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Model output discussion - into 2018

Paul

By Paul
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Ice Day Veteran

Ice Day

Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
Posted

I think something is going to give at 192. 

ECH0-168.GIF?07-0

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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

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Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

yes, i was commenting on the EC det- i feel the block needs to be further west- 

 

NWS mate I think that ship has sailed, we're going to have to work with what we have which is potential for trough disruption and sliders.

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, Singularity said:

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted

Energy trying to dig south, come on...

ECH1-168.GIF.thumb.png.64cb6e96665d0640cd0ecce87dba0a7e.png

 

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mountain shadow Maestro

mountain shadow

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, SN0WM4N said:

Trough beginning to disrupt against the block...

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0

Pressure falling over Southern France. Is that a low forming over Northern Italy?

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Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
Posted
Just now, mountain shadow said:

Pressure falling over Southern France. Is that a low forming over Northern Italy?

ECI1-168.GIF?07-0 Looks it.

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

Agreed...I can't believe I'm saying this....WEST IS BEST :D

ECM0-168_hci4.GIF

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted
2 minutes ago, Singularity said:

ECM1-168.GIF?07-0 ECM0-168.GIF?07-0

Hmm... frontal boundary just reaching western parts, cold enough in east that if the flow stays sufficiently east of south... dare I say it  :D.

Just potential, we must keep in mind.

Bloody cold in Norway with that little pocket of -126 850's  :rofl:

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Snowman. Accomplished

Snowman.

Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

V good a few shifts SW and given the time frame and how sliders behave it is entirely possible. Very happy from the ECM so far.

Edited by SN0WM4N
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Singularity Maestro

Singularity

Posted
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
  • Weather Preferences: Fascinated by extreme weather. Despise drizzle.
  • Location: New Forest (Western)
Posted
1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Funny thing is, the air in the west looks colder than the air from the east!!

Indeed - if only we could dump millions of tonnes of ice into the N. Atlantic to reduce the modification of that airmass - or better yet, build an extra continent to our west :rofl:.

Sometimes I have a bit of fun imagining our climate if the weather systems spun the opposite way around.

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0 ECM0-192.GIF?07-0

Interesting to see PM air visiting the SW while PC air visits the NE. Wrap the PC into the PM, please...

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Snowmadsam Aficionado

Snowmadsam

Posted
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snowy, Hot and Dry, Blizzard Conditions
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snowy, Hot and Dry, Blizzard Conditions
Posted
1 minute ago, SN0WM4N said:

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

Rain to snow event for west areas on that. We know what comes next with that ridge.

 

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snowray Veteran

snowray

Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted
7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

yes, i was commenting on the EC det- i feel the block needs to be further west- 

 

We still have time on our side though, how about this then at T192?:yahoo:

ECM1-192.gif

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nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted

Nice ECM run so far, just a bit more trough disruption and it would be great.

Building pressure towards eastern Greenland at T192 hrs always nice to see.

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northwestsnow Maestro

northwestsnow

Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
Posted
Just now, The Eagle said:

I feel psychologically scarred.

EC 192 deviation plot shows your street to be the coldest street in UK & Ireland at 192-(im actually serious).

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, SN0WM4N said:

:bomb::bomb::bomb:

ECM1-192.GIF?07-0

V good a few shifts SW and given the time frame and how sliders behave it is entirely possible. Very happy from the ECM so far.

The netweather winter forecast of a ‘knife edge’ winter, this is as knife edge as it could get. The results could be spectacular but then on other side of the coin a real kick in the stomach. 

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Frostbite1980 Community Regular

Frostbite1980

Posted
  • Location: Swineshead, Boston, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Swineshead, Boston, Lincolnshire
Posted

Well at least the states go back in the freezer again :aggressive:

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Chris101 Aficionado

Chris101

Posted
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
  • Location: West Ipswich, Suffolk
Posted
4 minutes ago, SteveB said:

Bloody cold in Norway with that little pocket of -126 850's  :rofl:

Lol i new someone would see that.

I think its a -12 over a -16:cold:

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

aarrghhh.... come on ECM! you can do it!

ECH1-192-2.thumb.gif.cd9c2e6d3b6141c1324a5a376ec51721.gif

@nick sussex could you get everyone in france to switch on their hoovers and suck that low towards you!

 

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nick sussex Maestro

nick sussex

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
  • Location: Eastbourne and Larnaca,Cyprus .
Posted

If people want some proper cold then this type of evolution has by far the best chance of delivering something more sustained .

We need to get high pressure into Greenland and force low heights to develop over Northern Italy .

 

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