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North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

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1 minute ago, Darren Bown said:

I’m assuming that this is now looking like a standard NW flow with strong winds and wintry showers (rain and hail low level, and everything in the eas Of the region with some elevation? Metoffice seem to have been consistent with rain or rain showers here throughout.

Tough call Darren.

Meto text sounds good even for low lying areas on tues.

Next 24 hours will reveal all but if we cant get an event with -7 uppers then we are relying on winds off the Atlantic with -8/-9 uppers which is rare as hens teeth and consequently we will be relying on easterlies which are also becoming extinct.

 

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radar watch starts at 6pm Tuesday! 

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9 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Tough call Darren.

Meto text sounds good even for low lying areas on tues.

Next 24 hours will reveal all but if we cant get an event with -7 uppers then we are relying on winds off the Atlantic with -8/-9 uppers which is rare as hens teeth and consequently we will be relying on easterlies which are also becoming extinct.

 

Just looked at moorside on bbc weather it has same forecast base as Crowden.... bingley no 2....

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The BBC shows snow for me on Tuesday, but a few years ago it had the heavy snow graphic for all 24hrs of the the day... (on the day itself) and all I got was snizzle.  That was probably a slider though.  So if it's a period of downgrading our expectations maybe one of two surprises might crop up next week.

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3 hours ago, iand61 said:

Dark dismal and roads full of pot holes and temporary traffic lights.

oh and the chance of a bit of snow the higher up the valley you are.

....but you have the ELR! - a good time was had by all in the Bufferstops yesterday :drinks:

 

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Just read through the last 4 pages or so.

Is it or isn't it

Coast Snow Hill only Snow

LP North?

LP South?

(And please don't anyone say "it's all down to nowcasting")

Confused of Salwick

 

 

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6 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Just read through the last 4 pages or so.

Is it or isn't it

Coast Snow Hill only Snow

LP North?

LP South?

(And please don't anyone say "it's all down to nowcasting")

Confused of Salwick

 

 

"It will be what it will be"

There, bet thats not been said in the last 4 pages.

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Updated metoffice forecast:

North West England

Headline:

Rain spreading in overnight. Colder and showery tomorrow.

This Evening and Tonight:

Heavy rain and strong winds will reach Cumbria this evening and spread southeast overnight. Gales are likely on coasts and over hills. Blustery showers will follow behind the rain. Minimum temperature 3 °C.

Monday:

Strong winds and blustery showers will persist all day. It will become colder later and showers will fall increasingly as snow over hills, with sleet in the cities by nightfall. Maximum temperature 9 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Tuesday, frequent wintry showers and strong wind will continue. Winds and showers will ease on Wednesday. Further rain overnight into will precede some very strong winds for Thursday.

Updated: 13:40 on Sun 14 Jan 2018 GMT

 

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Latest Met text. 

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Tuesday, frequent wintry showers and strong wind will continue. Winds and showers will ease on Wednesday. Further rain overnight into will precede some very strong winds for Thursday.

 

  Downgrade in wording. 

Edit: snap. 

Edited by Chris.R

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4 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Latest Met text. 

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Tuesday, frequent wintry showers and strong wind will continue. Winds and showers will ease on Wednesday. Further rain overnight into will precede some very strong winds for Thursday.

 

  Downgrade in wording. 

Just looking like an increasingly wet, windy and unpleasant spell of weather. I don't think there was ever much for us in this for the south or west of the region? Hopefully those in the north or east might get something.

Edited by wrightc23

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12z's As you where from this morning for Tues :good:

That low Wed/Thurs ruins things somewhat with strong winds and rain but then turning colder again with some heavy wintry showers.

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Kitchen sink job coming up this week!

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1 hour ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

....but you have the ELR! - a good time was had by all in the Bufferstops yesterday :drinks:

 

Decent watering hole on a nice evening in summer when you can stand outside.

otherwise it’s a bit cramped but the beer has been good when i’ve been in.

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Well i’ve been pretty chipper last few days looking forward to 4/5 days of snow showers. 

Then the low appeared and ruined a day And will melt any snow. 

The northerly is now not modelled at the weekend. 

NWS is right maybe Tuesday may be fun then that’s about it. 

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If that storm is named it be called Fionn.

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3 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Im waiting for this storm to be given a name! 100mph gusts for a time!!

How about Pain In The A#s!!!

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Instead of Fionn let me call this storm Cold Gatecrasher.

 

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Is there any possibility of this storm coinciding with cold air and all that precip falling as snow rather than rain? #clutchingatsraws

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Just now, Deep Snow please said:

Is there any possibility of this storm coinciding with cold air and all that precip falling as snow rather than rain? #clutchingatsraws

Only if the low tracks to the south of your location. I don't even think snow on the front edge of it is suggested. 

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1 minute ago, Deep Snow please said:

Is there any possibility of this storm coinciding with cold air and all that precip falling as snow rather than rain? #clutchingatsraws

If it tracked through Wales maybe on the northern flank. At the mo though it's charging through Scotland with time running out for a shift south.

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4 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

Is there any possibility of this storm coinciding with cold air and all that precip falling as snow rather than rain? #clutchingatsraws

I doubt it at the moment. If we are lucky enough we may see some at backedge. It just a matter of wait and see on the models.

ECM coming up in next hour.

Edited by pip22

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2 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

If it tracked through Wales maybe on the northern flank. At the mo though it's charging through Scotland with time running out for a shift south.

Heck if our snow can drift to the west country in this short a time frame (December?), maybe it's a goer still. Anyway at least it will be cold for a bit.

Edited by Deep Snow please

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