Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model output discussion - into 2018

Paul

By Paul
in Forecast Model Discussion

 Share

Recommended Posts

Ice Day Veteran

Ice Day

Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
Posted

I think something is going to give at 192. 

ECH0-168.GIF?07-0

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

yes, i was commenting on the EC det- i feel the block needs to be further west- 

 

NWS mate I think that ship has sailed, we're going to have to work with what we have which is potential for trough disruption and sliders.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, Singularity said:

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Energy trying to dig south, come on...

ECH1-168.GIF.thumb.png.64cb6e96665d0640cd0ecce87dba0a7e.png

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
mountain shadow Maestro

mountain shadow

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, SN0WM4N said:

Trough beginning to disrupt against the block...

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0

Pressure falling over Southern France. Is that a low forming over Northern Italy?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
Posted
Just now, mountain shadow said:

Pressure falling over Southern France. Is that a low forming over Northern Italy?

ECI1-168.GIF?07-0 Looks it.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

Agreed...I can't believe I'm saying this....WEST IS BEST :D

ECM0-168_hci4.GIF

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted
2 minutes ago, Singularity said:

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

Bloody cold in Norway with that little pocket of -126 850's  :rofl:

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

V good a few shifts SW and given the time frame and how sliders behave it is entirely possible. Very happy from the ECM so far.

Edited by SN0WM4N
  • Like 11
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

Indeed - if only we could dump millions of tonnes of ice into the N. Atlantic to reduce the modification of that airmass - or better yet, build an extra continent to our west :rofl:.

Sometimes I have a bit of fun imagining our climate if the weather systems spun the opposite way around.

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0 ECM0-192.GIF?07-0

Interesting to see PM air visiting the SW while PC air visits the NE. Wrap the PC into the PM, please...

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Snowmadsam Aficionado

Snowmadsam

Posted
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snowy, Hot and Dry, Blizzard Conditions
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snowy, Hot and Dry, Blizzard Conditions
Posted
1 minute ago, SN0WM4N said:

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

Rain to snow event for west areas on that. We know what comes next with that ridge.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted
7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

yes, i was commenting on the EC det- i feel the block needs to be further west- 

 

We still have time on our side though, how about this then at T192?:yahoo:

ECM1-192.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted

Nice ECM run so far, just a bit more trough disruption and it would be great.

Building pressure towards eastern Greenland at T192 hrs always nice to see.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, The Eagle said:

I feel psychologically scarred.

EC 192 deviation plot shows your street to be the coldest street in UK & Ireland at 192-(im actually serious).

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, SN0WM4N said:

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

V good a few shifts SW and given the time frame and how sliders behave it is entirely possible. Very happy from the ECM so far.

The netweather winter forecast of a ‘knife edge’ winter, this is as knife edge as it could get. The results could be spectacular but then on other side of the coin a real kick in the stomach. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frostbite1980 Community Regular

Frostbite1980

Posted
  • Location: Swineshead, Boston, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Swineshead, Boston, Lincolnshire
Posted

Well at least the states go back in the freezer again :aggressive:

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Chris101 Aficionado

Chris101

Posted
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
Posted
4 minutes ago, SteveB said:

Bloody cold in Norway with that little pocket of -126 850's  :rofl:

Lol i new someone would see that.

I think its a -12 over a -16:cold:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

aarrghhh.... come on ECM! you can do it!

ECH1-192-2.thumb.gif.cd9c2e6d3b6141c1324a5a376ec51721.gif

@nick sussex could you get everyone in france to switch on their hoovers and suck that low towards you!

 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted

If people want some proper cold then this type of evolution has by far the best chance of delivering something more sustained .

We need to get high pressure into Greenland and force low heights to develop over Northern Italy .

 

  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Latest Weather News

    European State of the Climate 2023 - Widespread flooding and severe heatwaves

    The annual ESOTC is a key evidence report about European climate and past weather. High temperatures, heatwaves, wildfires, torrential rain and flooding, data and insight from 2023, Read more here

    Jo Farrow
    Jo Farrow | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Chilly with an increasing risk of frost

    Once Monday's band of rain fades, the next few days will be drier. However, it will feel cool, even cold, in the breeze or under gloomy skies, with an increasing risk of frost. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Dubai Floods: Another Warning Sign for Desert Regions?

    The flooding in the Middle East desert city of Dubai earlier in the week followed record-breaking rainfall. It doesn't rain very often here like other desert areas, but like the deadly floods in Libya last year showed, these rain events are likely becoming more extreme due to global warming. View the full blog here

    Nick F
    Nick F | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather 2
×
×
  • Create New...