Jump to content
Holidays
Local
Radar
Snow?
sh.whyman

Tour 1 2018

Recommended Posts

Hi All

Myself and Richard will be at the Best Western from Saturday 5th May, the other 2 staff members Andre and Jock will be arriving on Sunday. The cars will be Set-Up over the weekend. If any of you are coming in early we tend to eat next door as others have said at Aspen Creek which has some delicious food and happy hour as well which is a short stumble back to the Hotel. Walmart is next door as well.

Currently I have Paul Hunter as arriving on the 6th but staying at a different hotel. Ed and Adam along with John Tayor and Rebecca coming in on the 7th (Monday) . Sam, Sarah and Mihai coming in on the BA Flight which lands around half past 3 on the Tuesday 8th. I still dont know about Danny and Ruby (Couple) or Gregg yet.

The added bonus for people who are arriving on the Monday is if anything is local on the 8th (Tuesday) then we will have a chase and test everything out.

The first night Netweather pay for Hotels (Night of Tues 8th) is currently looking like the Best Western in Dallas which is good as we can all go down Aspen Creek for the Get together meal and talk through the do's and dont's etc

See Y'all next week

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Hi All

Myself and Richard will be at the Best Western from Saturday 5th May, the other 2 staff members Andre and Jock will be arriving on Sunday. The cars will be Set-Up over the weekend. If any of you are coming in early we tend to eat next door as others have said at Aspen Creek which has some delicious food and happy hour as well which is a short stumble back to the Hotel. Walmart is next door as well.

...we can all go down Aspen Creek for the Get together meal and talk through the do's and dont's etc

See Y'all next week

Good luck everyone on all the tours. We cannot wait to watch on the live stream as usual, and this year my son is a college boy rather than on school timetables, so we might just stay up a little later to catch more of the action:) Let the super cells begin.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
50 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Hi All

Myself and Richard will be at the Best Western from Saturday 5th May, the other 2 staff members Andre and Jock will be arriving on Sunday. The cars will be Set-Up over the weekend. If any of you are coming in early we tend to eat next door as others have said at Aspen Creek which has some delicious food and happy hour as well which is a short stumble back to the Hotel. Walmart is next door as well.

Currently I have Paul Hunter as arriving on the 6th but staying at a different hotel. Ed and Adam along with John Tayor and Rebecca coming in on the 7th (Monday) . Sam, Sarah and Mihai coming in on the BA Flight which lands around half past 3 on the Tuesday 8th. I still dont know about Danny and Ruby (Couple) or Gregg yet.

The added bonus for people who are arriving on the Monday is if anything is local on the 8th (Tuesday) then we will have a chase and test everything out.

The first night Netweather pay for Hotels (Night of Tues 8th) is currently looking like the Best Western in Dallas which is good as we can all go down Aspen Creek for the Get together meal and talk through the do's and dont's etc

See Y'all next week

I can’t wait.

Do you have a list of preferred model sites and essential chasing sites? I probably know most of them but may have lost a few - such as those giving out real time dew points Cheers. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Paul Sherman said:

Hi All

Myself and Richard will be at the Best Western from Saturday 5th May, the other 2 staff members Andre and Jock will be arriving on Sunday. The cars will be Set-Up over the weekend. If any of you are coming in early we tend to eat next door as others have said at Aspen Creek which has some delicious food and happy hour as well which is a short stumble back to the Hotel. Walmart is next door as well.

Currently I have Paul Hunter as arriving on the 6th but staying at a different hotel

Hi Paul. I will be at the same hotel: BW Irving next to Walmart 😊. I will be out and about during the Sun and Mon but should be able to meet at some point. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, Paul H said:

Hi Paul. I will be at the same hotel: BW Irving next to Walmart 😊. I will be out and about during the Sun and Mon but should be able to meet at some point. 

Not essential on those days but definately on the Tuesday as you never know we might have to pick up the last 4 from the Airport and head North, its not a defo we will be staying at the BW on the Tuesday night yet but its almost 100% looking at the 500mb pattern for next week. Could be some Northern Plains action though next weekend.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

I can’t wait.

Do you have a list of preferred model sites and essential chasing sites? I probably know most of them but may have lost a few - such as those giving out real time dew points Cheers. 

Just the usual Ed, SPC Meso has all the T/Td's etc and Satelite Pics, Baron will have it real time once thats set up and on the move. Pivotal Weather is a great site also for cross models etc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Not essential on those days but definately on the Tuesday as you never know we might have to pick up the last 4 from the Airport and head North, its not a defo we will be staying at the BW on the Tuesday night yet but its almost 100% looking at the 500mb pattern for next week. Could be some Northern Plains action though next weekend.

Yeah, i aim to be back at the rental place at DFW by 3pm tuesday at latest so should be fine?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You might have to meet us at the hotel instead :D

For the lucky ones who are in early there could even be a bonus chase day on the Tuesday only 75 miles North of the Hotel, so it would be a start and finish at the Best Western. This sounding is for just north of Gainsville (Texas) on Tuesday next week. Thats why it always pays to come in a day early I say.

Sounding below - There are also Marginal Tor soundings for Wednesday and Thursday so could be a decent start to the tour

gfs_2018050206_162_34.0--96_25.thumb.png.cce86bec5c1844f1df6d5f9711f6dfb9.png

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

You might have to meet us at the hotel instead :D

 

Hmm, not sure how I'd get there as I'll be dropping off a hire car at DFW at 3 ish...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Paul H said:

Hmm, not sure how I'd get there as I'll be dropping off a hire car at DFW at 3 ish...

There is a Free shuttle bus from the Best Western to the Airport.

But one of the Cars will stay back and not chase anyway to pick up the guests arriving on the BA Flight which lands at 325pm. Just bare in mind they might not get to the car rentals until 5pm after clearing customs. So the Free Best Western Shuttle bus might be quicker if you are dropping off the hire car at 3pm

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

OK, no probs, thanks Paul - I'll keep an eye on what everyone's doing on the day then.  I guess if you're chasing nearby you might not get out until mid-afternoon anyway, so might be able to get back to the hotel before you leave - we'll see :)

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yh its all circumstantial at the moment. See you next week

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, sh.whyman said:

I'm actually arriving on the Monday, not the Tuesday :)

Excellent

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

You might have to meet us at the hotel instead :D

For the lucky ones who are in early there could even be a bonus chase day on the Tuesday only 75 miles North of the Hotel, so it would be a start and finish at the Best Western. This sounding is for just north of Gainsville (Texas) on Tuesday next week. Thats why it always pays to come in a day early I say.

Sounding below - There are also Marginal Tor soundings for Wednesday and Thursday so could be a decent start to the tour

gfs_2018050206_162_34.0--96_25.thumb.png.cce86bec5c1844f1df6d5f9711f6dfb9.png

Check out the Shear!!! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can I just confirm the best western post code/zip code is 75062- 5913. That's the one we are all staying in 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

On this mornings models could be a 2 way split for Tour 1

Quiet Start

Busy End

Lets see how it plays out, plenty of time for things to crop up at the start, but at least its showing some decent risk days now

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Are we feeling lucky? From the NOAA Storm Prediction Centre...

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0231 AM CDT Thu May 03 2018

   Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Mid-level flow will weaken considerably across much of the
   contiguous US through early next week, owing to a relaxation of the
   large-scale height gradient and departure of the polar jet into
   Canada. Additionally, there will likely be a lack of focused
   large-scale ascent over the Plains into early next week, thereby
   limiting substantial poleward moisture return. In turn, the severe
   weather potential is expected to be low through at least D6/Tuesday.
   Thereafter, gradually increasing boundary-layer moisture east of the
   Rockies may combine with a passing shortwave trough to generate a
   few strong/severe storms over parts of the Plains and Mississippi
   Valley. Accordingly, "Low Predictability" has been introduced for
   D7/Wednesday-D8/Thursday. However, even this severe potential
   appears rather limited.

   ..Picca.. 05/03/2018
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, jtay said:
Are we feeling lucky? From the NOAA Storm Prediction Centre...

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0231 AM CDT Thu May 03 2018

   ..Picca.. 05/03/2018

I am feeling quite excited about the tour, first week brings a lot of promises even if no major outbreak is seen by EU at this moment. On the other hand lots of moist hot gulf air is getting pumped and we will have for sure a couple of quite interesting TS in the plains maybe in all days. I am really counting on a continuous stream of precipitation to improve humidity.

US vegetation is  delayed. In the photos of the outbreak of this week I have seen lots of freshly plowed exposed soil. Now it seems that it will get quite hot and quite humid. Thu-Fri next week might bring some severe TS. I do have a feeling for an larger outbreak in the second week of our tour.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

06z GFS firming up on the background signals from the EC Weeklies along with other factors promoting a significant US Trough coming through from the 14-18th May. This was the active 2nd half of Tour 1 I was talking about. 

Cant wait to get the 3 cars set up over the weekend so they are all ready for everyone on Tour 1

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 03/05/2018 at 07:07, jtay said:

John

Can you add me on facebook. Name on there is Paul Botten and my profile picture is the same as my little icon on here. Can then add you into the Tour 1 chat thread.

Also if Sarah Cox, Gregg Lees, Danny Stephenson or Ruby Wiltshire are reading this, can you also search for me on facebook (if you are on there of course)

We have a Tour 1 Chat thread going which is a life saver if conditions change overnight and we need to leave hotels a few hours earlier than planned for example.

Cheers

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

John

Can you add me on facebook. Name on there is Paul Botten and my profile picture is the same as my little icon on here. Can then add you into the Tour 1 chat thread.

Also if Sarah Cox, Gregg Lees, Danny Stephenson or Ruby Wiltshire are reading this, can you also search for me on facebook (if you are on there of course)

We have a Tour 1 Chat thread going which is a life saver if conditions change overnight and we need to leave hotels a few hours earlier than planned for example.

Cheers

Done... I think.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Getting a bit excited now. I leave early tomorrow. I’m cautiously liking the trend in the models with a surface trough building towards the west of the central plains by the weekend. This should allow enough moisture to be sucked up from the GOM. 

5BD5CECD-8693-4CAA-ACB9-9DB1F593BA50.thumb.png.0356bb28bb92f7b1f1ff43f2adaf70e1.png

interestingly there is a gfs tornado signature for the first three days

78BBF0E1-0852-4928-BFA5-2827235BF9D3.thumb.png.c947e2cf2a49404081bfd6d79d83f69b.png0CA2F2F2-0400-4B03-98B7-711B1C2983C3.thumb.png.53489f2dc43685beb50ce72246f154ee.png

02B706BC-AD3F-4075-BFD9-5F4CD141FAE5.thumb.png.1fa5af7662d4fe2ed5a4c6506bc54dd9.png4EC7FBD6-5A23-4F42-A532-99A15F3673BC.thumb.png.c3b676f9c3547ef3b64512be2aff2927.png

D5FBDDA2-2C77-49F2-8581-E5EA62A5D16C.thumb.png.45ff5f9507b4dc9897384b8a5b908ff0.png7A92CF09-13F3-4F84-9B5E-E023979D851B.thumb.png.572679d519a01ac8e0449246ce2e6541.png

happy with that so far

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Arrived home from Tour 1 on Sunday. We all had an absolute blast.

It's by no means a classic season stateside this year, but Paul B and the team still found us storms every single day.

The Nebraska tornado day, a mammoth chase from Elizabeth, Colorado where we were hit by massive hail and the apocalyptic Plainview, Texas storm
will live long in the memory.

A massive thanks to Paul Botten and the team. Best of luck to those on the remaining tours.

P5100134_sm.thumb.jpg.64cacb7606510dfbf88065e3a0da6fe8.jpgP5140517.thumb.JPG.4bc20d9770edb3805c3b77962b451a31.JPGIMG_20180510_170446956.thumb.jpg.b2143005f82eff310969290062a63c07.jpg

P5150661_smm.thumb.jpg.92b0bed39c90f4df8f6bcdbd190adb19.jpgCapture.thumb.PNG.de3667ae43a92dee74e5aa153be258ac.PNGCapture2.thumb.PNG.ee7a58b954d0be5a0e9f1caed07fac69.PNG

32512066_10160257036890386_7221792735752093696_n_sm.thumb.jpg.f3c4d926ec1220f65fae2e0ddfb4ba85.jpgIMG_20180427_145822768_sm.thumb.jpg.304e26c0b0c88edc00d50c0cd6623ed2.jpg32366536_10160135364795018_3286176106343825408_n.thumb.jpg.e0e977b1648acc830ebfd39e543aff71.jpg

IMG_20180514_184501566.thumb.jpg.47520a60c70a858d2bc4eaa07e294009.jpgIMG_20180516_204738795.thumb.jpg.a4af7ad0a0cddbde575bffe514015948.jpg33243570_10160166171340018_662996509297475584_n.thumb.jpg.252536fcdad8ee3072fe3cb56e28d49d.jpg

P5140487_sm.thumb.jpg.027a4d3c347bd0ed261df8a922361329.jpgP5140573_sm.thumb.jpg.b107022bff6ea4872b9c1c2918021de6.jpgP5100165_sm.thumb.jpg.e448475a4cb72a3e9a4a9cc7aa2d7866.jpg

Group shots credit to Becca Start.

Edited by jtay
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×