North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[northwestsnow]

850s on ukmo as the low zips thru..

it has to be on a more southerly track than previously as the -4 line was up towards scotland on earlier runs..

Edited January 15, 2018 by northwestsnow

[Weather-history]

I don't think UKMO 12z is further south, hard to tell. better off looking at the FAX charts for UKMO. 

[severe snowstorm]

Certainly starting to feel colder out. When are we expecting the dew points to drop below zero? 

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

I don't think UKMO 12z is further south, hard to tell. better off looking at the FAX charts for UKMO. 

Tthe 850s showed the milder uppers sweeping into southern scotland earlier so i can only assume it is further south on ukmo too kevin..

ive posted them above.

Edited January 15, 2018 by northwestsnow

[raul_sbd]

2 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

Why thank you - the feeling is mutual! :-) 

Good luck! 

I think we are going to need even more good luck Joe  if you are based in Didsbury I'm in Sale M33.. At 45m asl.. its our chance though

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

1 minute ago, Dexter said:

Certainly starting to feel colder out. When are we expecting the dew points to drop below zero? 

Overnight

[Deep Snow please]

I know everybody wants to cream their pants over that low southerly tracking, but we should really wait for consistency in the next run before doing so guys, last thing we need is another disappointment.

 

That said we could be looking at anything from a 6 hour snow event tomorrow night to a 5 day snow event starting today and ending Saturday at this point.

 

[itsnowjoke]

Well the wind has certainly got up here now

[Spah1]

10 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Slider Gate take 55

Its not a slider

[Thunder Snow]

Not getting excited, but had 1 sleet shower and 2 hail :o

[cheshire snow]

Oh hang on a minute GFS brings snow from the SW on Sunfay.

C.S

[frosty ground]

6 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Its not a slider

Thats a helpful post 

[WillinGlossop]

Hirlam 15-20cm with upto 25cm Cumbria.... nice....

Edited January 15, 2018 by WillinGlossop

[northwestsnow]

Here are the 850s from wed to thu- theres no way ukmo hasnt shifted that low south- like i said, the milder uppers spread up through our region into siuthern scotland on the 00z run..

[frosty ground]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Here are the 850s from wed to thu- theres no way ukmo hasnt shifted that low south- like i said, the milder uppers spread up through our region into siuthern scotland on the 00z run..

Its a big time step.

[chiffer]

I smell snow in the air, someone give me a quick update please?

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

Its a big time step.

TBF the BBC said stay tuned as it could shift in the run up to wed night..

But yes since yesterday there does seem to be a momentum to shift it further south, of course it could shift further north again.

[severe snowstorm]

This week is shaping up to be excellent. Chance of significant snow showers throughout and if that low keeps shifting South, potential for a significant spell of snow midweek or is that getting a bit carried away?

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

3 minutes ago, chiffer said:

I smell snow in the air, someone give me a quick update please?

Did you know that water goes cloudy before it snows? So if you have a bucket of water in tour garden and notice its gone cloudy, then it will snow soon.

[frosty ground]

Showers are starting to liven up now...... Lighting detected over Northern Ireland.

[shadowfax]

32 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

I have hail

I tried to beat the next lot and got stuck in the middle of it.  Temp has fallen during the shower and its gone very dark now.  No snow however!

 

[dodge]

I know, I know don't trust the apps (but it does look good)... shouldn't be anything marginal if we get the beefy showers overnight Tuesday.

[severe snowstorm]

1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

Showers are starting to liven up now...... Lighting detected over Northern Ireland.

Have you seen any snow yet this afternoon up at your altitude?

[northwestsnow]

Just now, Dexter said:

Have you seen any snow yet this afternoon up at your altitude?

No, he wont have, the dew are still +

It will be towards midnight before showers turn wintry even at altitude imho..

[Joe Bloggs]

The MetO app for South Manchester has upgraded (40m ASL) .

Just showing snow now from 4pm tomorrow. No sleet. Good news.