrey

[CK1981]

This weather is utter cr*p! I’m off to Tallin on the 19th for 3 nights, so I may see some proper winter weather. Knowing my luck, they’ll be having an unusual warm spell just as I arrive ??

[SLEETY]

Even if we get Easterly again ,the cold uppers have gone,high is in the wrong orientation to bring cold uppers from the east.Might as well forget this Easterly 

[stainesbloke]

Unpleasant is the best word I can come up with for the weather today here. Gloomy, grey and cold. It was dry, however. Maximum temperature was 5C.  

[bluebell]

A drive to Haslemere and back today for work, and what can I say 50 shades of grey all the way there and back.. the colour of the sky that is!!

Everyone seems in a pretty grim mood. Been watching death in paradise on tv perhaps a move to the carribean not adverse to sun and sand, beats grey cloud and no sand...

[snowfish1]

Still crap what does it take to get a decent winter - oh, move abroad to Egypt or Greece 

[snowray]

14 minutes ago, snowfish1 said:

Still crap what does it take to get a decent winter - oh, move abroad to Egypt or Greece 

Or the Atlas mountains in North Africa!

[Kent Blizzard]

Not good is it if it's Snow your after 

The next Snow will arrive in March is my betting, and that certainly doesn't float my boat, March is about the first warmth, flowers blooming and lighter nights.

[SLEETY]

Yep most probably March or zApril .We CANNOT get decent  synoptics in the winter months,but can easily get them any other time of year WHY? Just trawling through the archives proves this.

Its TOO LATE down here for snow to lie very long in March or April,it normally rapidly melts away by lunchtime.

Still be nice to some some LYING SNOW 

 

[Dami]

I think i've had my snow this winter, 2 falls, just as I get 2 thunderstorms in the summer. 

We don't even seem to get nice heavy showers in April, very few cloud porn days.

Feels like i'm walking in mist out there even with a breeze, dry forecast but ground is wet. 

snooze fest has started. 

[Tn9]

17 hours ago, bluebell said:

drive to Haslemere and back today for work, and what can I say 50 shades of grey all the way there and back..

Blimey I would not worry about the weather with all that going on.. Every day as well.. Cor..its a shame the little area of low pressure out to the south of Ireland doesn't get far to the east...if that feature could have gone a little further it.. I think..  would of changed things.. Sometimes you need odd little things to happen to start changing the bigger picture..but model wise it doesn't get far :-(

[Donna3397]

I like snow but understand that’s it’s a miracle if we get it down here but the one thing that’s starting to really affect me is how dark it is even in the mornings. I’m sitting waiting for my kids and everyone has their lights full beam because it’s so dark already.I don’t know if I can’t remember a winter where it’s been so gloomy for such a long period of time. Where the hell has the sun gone??? Maybe it’s had enough and fancied a holiday 

[Blessed Weather]

This is dire weather. Absolutely nothing going on out there..... yawn!

Misery caused by a thin, annoying layer of cloud.....

 

[alexisj9]

The wind is WSW here now.

Edited January 9, 2018 by alexisj9

[stainesbloke]

4 hours ago, SLEETY said:

Yep most probably March or zApril .We CANNOT get decent  synoptics in the winter months,but can easily get them any other time of year WHY? Just trawling through the archives proves this.

Its TOO LATE down here for snow to lie very long in March or April,it normally rapidly melts away by lunchtime.

Still be nice to some some LYING SNOW 

 

That’s something that occurs quite often in this part of the world. Perfect synoptics at completely the wrong time of year. It’s a shame when it happens, though snow melting away by lunchtime has been a normal feature of most snowfalls here over the last couple of decades. Hopefully, by April we will be in some Spring warmth! I think it’s getting harder to get snow here as artic ice recedes further, it’ll still happen but just less often.

Another grim day here, much like yesterday but with a fine drizzle to add to the joy. Temperature reached 6C which is a touch above yesterday.

[alexisj9]

I like the look of the GFS now, in the short term. Let's see if it can build on the changes next round. I expect the ECM to show similar, as it did have the low moving SE in yesterday's 12z. High seems to be edging west, with time. If it can continue that, we will have a cold easterly soon. The low that goes SE will help.

I'm not a forecaster, so don't take this as gospel, the possibility is still there.

[Laurence Hill]

This Tignes, France, today I think

 

 

[SLEETY]

1 hour ago, Sharpedge said:

This Tignes, France, today I think

 

 

Amazing .yet for most of us in se England not any lying snow for nearly 5 years 

[snowray]

The Sahara desert is doing well this winter too it would seem, reports of 30-40cm in parts of Algeria. I thought people went there for winter sun and warmth?

[lassie23]

bbc  forecast for cool west/ north westerlies next week, with wintry showers only for the west, dog biscuits